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Sun Sep 27 1:00 am

MLS - Week 32 of 38

MLS Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The MLS Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

MLS Post Season Probabilities
Record Current Series MLS Cup Winner MLS Cup Conference Championship Conf Series Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference Conf W L T Pts
Nashville SC EasternEast 18 3 6 60   37% 52% 69% 87% 100%
Whitecaps WesternWest 15 6 5 50   24% 45% 62% 82% >99%
Inter Miami CF EasternEast 12 4 10 46   7% 15% 36% 64% >99%
FC Dallas WesternWest 13 6 8 47   5% 13% 31% 59% >99%
St. Louis City SC WesternWest 12 6 8 44   4% 11% 26% 56% >99%
EarthquakesEarthquaks WesternWest 13 8 6 45   3% 10% 23% 53% 99%
LAFC WesternWest 11 9 8 41   3% 10% 23% 51% 96%
Revolution EasternEast 14 9 4 46   3% 9% 25% 57% >99%
Charlotte FC EasternEast 12 8 7 43   3% 7% 18% 51% >99%
Fire EasternEast 12 8 6 42   3% 7% 18% 50% 99%
Union EasternEast 11 10 6 39   2% 5% 16% 40% 94%
Dynamo WesternWest 13 9 5 44   1% 5% 14% 41% 99%
NY City FC EasternEast 8 10 9 33   1% 3% 8% 19% 59%
Sounders WesternWest 9 9 8 35   <1% 2% 5% 15% 53%
Rapids WesternWest 11 13 3 36   <1% 2% 5% 14% 49%
FC Cincinnati EasternEast 8 9 9 33   <1% 1% 4% 10% 41%
Timbers WesternWest 9 13 5 32   <1% 1% 3% 8% 26%
San Diego FC WesternWest 8 11 8 32   <1% 1% 3% 7% 22%
Orlando City SC EasternEast 10 13 4 34   <1% 1% 2% 7% 34%
Galaxy WesternWest 9 10 9 36   <1% 1% 2% 7% 28%
Real Salt Lake WesternWest 9 13 5 32   <1% 1% 2% 6% 21%
D.C. United EasternEast 6 8 12 30   <1% <1% 2% 6% 25%
Red Bull EasternEast 9 11 6 33   <1% <1% 1% 4% 27%
Toronto FC EasternEast 6 10 11 29   <1% <1% 1% 2% 12%
Crew EasternEast 7 14 5 26   <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Austin FC WesternWest 7 10 10 31   <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Minnesota United WesternWest 7 12 8 29   <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Atlanta United EasternEast 7 14 6 27   <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
CF Montréal EasternEast 6 15 6 24   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sporting KC WesternWest 6 17 3 21   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot