The NY City FC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the NY City FC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 10 | 7 | 4 | 34 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 16% |
| Current Standings | 9 | 7 | 4 | 31 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 27% |
| Lose Next Game | 9 | 8 | 4 | 31 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 33% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 27% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 36% |
|
Best Case Scenario NY City FC beats Charlotte FC CF Montréal beats Orlando City SC San Diego FC beats Fire |
Worst Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats NY City FC Orlando City SC beats CF Montréal Fire beats San Diego FC |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 14 of 14 | 100% | 23 | 7 | 4 | 73 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 14 | 93% | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 78% | 21% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 14 | 86% | 21 | 9 | 4 | 67 | 44% | 43% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 14 | 79% | 20 | 10 | 4 | 64 | 13% | 40% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 10 of 14 | 71% | 19 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 1% | 12% | 35% | 36% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 14 | 64% | 18 | 12 | 4 | 58 | <1% | 1% | 8% | 30% | 41% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 14 | 57% | 17 | 13 | 4 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 25% | 42% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 14 | 50% | 16 | 14 | 4 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 40% | 29% | 7% | 1% |
| 6 of 14 | 43% | 15 | 15 | 4 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 38% | 32% | 10% |
| 5 of 14 | 36% | 14 | 16 | 4 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 38% | 46% |
| 4 of 14 | 29% | 13 | 17 | 4 | 43 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 84% |
| 3 of 14 | 21% | 12 | 18 | 4 | 40 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |
| 2 of 14 | 14% | 11 | 19 | 4 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 1 of 14 | 7% | 10 | 20 | 4 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 14 | 0% | 9 | 21 | 4 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |