The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 16 | 7 | 5 | 53 | 83% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 15 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 72% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 62% | 23% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 90% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 72% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 53% | 27% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats FC Dallas Whitecaps beats LAFC Galaxy beats St. Louis City SC |
Worst Case Scenario FC Dallas beats Charlotte FC LAFC beats Whitecaps St. Louis City SC beats Galaxy |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 94% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 66% | 30% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | 23% | 47% | 27% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | 2% | 17% | 45% | 30% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 34% | 39% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 52% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% |