PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Aug 7 1:00 am

MLS - Week 25 of 33

NY City FC What If?

The NY City FC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the NY City FC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

NY City FC What If?

Next Game - Inter Miami CF (8‑10‑6)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 13 5 6 45 46% 32% 15% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 12 5 6 42 40% 33% 18% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 12 6 6 42 29% 35% 21% 9% 3% 1% 1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 59% 25% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 40% 33% 18% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 26% 34% 24% 10% 4% 1% 1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Fire beats Union
   NY City FC beats Inter Miami CF
   Dynamo beats CF MontrĂ©al
Worst Case Scenario
   Union beats Fire
   Inter Miami CF beats NY City FC
   CF MontrĂ©al beats Dynamo
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
11 of 11 100% 23 5 6 75 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 of 11 91% 22 6 6 72 95% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 11 82% 21 7 6 69 79% 21% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 11 73% 20 8 6 66 54% 42% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 11 64% 19 9 6 63 27% 57% 16% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
6 of 11 55% 18 10 6 60 9% 47% 40% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^
5 of 11 45% 17 11 6 57 1% 20% 52% 24% 2% <1% <1% <1%
4 of 11 36% 16 12 6 54 <1% 3% 29% 47% 19% 2% <1% <1%
3 of 11 27% 15 13 6 51 <1% <1% 4% 26% 42% 23% 5% <1%
2 of 11 18% 14 14 6 48 <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 34% 34% 17%
1 of 11 9% 13 15 6 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 79%
0 of 11 0% 12 16 6 42 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs