The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48 | 59% | 26% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 13 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 48% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 13 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 37% | 31% | 19% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 71% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 48% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 31% | 31% | 23% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Sporting KC beats San Diego FC Whitecaps beats Earthquakes Rapids beats Minnesota United |
Worst Case Scenario San Diego FC beats Sporting KC Earthquakes beats Whitecaps Minnesota United beats Rapids |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
10 of 10 | 100% | 23 | 5 | 6 | 75 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 10 | 90% | 22 | 6 | 6 | 72 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 10 | 80% | 21 | 7 | 6 | 69 | 96% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 10 | 70% | 20 | 8 | 6 | 66 | 79% | 20% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 10 | 60% | 19 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 44% | 46% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 10 | 50% | 18 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 14% | 45% | 34% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
4 of 10 | 40% | 17 | 11 | 6 | 57 | 2% | 18% | 46% | 29% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
3 of 10 | 30% | 16 | 12 | 6 | 54 | <1% | 2% | 20% | 44% | 30% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
2 of 10 | 20% | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 44% | 30% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
1 of 10 | 10% | 14 | 14 | 6 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 40% | 35% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
0 of 10 | 0% | 13 | 15 | 6 | 45 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 32% | 39% | 18% | 3% |