The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (81‑68) vs Royals (66‑83) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 3% | 97% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 1% | 96% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Mets (69‑79) vs Yankees (85‑63) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 3% | 95% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 1% | 97% | 1% | <1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (79‑70) vs Rangers (73‑76) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Orioles (72‑77) vs Blue Jays (74‑75) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 97% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tigers (69‑79) vs Rockies (55‑93) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mariners (70‑79) vs Athletics (60‑89) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| White Sox (76‑72) vs Cardinals (73‑76) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 97% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Astros (75‑74) vs Rays (89‑59) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Guardians (75‑74) vs Twins (70‑78) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 97% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nationals (69‑81) vs Angels (56‑92) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (81‑68) vs Royals (66‑83) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | X | X | 3% | 97% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | X | X | 1% | 96% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Mets (69‑79) vs Yankees (85‑63) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | X | X | 3% | 95% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | X | X | 1% | 97% | 1% | <1% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (79‑70) vs Rangers (73‑76) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Orioles (72‑77) vs Blue Jays (74‑75) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 97% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tigers (69‑79) vs Rockies (55‑93) |
0 | Tigers Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mariners (70‑79) vs Athletics (60‑89) |
0 | Mariners Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| White Sox (76‑72) vs Cardinals (73‑76) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 97% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Astros (75‑74) vs Rays (89‑59) |
0 | Astros Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Guardians (75‑74) vs Twins (70‑78) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 97% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nationals (69‑81) vs Angels (56‑92) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | X | X | 2% | 96% | 1% | <1% | ||