The Whitecaps What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Whitecaps play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 57% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 53% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 48% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 57% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 53% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 48% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Best Case Scenario Whitecaps beats St. Louis City SC |
Worst Case Scenario St. Louis City SC beats Whitecaps |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
26 of 26 | 100% | 32 | 1 | 1 | 97 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
25 of 26 | 96% | 31 | 2 | 1 | 94 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 26 | 77% | 26 | 7 | 1 | 79 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 26 | 73% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | 87% | 13% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 26 | 69% | 24 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 73% | 25% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
17 of 26 | 65% | 23 | 10 | 1 | 70 | 55% | 38% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
16 of 26 | 62% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | 33% | 46% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 26 | 58% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | 16% | 40% | 32% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 26 | 54% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | 5% | 25% | 39% | 24% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 26 | 50% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | 1% | 9% | 29% | 35% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 26 | 46% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | <1% | 2% | 12% | 29% | 34% | 18% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 26 | 42% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 28% | 34% | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
10 of 26 | 38% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 29% | 34% | 20% | 5% | 1% |
9 of 26 | 35% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 27% | 35% | 21% | 6% |
8 of 26 | 31% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 24% | 35% | 31% |
7 of 26 | 27% | 13 | 20 | 1 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 69% |
6 of 26 | 23% | 12 | 21 | 1 | 37 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
5 of 26 | 19% | 11 | 22 | 1 | 34 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
0 of 26 | 0% | 6 | 27 | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |