The Charlotte FC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Charlotte FC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 13 | 11 | 2 | 41 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 10% | 4% |
Current Standings | 12 | 11 | 2 | 38 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 16% | 9% |
Lose Next Game | 12 | 12 | 2 | 38 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 21% | 25% | 20% | 12% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 9% | 3% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 16% | 9% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 20% | 25% | 23% | 13% |
Best Case Scenario LAFC beats Fire Charlotte FC beats FC Cincinnati Inter Miami CF beats Orlando City SC |
Worst Case Scenario Fire beats LAFC FC Cincinnati beats Charlotte FC Orlando City SC beats Inter Miami CF |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
9 of 9 | 100% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 22% | 43% | 28% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | 2% | 14% | 36% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
7 of 9 | 78% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 29% | 43% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
6 of 9 | 67% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 26% | 46% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 9 | 56% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 24% | 45% | 25% | 4% | <1% |
4 of 9 | 44% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 46% | 27% | 4% |
3 of 9 | 33% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 22% | 51% | 25% |
2 of 9 | 22% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 29% | 67% |
1 of 9 | 11% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 93% |
0 of 9 | 0% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |