The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| New Mexico (21‑7) vs San Diego St. (19‑8) |
0 | New Mexico Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Air Force (3‑25) vs Wyoming (15‑13) |
0 | Air Force Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| San José State (8‑20) vs Colorado St. (18‑10) |
0 | San José State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Fresno St. (12‑16) vs Boise St. (17‑11) |
0 | Fresno St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| UNLV (14‑14) vs Nevada (18‑9) |
0 | UNLV Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Nevada Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Utah St. (23‑5) vs Grand Canyon (18‑10) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||