The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| San José State (12‑16) vs Wyoming (12‑15) |
0 | San José State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 17% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 82% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 82% | ||
| Air Force (3‑23) vs Fresno St. (5‑22) |
0 | Air Force Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 37% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 82% | ||
| Fresno St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
| Nevada (15‑11) vs Boise St. (18‑8) |
0 | Nevada Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 82% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 82% | ||
| Utah St. (23‑4) vs San Diego St. (18‑6) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 82% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 82% | ||
| UNLV (14‑12) vs Colorado St. (17‑9) |
0 | UNLV Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 82% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 82% | ||