The FC Cincinnati What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Cincinnati play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 7 | 7 | 34 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 29% | 22% | 11% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 7 | 7 | 31 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 25% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 10% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 8 | 7 | 31 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 21% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 15% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 30% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 25% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 10% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 16% |
|
Best Case Scenario Nashville SC beats NY City FC FC Cincinnati beats D.C. United |
Worst Case Scenario NY City FC beats Nashville SC D.C. United beats FC Cincinnati |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 12 of 12 | 100% | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 1% | 79% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 12 | 92% | 19 | 8 | 7 | 64 | <1% | 50% | 43% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 12 | 83% | 18 | 9 | 7 | 61 | <1% | 19% | 49% | 28% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 12 | 75% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | <1% | 3% | 26% | 46% | 22% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 12 | 67% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 31% | 45% | 17% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 12 | 58% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 39% | 45% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 12 | 50% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 54% | 28% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 12 | 42% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 27% | 46% | 22% | 3% | <1% |
| 4 of 12 | 33% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 24% | 40% | 25% | 6% |
| 3 of 12 | 25% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 34% | 51% |
| 2 of 12 | 17% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 96% |
| 1 of 12 | 8% | 9 | 18 | 7 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 12 | 0% | 8 | 19 | 7 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |