The NY City FC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the NY City FC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 13 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 46% | 32% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 12 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 40% | 33% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 12 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 29% | 35% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 59% | 25% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 40% | 33% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 26% | 34% | 24% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Fire beats Union NY City FC beats Inter Miami CF Dynamo beats CF Montréal |
Worst Case Scenario Union beats Fire Inter Miami CF beats NY City FC CF Montréal beats Dynamo |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 11 of 11 | 100% | 23 | 5 | 6 | 75 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 11 | 91% | 22 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 11 | 82% | 21 | 7 | 6 | 69 | 79% | 21% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 11 | 73% | 20 | 8 | 6 | 66 | 54% | 42% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 11 | 64% | 19 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 27% | 57% | 16% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 11 | 55% | 18 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 9% | 47% | 40% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 11 | 45% | 17 | 11 | 6 | 57 | 1% | 20% | 52% | 24% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 11 | 36% | 16 | 12 | 6 | 54 | <1% | 3% | 29% | 47% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 of 11 | 27% | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 26% | 42% | 23% | 5% | <1% |
| 2 of 11 | 18% | 14 | 14 | 6 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 34% | 34% | 17% |
| 1 of 11 | 9% | 13 | 15 | 6 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 79% |
| 0 of 11 | 0% | 12 | 16 | 6 | 42 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |