PlayoffStatus.com↓≡

Home ►MLB►American Playoff Picture►Red Sox Playoff Picture►Red Sox What If?
Sun Sep 13 12:45 am

MLB - Week 25 of 27

Red Sox What If?

The Red Sox What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Red Sox play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Red Sox What If?

Next Game - Royals (66‑83)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 82 68 <1% X X 3% 97% 1% <1%
Current Standings 81 68 <1% X X 2% 96% 1% <1%
Lose Next Game 81 69 <1% X X 1% 96% 2% <1%


Current Series - Royals (66‑83) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Red Sox Sweeps 82 68 <1% X X 3% 97% 1% <1%
Current Standings 81 68 <1% X X 2% 96% 1% <1%
Royals Sweeps 81 69 <1% X X 1% 96% 2% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario <1% X X 4% 95% 1% <1%
Current Standings <1% X X 2% 96% 1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario <1% X X 1% 96% 3% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Mets beats Yankees
   Orioles beats Blue Jays
   Red Sox beats Royals
 Worst Case Scenario
   Yankees beats Mets
   Blue Jays beats Orioles
   Royals beats Red Sox
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
13 of 13 100% 94 68 18% X X 63% 19% ^ ^
12 of 13 92% 93 69 4% X X 51% 45% ^ ^
11 of 13 85% 92 70 <1% X X 29% 70% ^ ^
10 of 13 77% 91 71 <1% X X 13% 87% ^ ^
9 of 13 69% 90 72 <1% X X 5% 95% ^ ^
8 of 13 62% 89 73 X X X 1% 99% ^ ^
7 of 13 54% 88 74 X X X <1% >99% ^ ^
6 of 13 46% 87 75 X X X <1% >99% <1% <1%
5 of 13 38% 86 76 X X X <1% 99% 1% <1%
4 of 13 31% 85 77 X X X <1% 95% 5% <1%
3 of 13 23% 84 78 X X X X 81% 18% 1%
2 of 13 15% 83 79 X X X X 50% 42% 8%
1 of 13 8% 82 80 X X X X 18% 46% 35%
0 of 13 0% 81 81 X X X X 3% 23% 74%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs