The Most Important Games for the Twins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Twins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Twins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Twins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Twins (29‑22) vs Royals (28‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
9 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 11% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 6% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 41% | ||
| Blue Jays (25‑26) vs Rays (25‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Phillies (34‑18) vs Athletics (22‑31) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Rockies (9‑43) vs Yankees (31‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 11% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 38% | ||
| Angels (25‑26) vs Marlins (20‑30) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 7% | 3% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 38% | ||
| Orioles (17‑34) vs Red Sox (27‑27) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Rangers (25‑28) vs White Sox (17‑35) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 7% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 38% | ||
| Guardians (29‑22) vs Tigers (33‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 6% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Mariners (29‑22) vs Astros (27‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 11% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Twins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Twins (29‑22) vs Royals (28‑25) |
9 | Twins Wins | 11% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Royals Wins | 9% | 6% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 41% | ||
| Blue Jays (25‑26) vs Rays (25‑26) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Rays Wins | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Phillies (34‑18) vs Athletics (22‑31) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Rockies (9‑43) vs Yankees (31‑20) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 11% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 38% | ||
| Angels (25‑26) vs Marlins (20‑30) |
1 | Angels Wins | 10% | 7% | 3% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 38% | ||
| Orioles (17‑34) vs Red Sox (27‑27) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Rangers (25‑28) vs White Sox (17‑35) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 10% | 7% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 38% | ||
| Guardians (29‑22) vs Tigers (33‑20) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 10% | 6% | 3% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Mariners (29‑22) vs Astros (27‑25) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Astros Wins | 11% | 6% | 3% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 39% | ||