PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Aug 18 2:45 am

MLS - Week 25 of 32

Atlanta United What If?

The Atlanta United What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Atlanta United play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Atlanta United What If?

Next Game - Timbers (11‑9‑4)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 14 9 3 45 41% 34% 16% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 13 9 3 42 33% 32% 19% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1%
Lose Next Game 13 10 3 42 26% 31% 21% 11% 5% 3% 2% 1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 58% 27% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 33% 32% 19% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1%
Worst Case Scenario 15% 30% 24% 14% 8% 5% 3% 2%
Best Case Scenario
   Atlanta United beats Timbers
   Crew beats NY City FC
   Atlanta United beats Orlando City SC
Worst Case Scenario
   Timbers beats Atlanta United
   NY City FC beats Crew
   Orlando City SC beats Atlanta United
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
9 of 9 100% 22 9 3 69 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 9 89% 21 10 3 66 96% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 9 78% 20 11 3 63 83% 17% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 9 67% 19 12 3 60 56% 42% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 9 56% 18 13 3 57 24% 59% 17% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
4 of 9 44% 17 14 3 54 3% 35% 49% 12% 1% <1% <1% ^
3 of 9 33% 16 15 3 51 <1% 4% 31% 42% 19% 3% <1% <1%
2 of 9 22% 15 16 3 48 <1% <1% 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2%
1 of 9 11% 14 17 3 45 X <1% <1% <1% 4% 20% 38% 37%
0 of 9 0% 13 18 3 42 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 93%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs