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MLS Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The MLS Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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MLS Post Season Probabilities

   Record  Current Series MLS Cup Winner MLS Cup Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L T Pts
Sporting KC Eastern 17 10 7 58 0-0 52% 100% ^ ^ ^
Real Salt Lake Western 16 10 8 56 0-0 48% 100% ^ ^ ^
Timbers Western 14 5 15 57   X X 100% ^ ^
Dynamo Eastern 14 11 9 51   X X 100% ^ ^
Red Bulls Eastern 17 9 8 59   X X X 100% ^
Galaxy Western 15 11 8 53   X X X 100% ^
Sounders Western 15 12 7 52   X X X 100% ^
Revolution Eastern 14 11 9 51   X X X 100% ^
Rapids Western 14 11 9 51   X X X X 100%
Impact Eastern 14 13 7 49   X X X X 100%
Earthquakes Western 14 11 9 51   X X X X X
Fire Eastern 14 13 7 49   X X X X X
Whitecaps Western 13 12 9 48   X X X X X
Union Eastern 12 12 10 46   X X X X X
FC Dallas Western 11 12 11 44   X X X X X
Crew Eastern 12 17 5 41   X X X X X
Toronto FC Eastern 6 17 11 29   X X X X X
Chivas USA Western 6 20 8 26   X X X X X
D.C. United Eastern 3 24 7 16   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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