The Red Sox What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Red Sox play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 11 | 10 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 60% |
| Current Standings | 10 | 10 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 62% |
| Lose Next Game | 10 | 11 | 4% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 63% |
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Red Sox Sweeps | 13 | 10 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 59% |
| Current Standings | 10 | 10 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 62% |
| Pirates Sweeps | 10 | 13 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 64% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 142 of 142 | 100% | 152 | 10 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 140 of 142 | 99% | 150 | 12 | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 130 of 142 | 92% | 140 | 22 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 120 of 142 | 85% | 130 | 32 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 112 of 142 | 79% | 122 | 40 | 95% | 4% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 111 of 142 | 78% | 121 | 41 | 94% | 4% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 110 of 142 | 77% | 120 | 42 | 92% | 6% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 109 of 142 | 77% | 119 | 43 | 90% | 7% | <1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 108 of 142 | 76% | 118 | 44 | 87% | 9% | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 107 of 142 | 75% | 117 | 45 | 84% | 10% | <1% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 106 of 142 | 75% | 116 | 46 | 79% | 13% | <1% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 105 of 142 | 74% | 115 | 47 | 76% | 15% | <1% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 104 of 142 | 73% | 114 | 48 | 69% | 18% | 1% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 103 of 142 | 73% | 113 | 49 | 65% | 20% | 1% | 13% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 102 of 142 | 72% | 112 | 50 | 60% | 22% | 1% | 17% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 101 of 142 | 71% | 111 | 51 | 53% | 24% | 2% | 20% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 100 of 142 | 70% | 110 | 52 | 47% | 27% | 2% | 23% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 99 of 142 | 70% | 109 | 53 | 41% | 28% | 3% | 26% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 98 of 142 | 69% | 108 | 54 | 35% | 29% | 4% | 29% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 97 of 142 | 68% | 107 | 55 | 28% | 29% | 6% | 33% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 96 of 142 | 68% | 106 | 56 | 23% | 29% | 6% | 35% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| 95 of 142 | 67% | 105 | 57 | 18% | 28% | 8% | 37% | 8% | <1% | <1% |
| 94 of 142 | 66% | 104 | 58 | 15% | 27% | 9% | 38% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
| 93 of 142 | 65% | 103 | 59 | 11% | 24% | 10% | 40% | 13% | 1% | <1% |
| 92 of 142 | 65% | 102 | 60 | 8% | 22% | 11% | 40% | 17% | 2% | <1% |
| 91 of 142 | 64% | 101 | 61 | 6% | 20% | 12% | 39% | 20% | 3% | <1% |
| 90 of 142 | 63% | 100 | 62 | 4% | 16% | 12% | 39% | 24% | 5% | <1% |
| 89 of 142 | 63% | 99 | 63 | 3% | 14% | 13% | 35% | 27% | 7% | 1% |
| 88 of 142 | 62% | 98 | 64 | 2% | 11% | 12% | 34% | 31% | 10% | 1% |
| 87 of 142 | 61% | 97 | 65 | 1% | 9% | 12% | 30% | 33% | 13% | 2% |
| 86 of 142 | 61% | 96 | 66 | 1% | 7% | 12% | 26% | 35% | 16% | 3% |
| 85 of 142 | 60% | 95 | 67 | 1% | 5% | 11% | 22% | 36% | 20% | 6% |
| 84 of 142 | 59% | 94 | 68 | <1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 36% | 24% | 8% |
| 83 of 142 | 58% | 93 | 69 | <1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 34% | 28% | 12% |
| 82 of 142 | 58% | 92 | 70 | <1% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 31% | 30% | 16% |
| 81 of 142 | 57% | 91 | 71 | <1% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 28% | 32% | 22% |
| 80 of 142 | 56% | 90 | 72 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 6% | 25% | 34% | 28% |
| 79 of 142 | 56% | 89 | 73 | <1% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 21% | 34% | 35% |
| 78 of 142 | 55% | 88 | 74 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 3% | 17% | 32% | 43% |
| 77 of 142 | 54% | 87 | 75 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 2% | 13% | 29% | 51% |
| 76 of 142 | 54% | 86 | 76 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 1% | 10% | 27% | 58% |
| 75 of 142 | 53% | 85 | 77 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 66% |
| 74 of 142 | 52% | 84 | 78 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 5% | 19% | 74% |
| 73 of 142 | 51% | 83 | 79 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 80% |
| 72 of 142 | 51% | 82 | 80 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 85% |
| 71 of 142 | 50% | 81 | 81 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 90% |
| 70 of 142 | 49% | 80 | 82 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% |
| 69 of 142 | 49% | 79 | 83 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 95% |
| 60 of 142 | 42% | 70 | 92 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 50 of 142 | 35% | 60 | 102 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 40 of 142 | 28% | 50 | 112 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 30 of 142 | 21% | 40 | 122 | X | X | <1% | X | X | X | >99% |
| 20 of 142 | 14% | 30 | 132 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 10 of 142 | 7% | 20 | 142 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 142 | 0% | 10 | 152 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |