The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (59‑56) vs Pirates (50‑66) 3 Games Remaining |
15 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| Brewers (70‑44) vs Mets (63‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Nationals (45‑69) vs Giants (58‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 85% | ||
| Red Sox (64‑52) vs Padres (64‑51) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 85% | ||
| Braves (48‑66) vs Marlins (56‑58) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 86% | ||
| Rangers (60‑56) vs Phillies (65‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 85% | ||
| Blue Jays (68‑48) vs Dodgers (66‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 85% | ||
| Cubs (66‑48) vs Cardinals (58‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 84% | ||
| Rockies (30‑84) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (54‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 85% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (59‑56) vs Pirates (50‑66) |
5 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 87% | ||
| Brewers (70‑44) vs Mets (63‑52) |
2 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 85% | ||
| Nationals (45‑69) vs Giants (58‑57) |
1 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 85% | ||
| Red Sox (64‑52) vs Padres (64‑51) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 85% | ||
| Cubs (66‑48) vs Cardinals (58‑58) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 85% | ||
| Rockies (30‑84) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (54‑60) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 84% | ||
| Braves (48‑66) vs Marlins (56‑58) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 84% | ||
| Blue Jays (68‑48) vs Dodgers (66‑49) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Rangers (60‑56) vs Phillies (65‑49) |
0 | Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | ||