The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (27‑27) vs Orioles (17‑34) 1 Game Remaining |
5 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Rays (25‑26) vs Blue Jays (25‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Marlins (20‑30) vs Angels (25‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Phillies (34‑18) vs Athletics (22‑31) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Rockies (9‑43) vs Yankees (31‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Rangers (25‑28) vs White Sox (17‑35) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Twins (29‑22) vs Royals (28‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Astros (27‑25) vs Mariners (29‑22) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Guardians (29‑22) vs Tigers (33‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (27‑27) vs Orioles (17‑34) |
5 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Rays (25‑26) vs Blue Jays (25‑26) |
2 | Rays Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Marlins (20‑30) vs Angels (25‑26) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 1% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Angels Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Phillies (34‑18) vs Athletics (22‑31) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 70% | ||
| Rockies (9‑43) vs Yankees (31‑20) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Rangers (25‑28) vs White Sox (17‑35) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 1% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Twins (29‑22) vs Royals (28‑25) |
1 | Twins Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Royals Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Astros (27‑25) vs Mariners (29‑22) |
0 | Astros Wins | 1% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Guardians (29‑22) vs Tigers (33‑20) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 70% | ||