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Sun Oct 18 8:00 pm

MLS - Week 36 of 38

MLS Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The MLS Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

MLS Post Season Probabilities
Record Current Series MLS Cup Winner MLS Cup Conference Championship Conf Series Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference Conf W L T Pts
Nashville SC EasternEast 20 3 7 67   40% 54% 71% 88% 100%
Whitecaps WesternWest 16 7 7 55   21% 42% 60% 82% 100%
Inter Miami CF EasternEast 15 5 10 55   10% 18% 45% 71% 100%
St. Louis City SC WesternWest 14 7 9 51   6% 15% 34% 63% >99%
FC Dallas WesternWest 14 7 9 51   5% 13% 31% 60% >99%
LAFC WesternWest 12 9 10 46   3% 10% 24% 54% >99%
EarthquakesEarthquaks WesternWest 13 8 9 48   3% 10% 22% 53% >99%
Revolution EasternEast 16 10 4 52   3% 7% 23% 56% 100%
Union EasternEast 13 10 7 46   2% 6% 17% 47% >99%
Fire EasternEast 14 10 6 48   2% 6% 15% 50% >99%
Charlotte FC EasternEast 13 9 8 47   2% 6% 15% 48% >99%
Dynamo WesternWest 13 9 8 47   1% 4% 13% 38% >99%
Sounders WesternWest 11 10 9 42   <1% 2% 8% 24% 82%
Orlando City SC EasternEast 12 13 5 41   <1% 1% 5% 18% 76%
Rapids WesternWest 11 13 6 39   <1% 1% 3% 10% 42%
NY City FC EasternEast 8 12 10 34   <1% 1% 3% 8% 33%
Galaxy WesternWest 10 11 10 40   <1% 1% 2% 6% 33%
FC Cincinnati EasternEast 9 11 9 36   <1% 1% 2% 6% 29%
Real Salt Lake WesternWest 10 14 6 36   <1% 1% 2% 6% 25%
Crew EasternEast 10 15 5 35   <1% <1% 1% 4% 23%
Toronto FC EasternEast 8 10 12 36   <1% <1% 1% 3% 20%
Timbers WesternWest 9 14 7 34   <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
San Diego FC WesternWest 8 12 10 34   <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
D.C. United EasternEast 7 10 12 33   <1% <1% <1% 1% 11%
Red Bull EasternEast 10 14 6 36   <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Minnesota United WesternWest 8 12 10 34   <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Austin FC WesternWest 7 13 10 31   <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Atlanta United EasternEast 8 16 6 30   <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
CF Montréal EasternEast 6 17 7 25   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sporting KC WesternWest 6 20 4 22   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot