PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Apr 12 1:00 am

MLS - Week 8 of 38

Galaxy What If?

The Galaxy What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Galaxy play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Galaxy What If?

Next Game - FC Dallas (3‑1‑3)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 3 3 2 11 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 79%
Current Standings 2 3 2 8 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 83%
Lose Next Game 2 4 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 85%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 79%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 83%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 85%
Best Case Scenario
   Galaxy beats FC Dallas
Worst Case Scenario
   FC Dallas beats Galaxy
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
27 of 27 100% 29 3 2 89 96% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 27 96% 28 4 2 86 89% 11% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 27 93% 27 5 2 83 76% 23% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 27 89% 26 6 2 80 59% 37% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
23 of 27 85% 25 7 2 77 38% 49% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
22 of 27 81% 24 8 2 74 20% 50% 26% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
21 of 27 78% 23 9 2 71 8% 37% 40% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 27 74% 22 10 2 68 2% 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 27 70% 21 11 2 65 <1% 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 27 67% 20 12 2 62 <1% 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 27 63% 19 13 2 59 <1% <1% 2% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2% <1% <1%
16 of 27 59% 18 14 2 56 <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 35% 31% 11% 2% <1%
15 of 27 56% 17 15 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
14 of 27 52% 16 16 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 37% 27% 9%
13 of 27 48% 15 17 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 24% 37% 31%
12 of 27 44% 14 18 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 64%
11 of 27 41% 13 19 2 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 89%
10 of 27 37% 12 20 2 38 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
5 of 27 19% 7 25 2 23 X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 27 0% 2 30 2 8 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs