The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (56‑61) vs White Sox (61‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cubs (69‑50) vs Nationals (59‑61) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Pirates (58‑62) vs Marlins (60‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Cardinals (59‑60) vs Phillies (64‑56) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Mets (53‑67) vs Braves (71‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Giants (49‑70) vs Astros (61‑59) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Brewers (74‑45) vs Padres (63‑57) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Rockies (46‑73) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (64‑56) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Royals (49‑71) vs Dodgers (71‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (56‑61) vs White Sox (61‑56) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Marlins (60‑59) vs Pirates (58‑62) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Brewers (74‑45) vs Padres (63‑57) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Cardinals (59‑60) vs Phillies (64‑56) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Astros (61‑59) vs Giants (49‑70) |
0 | Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Royals (49‑71) vs Dodgers (71‑48) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Rockies (46‑73) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (64‑56) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Mets (53‑67) vs Braves (71‑48) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Cubs (69‑50) vs Nationals (59‑61) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||