The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (59‑51) vs Astros (62‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
36 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 5% | 2% | 27% | 22% | 14% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 2% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 49% | ||
| Royals (54‑55) vs Blue Jays (64‑46) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 5% | 4% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 2% | 2% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 35% | ||
| White Sox (40‑69) vs Angels (53‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 3% | 3% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 38% | ||
| Twins (51‑57) vs Guardians (54‑54) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 3% | 3% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 3% | 3% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Rangers (57‑52) vs Mariners (57‑52) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Rangers Sweeps 4 Games | 2% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 20% | 16% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 4 Games | 2% | 3% | 2% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 37% | ||
| Cubs (63‑45) vs Orioles (50‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 3% | 3% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Athletics (48‑63) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Rays (54‑55) vs Yankees (59‑49) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 36% | ||
| Tigers (64‑46) vs Phillies (61‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 4% | 3% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (59‑51) vs Astros (62‑47) |
13 | Red Sox Wins | 3% | 4% | 3% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Astros Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 41% | ||
| Royals (54‑55) vs Blue Jays (64‑46) |
2 | Royals Wins | 3% | 4% | 3% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 20% | 16% | 36% | ||
| Twins (51‑57) vs Guardians (54‑54) |
1 | Twins Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Rays (54‑55) vs Yankees (59‑49) |
1 | Rays Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 36% | ||
| Tigers (64‑46) vs Phillies (61‑47) |
1 | Tigers Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 3% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 37% | ||
| White Sox (40‑69) vs Angels (53‑56) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Angels Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 37% | ||
| Athletics (48‑63) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑57) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 2% | 4% | 2% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 36% | ||
| Cubs (63‑45) vs Orioles (50‑59) |
0 | Cubs Wins | 3% | 3% | 3% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 36% | ||
| Rangers (57‑52) vs Mariners (57‑52) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 37% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 2% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 36% | ||