PlayoffStatus.com↓≡

Home ►MLS►Western Playoff Picture►Galaxy Playoff Picture►Galaxy What If?
Sun Mar 9 11:15 pm

MLS - Week 4 of 35

Galaxy What If?

The Galaxy What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Galaxy play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Galaxy What If?

Next Game - Timbers (1‑2)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
Win Next Game 1 3 0 3 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 53%
Current Standings 0 3 0 0 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 63%
Lose Next Game 0 4 0 0 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 69%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
Best Case Scenario 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 53%
Current Standings 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 63%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 69%
Best Case Scenario
   Galaxy beats Timbers
 Worst Case Scenario
   Timbers beats Galaxy
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
31 of 31 100% 31 3 0 93 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 30 4 0 90 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 25 9 0 75 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
22 of 31 71% 22 12 0 66 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 31 68% 21 13 0 63 84% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 31 65% 20 14 0 60 62% 33% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 31 61% 19 15 0 57 29% 44% 22% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 31 58% 18 16 0 54 6% 23% 36% 25% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 31 55% 17 17 0 51 <1% 3% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1%
16 of 31 52% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% 3% 11% 24% 30% 22% 8% 2%
15 of 31 48% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 20% 30% 41%
14 of 31 45% 14 20 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
10 of 31 32% 10 24 0 30 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 31 16% 5 29 0 15 X X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 31 0% 0 34 0 0 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs