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Sun May 25 3:30 am

MLB - Week 10 of 28

Royals What If?

The Royals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Royals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Royals What If?

Next Game - Twins (29‑22)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 29 25 3% 4% 2% 12% 13% 11% 55%
Current Standings 28 25 3% 3% 2% 11% 12% 11% 59%
Lose Next Game 28 26 3% 3% 2% 10% 11% 11% 61%


Current Series - Twins (29‑22) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Royals Sweeps 29 25 3% 4% 2% 12% 13% 11% 55%
Current Standings 28 25 3% 3% 2% 11% 12% 11% 59%
Twins Sweeps 28 26 3% 3% 2% 10% 11% 11% 61%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
109 of 109 100% 137 25 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 109 92% 128 34 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 109 83% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 109 74% 109 53 93% 4% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 109 73% 108 54 91% 5% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 109 72% 107 55 86% 7% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 109 72% 106 56 82% 9% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 109 71% 105 57 77% 11% <1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 109 70% 104 58 69% 14% <1% 16% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 109 69% 103 59 62% 16% 1% 20% 1% <1% <1%
74 of 109 68% 102 60 54% 19% 1% 25% 1% <1% <1%
73 of 109 67% 101 61 46% 20% 2% 30% 2% <1% <1%
72 of 109 66% 100 62 38% 21% 2% 35% 3% <1% <1%
71 of 109 65% 99 63 29% 22% 3% 40% 6% <1% <1%
70 of 109 64% 98 64 22% 21% 4% 43% 9% <1% <1%
69 of 109 63% 97 65 16% 19% 5% 46% 13% 1% <1%
68 of 109 62% 96 66 11% 17% 6% 48% 17% 1% <1%
67 of 109 61% 95 67 6% 15% 7% 47% 23% 3% <1%
66 of 109 61% 94 68 4% 11% 7% 45% 28% 5% <1%
65 of 109 60% 93 69 2% 9% 7% 40% 33% 8% 1%
64 of 109 59% 92 70 1% 6% 7% 36% 37% 12% 2%
63 of 109 58% 91 71 <1% 4% 6% 28% 40% 19% 3%
62 of 109 57% 90 72 <1% 2% 5% 21% 41% 25% 6%
61 of 109 56% 89 73 <1% 1% 4% 15% 37% 30% 11%
60 of 109 55% 88 74 <1% 1% 3% 10% 33% 34% 20%
59 of 109 54% 87 75 <1% <1% 2% 6% 25% 36% 30%
58 of 109 53% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 3% 18% 34% 43%
57 of 109 52% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 2% 11% 30% 57%
56 of 109 51% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 1% 7% 22% 70%
55 of 109 50% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 81%
54 of 109 50% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 88%
53 of 109 49% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
50 of 109 46% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 109 37% 68 94 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 109 28% 58 104 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 109 18% 48 114 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 109 9% 38 124 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 109 0% 28 134 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs