PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Apr 12 1:00 am

MLS - Week 8 of 38

Rapids What If?

The Rapids What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rapids play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Rapids What If?

Next Game - Inter Miami CF (3‑1‑3)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 5 3 0 15 3% 6% 8% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 20%
Current Standings 4 3 0 12 3% 6% 8% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 23%
Lose Next Game 4 4 0 12 2% 4% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 26%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 3% 6% 8% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 20%
Current Standings 3% 6% 8% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 23%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 4% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 26%
Best Case Scenario
   Rapids beats Inter Miami CF
Worst Case Scenario
   Inter Miami CF beats Rapids
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
27 of 27 100% 31 3 0 93 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 27 93% 29 5 0 87 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 27 89% 28 6 0 84 78% 21% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 27 85% 27 7 0 81 60% 37% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 27 81% 26 8 0 78 39% 49% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
21 of 27 78% 25 9 0 75 20% 50% 26% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 27 74% 24 10 0 72 8% 37% 40% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 27 70% 23 11 0 69 2% 21% 41% 28% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 27 67% 22 12 0 66 <1% 8% 29% 39% 19% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 27 63% 21 13 0 63 <1% 2% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 27 59% 20 14 0 60 <1% <1% 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1% <1% <1%
15 of 27 56% 19 15 0 57 <1% <1% 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% 1% <1%
14 of 27 52% 18 16 0 54 <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% <1%
13 of 27 48% 17 17 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 32% 36% 16% 3%
12 of 27 44% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 15% 35% 33% 15%
11 of 27 41% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 37% 41%
10 of 27 37% 14 20 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 73%
9 of 27 33% 13 21 0 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 93%
5 of 27 19% 9 25 0 27 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 27 0% 4 30 0 12 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs