PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 24 1:00 am

MLS - Week 6 of 35

Whitecaps What If?

The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Whitecaps What If?

Next Game - Timbers (2‑2‑1)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 3 1 1 10 15% 14% 12% 10% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 12%
Current Standings 2 1 1 7 14% 13% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 14%
Lose Next Game 2 2 1 7 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 15%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 15% 14% 12% 10% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 12%
Current Standings 14% 13% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 14%
Worst Case Scenario 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 15%
Best Case Scenario
   Whitecaps beats Timbers
Worst Case Scenario
   Timbers beats Whitecaps
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
30 of 30 100% 32 1 1 97 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 30 87% 28 5 1 85 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 27 6 1 82 87% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 30 80% 26 7 1 79 76% 23% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 30 77% 25 8 1 76 61% 35% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
22 of 30 73% 24 9 1 73 43% 45% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
21 of 30 70% 23 10 1 70 27% 48% 22% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
20 of 30 67% 22 11 1 67 13% 40% 35% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 30 63% 21 12 1 64 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 30 60% 20 13 1 61 1% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 30 57% 19 14 1 58 <1% 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 30 53% 18 15 1 55 <1% 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1%
15 of 30 50% 17 16 1 52 <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% <1% <1%
14 of 30 47% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% <1%
13 of 30 43% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 2%
12 of 30 40% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 9%
11 of 30 37% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 24% 38% 31%
10 of 30 33% 12 21 1 37 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 29% 61%
9 of 30 30% 11 22 1 34 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 87%
5 of 30 17% 7 26 1 22 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 30 0% 2 31 1 7 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs