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MLS Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The MLS Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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MLS Post Season Probabilities

   Record  Current Series MLS Cup Winner MLS Cup Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L T Pts
Revolution Eastern 17 13 4 55 1-0 37% 77% 100% ^ ^
Galaxy Western 17 7 10 61 1-0 37% 70% 100% ^ ^
Sounders Western 20 10 4 64 0-1 16% 30% 100% ^ ^
Red Bulls Eastern 13 10 11 50 0-1 11% 23% 100% ^ ^
D.C. United Eastern 17 9 8 59   X X X 100% ^
Real Salt Lake Western 15 8 11 56   X X X 100% ^
FC Dallas Western 16 12 6 54   X X X 100% ^
Crew Eastern 14 10 10 52   X X X 100% ^
Whitecaps Western 12 8 14 50   X X X X 100%
Sporting KC Eastern 14 13 7 49   X X X X 100%
Timbers Western 12 9 13 49   X X X X X
Union Eastern 10 12 12 42   X X X X X
Toronto FC Eastern 11 15 8 41   X X X X X
Dynamo Eastern 11 17 6 39   X X X X X
Fire Eastern 6 10 18 36   X X X X X
Chivas USA Western 9 19 6 33   X X X X X
Rapids Western 8 18 8 32   X X X X X
Earthquakes Western 6 16 12 30   X X X X X
Impact Eastern 6 18 10 28   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot