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MLS Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The MLS Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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MLS Post Season Probabilities

   Record  Current Series MLS Cup Winner MLS Cup Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L T Pts
Red Bulls Eastern 11 7 6 39   11% 25% 47% 85% >99%
Whitecaps Western 14 10 3 45   11% 18% 38% 76% 97%
Galaxy Western 13 8 7 46   11% 18% 36% 70% 96%
D.C. United Eastern 13 9 5 44   10% 23% 45% 84% >99%
FC Dallas Western 12 8 5 41   10% 17% 34% 66% 92%
Sporting KC Western 11 7 7 40   9% 16% 31% 60% 86%
Timbers Western 11 8 7 40   7% 12% 24% 48% 78%
Toronto FC Eastern 11 10 4 37   6% 16% 33% 67% 98%
Crew Eastern 11 8 8 41   6% 15% 31% 63% 99%
Earthquakes Western 11 10 5 38   6% 11% 21% 45% 78%
Revolution Eastern 10 9 7 37   5% 13% 27% 58% 96%
Impact Eastern 8 11 4 28   2% 4% 10% 25% 58%
Sounders Western 11 13 2 35   2% 3% 7% 15% 31%
Dynamo Western 9 10 8 35   1% 2% 5% 10% 21%
Orlando City SC Eastern 7 12 8 29   1% 2% 4% 10% 24%
Rapids Western 8 9 9 33   1% 2% 4% 8% 17%
Fire Eastern 7 13 6 27   <1% 1% 2% 5% 14%
NY City FC Eastern 7 13 7 28   <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Union Eastern 7 14 6 27   <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Real Salt Lake Western 8 11 8 32   <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot