The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (22‑27) vs Twins (23‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
12 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Pirates (26‑24) vs Blue Jays (23‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Tigers (20‑31) vs Orioles (21‑29) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 75% | ||
| Angels (17‑34) vs Rangers (24‑25) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Padres (29‑20) vs Athletics (26‑24) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Phillies (25‑25) vs Guardians (30‑22) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Giants (20‑30) vs White Sox (25‑24) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Mariners (24‑27) vs Royals (20‑30) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Rays (33‑15) vs Yankees (30‑21) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Cubs (29‑21) vs Astros (20‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (22‑27) vs Twins (23‑27) |
3 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 75% | ||
| Padres (29‑20) vs Athletics (26‑24) |
1 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Royals (20‑30) vs Mariners (24‑27) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Angels (17‑34) vs Rangers (24‑25) |
1 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Pirates (26‑24) vs Blue Jays (23‑27) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Tigers (20‑31) vs Orioles (21‑29) |
0 | Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Giants (20‑30) vs White Sox (25‑24) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Cubs (29‑21) vs Astros (20‑31) |
0 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Yankees (30‑21) vs Rays (33‑15) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Phillies (25‑25) vs Guardians (30‑22) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 74% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 74% | ||