The Most Important Games for the Utah St. Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Utah St. Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Utah St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Air Force (3‑12) vs New Mexico (11‑3) |
1 | Air Force Wins | 42% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 39% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | <1% | <1% | 39% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Fresno St. (7‑7) vs San Diego St. (10‑4) |
1 | Fresno St. Wins | 41% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 39% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 38% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV (7‑7) vs Colorado St. (9‑5) |
1 | UNLV Wins | 39% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 39% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 38% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Grand Canyon (8‑4) vs Boise St. (9‑5) |
0 | Grand Canyon Wins | 39% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 39% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 39% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming (11‑4) vs Nevada (10‑4) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | 41% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 39% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nevada Wins | <1% | <1% | 39% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||