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Mon Apr 14 3:45 am

MLS - Week 9 of 35

Galaxy What If?

The Galaxy What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Galaxy play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Galaxy What If?

Next Game - Austin FC (4‑3‑1)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
Win Next Game 1 5 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 88%
Current Standings 0 5 3 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 91%
Lose Next Game 0 6 3 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 92%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 88%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 91%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 92%
Best Case Scenario
   Galaxy beats Austin FC
 Worst Case Scenario
   Austin FC beats Galaxy
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
26 of 26 100% 26 5 3 81 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 26 96% 25 6 3 78 76% 23% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 26 92% 24 7 3 75 64% 34% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
23 of 26 88% 23 8 3 72 45% 47% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
22 of 26 85% 22 9 3 69 28% 51% 19% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
21 of 26 81% 21 10 3 66 13% 45% 33% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 26 77% 20 11 3 63 5% 29% 42% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 26 73% 19 12 3 60 1% 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 26 69% 18 13 3 57 <1% 4% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 26 65% 17 14 3 54 <1% 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% <1% <1%
16 of 26 62% 16 15 3 51 <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 36% 25% 9% 1% <1%
15 of 26 58% 15 16 3 48 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 1%
14 of 26 54% 14 17 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 12%
13 of 26 50% 13 18 3 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 18% 35% 42%
12 of 26 46% 12 19 3 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 78%
10 of 26 38% 10 21 3 33 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 26 19% 5 26 3 18 X X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 26 0% 0 31 3 3 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs