Twins What If?

The Twins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Twins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Twins What If?

Next Game - Braves (25-18)

	Resultant Record		Divisional Winners			Wildcard		No Playoffs
	W	L	1*	2*	3*	4	5	6
Win Next Game	19	22	1%	3%	5%	4%	6%	81%
Current Standings	18	22	1%	3%	5%	4%	6%	82%
Lose Next Game	18	23	1%	2%	5%	3%	5%	83%

Current Series - Braves (25-18) - 3 Remaining Games

	Resultant Record		Divisional Winners			Wildcard		No Playoffs
	W	L	1*	2*	3*	4	5	6
Twins Sweeps	21	22	1%	4%	6%	4%	6%	79%
Current Standings	18	22	1%	3%	5%	4%	6%	82%
Braves Sweeps	18	25	< 1%	2%	4%	3%	5%	85%

Remaining Games

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Divisional Winners			Wildcard		No Playoffs
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1*	2*	3*	4	5	6
122 of 122	100%	140	22	> 99%	< 1%	< 1%	^	^	^
120 of 122	98%	138	24	> 99%	< 1%	< 1%	^	^	^
110 of 122	90%	128	34	> 99%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	^
100 of 122	82%	118	44	> 99%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
95 of 122	78%	113	49	95%	5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
94 of 122	77%	112	50	93%	7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
93 of 122	76%	111	51	90%	10%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
92 of 122	75%	110	52	88%	12%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
91 of 122	75%	109	53	84%	15%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
90 of 122	74%	108	54	79%	19%	1%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
89 of 122	73%	107	55	74%	23%	2%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
88 of 122	72%	106	56	68%	27%	3%	2%	< 1%	< 1%
87 of 122	71%	105	57	61%	33%	4%	3%	< 1%	< 1%
86 of 122	70%	104	58	56%	36%	5%	3%	< 1%	< 1%
85 of 122	70%	103	59	49%	39%	7%	5%	< 1%	< 1%
84 of 122	69%	102	60	40%	43%	9%	7%	< 1%	< 1%
83 of 122	68%	101	61	33%	43%	14%	9%	< 1%	< 1%
82 of 122	67%	100	62	26%	45%	15%	13%	1%	< 1%
81 of 122	66%	99	63	21%	44%	17%	16%	2%	< 1%
80 of 122	66%	98	64	15%	40%	23%	20%	3%	< 1%
79 of 122	65%	97	65	9%	38%	24%	23%	5%	< 1%
78 of 122	64%	96	66	6%	33%	27%	24%	9%	1%
77 of 122	63%	95	67	4%	27%	29%	26%	12%	2%
76 of 122	62%	94	68	2%	21%	29%	27%	16%	4%
75 of 122	61%	93	69	1%	16%	27%	27%	22%	6%
74 of 122	61%	92	70	1%	13%	25%	24%	26%	12%
73 of 122	60%	91	71	< 1%	7%	24%	20%	31%	17%
72 of 122	59%	90	72	< 1%	5%	21%	16%	32%	26%
71 of 122	58%	89	73	< 1%	3%	17%	12%	30%	38%
70 of 122	57%	88	74	< 1%	1%	13%	7%	27%	51%
69 of 122	57%	87	75	< 1%	1%	10%	5%	22%	63%
68 of 122	56%	86	76	< 1%	< 1%	7%	2%	16%	74%
67 of 122	55%	85	77	< 1%	< 1%	5%	1%	10%	84%
66 of 122	54%	84	78	< 1%	< 1%	3%	< 1%	6%	91%
65 of 122	53%	83	79	< 1%	< 1%	2%	< 1%	3%	95%
60 of 122	49%	78	84	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
50 of 122	41%	68	94	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
40 of 122	33%	58	104	X	X	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	> 99%
30 of 122	25%	48	114	X	X	X	X	X	100%
20 of 122	16%	38	124	X	X	X	X	X	100%
10 of 122	8%	28	134	X	X	X	X	X	100%
0 of 122	0%	18	144	X	X	X	X	X	100%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
* denotes first round bye in the playoffs

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MLB - Week 9 of 27

Twins What If?

Twins What If?

Next Game - Braves (25-18)

Current Series - Braves (25-18) - 3 Remaining Games

Remaining Games