The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (8‑9) vs Rays (7‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
12 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 58% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 64% | ||
| Braves (4‑11) vs Blue Jays (9‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Guardians (8‑7) vs Orioles (6‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Royals (8‑8) vs Yankees (8‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Tigers (9‑6) vs Brewers (8‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Mets (10‑5) vs Twins (5‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Astros (7‑8) vs Cardinals (7‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| White Sox (4‑11) vs Athletics (6‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Mariners (8‑8) vs Reds (8‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Rangers (9‑7) vs Angels (9‑6) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (8‑9) vs Rays (7‑8) |
5 | Red Sox Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Rays Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 63% | ||
| Mariners (8‑8) vs Reds (8‑8) |
2 | Mariners Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Reds Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Guardians (8‑7) vs Orioles (6‑9) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Cardinals (7‑8) vs Astros (7‑8) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Astros Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Athletics (6‑10) vs White Sox (4‑11) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Braves (4‑11) vs Blue Jays (9‑7) |
1 | Braves Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 62% | ||
| Mets (10‑5) vs Twins (5‑11) |
0 | Mets Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Twins Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Angels (9‑6) vs Rangers (9‑7) |
0 | Angels Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Yankees (8‑7) vs Royals (8‑8) |
0 | Yankees Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Royals Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Brewers (8‑8) vs Tigers (9‑6) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 61% | ||