The LAFC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the LAFC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 17% |
Current Standings | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 21% |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 23% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 16% |
Current Standings | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 21% |
Worst Case Scenario | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 24% |
Best Case Scenario Crew beats Timbers LAFC beats Red Bulls Charlotte FC beats Minnesota United |
Worst Case Scenario Timbers beats Crew Red Bulls beats LAFC Minnesota United beats Charlotte FC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
26 of 26 | 100% | 29 | 3 | 2 | 89 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
25 of 26 | 96% | 28 | 4 | 2 | 86 | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
22 of 26 | 85% | 25 | 7 | 2 | 77 | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
21 of 26 | 81% | 24 | 8 | 2 | 74 | 76% | 22% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 26 | 77% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 58% | 36% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
19 of 26 | 73% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 37% | 46% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
18 of 26 | 69% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 18% | 43% | 31% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
17 of 26 | 65% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | 6% | 27% | 40% | 22% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 26 | 62% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | 1% | 11% | 31% | 36% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 26 | 58% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | 2% | 14% | 32% | 33% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 26 | 54% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 33% | 32% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 26 | 50% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 33% | 31% | 14% | 2% | <1% |
12 of 26 | 46% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 33% | 33% | 13% | 2% |
11 of 26 | 42% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 34% | 32% | 15% |
10 of 26 | 38% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 35% | 46% |
9 of 26 | 35% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 79% |
8 of 26 | 31% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 95% |
5 of 26 | 19% | 8 | 24 | 2 | 26 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 26 | 0% | 3 | 29 | 2 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |