PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Apr 14 3:45 am

MLS - Week 9 of 35

Whitecaps What If?

The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Whitecaps What If?

Next Game - St. Louis City SC (2‑4‑2)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 7 1 1 22 57% 19% 10% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 6 1 1 19 53% 19% 10% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Lose Next Game 6 2 1 19 48% 20% 12% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 57% 19% 10% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 53% 19% 10% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Worst Case Scenario 48% 20% 12% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Best Case Scenario
   Whitecaps beats St. Louis City SC
Worst Case Scenario
   St. Louis City SC beats Whitecaps
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
26 of 26 100% 32 1 1 97 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 26 96% 31 2 1 94 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 26 77% 26 7 1 79 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 26 73% 25 8 1 76 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
18 of 26 69% 24 9 1 73 73% 25% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 26 65% 23 10 1 70 55% 38% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 26 62% 22 11 1 67 33% 46% 18% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 26 58% 21 12 1 64 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 26 54% 20 13 1 61 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 26 50% 19 14 1 58 1% 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 26 46% 18 15 1 55 <1% 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 5% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 26 42% 17 16 1 52 <1% <1% 2% 12% 28% 34% 18% 5% 1% <1%
10 of 26 38% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
9 of 26 35% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6%
8 of 26 31% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 31%
7 of 26 27% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 69%
6 of 26 23% 12 21 1 37 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
5 of 26 19% 11 22 1 34 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
0 of 26 0% 6 27 1 19 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs