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Sat Nov 7 9:45 pm

MLS - Regular Season Complete

MLS Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The MLS Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

MLS Post Season Probabilities
Record Current Series MLS Cup Winner MLS Cup Conference Championship Conf Series Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference Conf W L T Pts
Nashville SC EasternEast 23 3 8 77   41% 57% 72% 90% 100%
Whitecaps WesternWest 19 8 7 64   28% 52% 69% 85% 100%
Inter Miami CF EasternEast 16 6 12 60 0‑0 7% 15% 42% 65% 100%
FC Dallas WesternWest 16 8 10 58 0‑0 5% 15% 38% 62% 100%
St. Louis City SC WesternWest 15 10 9 54 0‑0 3% 10% 25% 53% 100%
LAFC WesternWest 12 11 11 47 0‑0 2% 8% 23% 47% 100%
EarthquakesEarthquaks WesternWest 14 10 10 52 0‑0 2% 8% 17% 60% 100%
Revolution EasternEast 18 12 4 58 0‑0 2% 6% 22% 51% 100%
Union EasternEast 14 12 8 50 0‑0 2% 6% 22% 49% 100%
Fire EasternEast 16 11 7 55 0‑0 2% 6% 13% 51% 100%
Charlotte FC EasternEast 15 10 9 54 0‑0 2% 6% 13% 49% 100%
Timbers WesternWest 13 14 7 46 0‑0 1% 4% 13% 38% 100%
Crew EasternEast 14 15 5 47 0‑0 1% 3% 14% 35% 100%
Dynamo WesternWest 14 11 9 51 0‑0 1% 3% 9% 40% 100%
Real Salt Lake WesternWest 13 15 6 45 0‑0 <1% 1% 3% 8% 46%
Sounders WesternWest 12 12 10 46 0‑0 <1% 1% 3% 7% 54%
FC Cincinnati EasternEast 12 12 10 46 0‑0 <1% <1% 2% 5% 46%
Orlando City SC EasternEast 13 14 7 46 0‑0 <1% <1% 1% 5% 54%
Galaxy WesternWest 11 12 11 44   X X X X X
Minnesota United WesternWest 11 12 11 44   X X X X X
Rapids WesternWest 12 15 7 43   X X X X X
NY City FC EasternEast 10 12 12 42   X X X X X
Red Bull EasternEast 12 16 6 42   X X X X X
Toronto FC EasternEast 9 13 12 39   X X X X X
San Diego FC WesternWest 9 14 11 38   X X X X X
Austin FC WesternWest 8 16 10 34   X X X X X
Atlanta United EasternEast 9 19 6 33   X X X X X
D.C. United EasternEast 7 15 12 33   X X X X X
CF Montréal EasternEast 6 20 8 26   X X X X X
Sporting KC WesternWest 7 22 5 26   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot