The FC Cincinnati What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Cincinnati play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 31% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 16 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 17% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 16 | 9 | 4 | 52 | 5% | 16% | 22% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 38% | 27% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 17% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 4% | 13% | 22% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario FC Cincinnati beats Union Fire beats Inter Miami CF Atlanta United beats Nashville SC |
Worst Case Scenario Union beats FC Cincinnati Inter Miami CF beats Fire Nashville SC beats Atlanta United |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 21 | 9 | 4 | 67 | 82% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 20 | 10 | 4 | 64 | 34% | 47% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 19 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 2% | 20% | 45% | 27% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 18 | 12 | 4 | 58 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 30% | 40% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 17 | 13 | 4 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 39% | 37% | 9% | <1% | <1% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 16 | 14 | 4 | 52 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 32% | 52% | 11% | <1% |