PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Apr 14 9:15 pm

MLS - Week 9 of 35

Sounders What If?

The Sounders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sounders play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sounders What If?

Next Game - Whitecaps (4‑2‑1)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 2 3 3 9 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 40%
Current Standings 1 3 3 6 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 45%
Lose Next Game 1 4 3 6 1% 2% 4% 5% 5% 7% 8% 9% 10% 49%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 39%
Current Standings 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 45%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 3% 4% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 50%
Best Case Scenario
   Sounders beats Whitecaps
   Charlotte FC beats Minnesota United
Worst Case Scenario
   Whitecaps beats Sounders
   Minnesota United beats Charlotte FC
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
27 of 27 100% 28 3 3 87 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 27 93% 26 5 3 81 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 27 89% 25 6 3 78 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 27 85% 24 7 3 75 82% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
22 of 27 81% 23 8 3 72 66% 31% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
21 of 27 78% 22 9 3 69 44% 44% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
20 of 27 74% 21 10 3 66 24% 46% 25% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 27 70% 20 11 3 63 9% 35% 38% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 27 67% 19 12 3 60 2% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 27 63% 18 13 3 57 <1% 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 27 59% 17 14 3 54 <1% <1% 5% 19% 35% 28% 10% 2% <1% <1%
15 of 27 56% 16 15 3 51 <1% <1% 1% 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 2% <1%
14 of 27 52% 15 16 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 2%
13 of 27 48% 14 17 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 34% 30% 13%
12 of 27 44% 13 18 3 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 36% 42%
11 of 27 41% 12 19 3 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 20% 75%
10 of 27 37% 11 20 3 36 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 94%
5 of 27 19% 6 25 3 21 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 27 0% 1 30 3 6 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs