The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Air Force (3‑9) vs Wyoming (9‑3) |
0 | Air Force Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 22% | 53% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | ||
| Colorado St. (8‑3) vs Nevada (8‑3) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 54% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Nevada Wins | 22% | 53% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | ||
| San José State (5‑7) vs San Diego St. (7‑4) |
0 | San José State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 55% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 22% | 53% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | ||
| Utah St. (10‑1) vs Fresno St. (6‑5) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 53% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | ||
| Fresno St. Wins | 22% | 53% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | ||
| Boise St. (8‑4) vs New Mexico (9‑2) |
0 | Boise St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 54% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 22% | 53% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | ||