The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 15 | 6 | 7 | 52 | 32% | 34% | 21% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Current Standings | 14 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 20% | 30% | 26% | 16% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 14 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 12% | 27% | 29% | 21% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 37% | 37% | 16% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Current Standings | 20% | 30% | 26% | 16% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 11% | 24% | 31% | 22% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Whitecaps beats Orlando City SC Timbers beats Minnesota United |
Worst Case Scenario Orlando City SC beats Whitecaps Minnesota United beats Timbers |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
7 of 7 | 100% | 21 | 6 | 7 | 70 | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 7 | 86% | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 84% | 15% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 7 | 71% | 19 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 48% | 47% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 7 | 57% | 18 | 9 | 7 | 61 | 10% | 51% | 34% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 7 | 43% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 1% | 14% | 47% | 32% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 7 | 29% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | 1% | 17% | 47% | 35% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 7 | 14% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | X | <1% | 2% | 21% | 69% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
0 of 7 | 0% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 51% | 38% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% |