The Sounders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sounders play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 2% | 8% | 15% | 31% | 40% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 12 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 1% | 6% | 13% | 29% | 45% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 12 | 8 | 8 | 44 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 24% | 56% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 2% | 8% | 15% | 31% | 40% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 1% | 6% | 13% | 29% | 45% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 7% | 24% | 56% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Sounders beats Real Salt Lake |
Worst Case Scenario Real Salt Lake beats Sounders |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
7 of 7 | 100% | 19 | 7 | 8 | 65 | 54% | 41% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 7 | 86% | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 | 13% | 43% | 34% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 7 | 71% | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59 | 1% | 10% | 37% | 41% | 12% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 7 | 57% | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 9% | 45% | 45% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 7 | 43% | 15 | 11 | 8 | 53 | X | <1% | 1% | 21% | 75% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
2 of 7 | 29% | 14 | 12 | 8 | 50 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 66% | 26% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
1 of 7 | 14% | 13 | 13 | 8 | 47 | X | X | X | <1% | 21% | 44% | 29% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
0 of 7 | 0% | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 29% | 39% | 20% | 4% |