PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Feb 20 12:30 am

Mountain West Basketball - Week 16 of 18

Utah St. Aggies Standings

Where are the Utah St. Aggies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Utah St. standings table presents the probabilities of the Aggies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mountain West Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
20 game season
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6 7 8 9 10 11
New Mexico 14i
New Mexico Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 08 @  Air Force       88-53 
Won  Wed, Feb 12 vs Wyoming         71-67 
Won  Sun, Feb 16 vs Utah St.        82-79 
Lost Wed, Feb 19 @  Boise St.       78-86 
     Tue, Feb 25 @  San Diego St.  
     Sat, Mar 01 vs Air Force      
     Tue, Mar 04 @  Nevada         
     Fri, Mar 07 vs UNLV           

2 16 90% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Utah St. 13
Utah St. Recent Games

Won  Fri, Feb 07 @  Fresno St.      89-81 
Won  Tue, Feb 11 vs Colorado St.    93-85 
Lost Sun, Feb 16 @  New Mexico      79-82 
Won  Wed, Feb 19 vs San José State 105-57 
     Sat, Feb 22 vs San Diego St.  
     Wed, Feb 26 @  Boise St.      
     Sat, Mar 01 @  Colorado St.   
     Sat, Mar 08 vs Air Force      

3 16 9% 65% 18% 6% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Colorado St. 11
Colorado St. Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs San Diego St.   68-63 
Lost Tue, Feb 11 @  Utah St.        85-93 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 vs Wyoming         88-53 
Won  Tue, Feb 18 vs Nevada          79-71 
     Sat, Feb 22 @  UNLV           
     Tue, Feb 25 @  Air Force      
     Sat, Mar 01 vs Utah St.       
     Tue, Mar 04 vs San José State 

4 15 <1% 7% 30% 35% 25% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
San Diego St. 11
San Diego St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 08 @  Colorado St.    63-68 
Won  Tue, Feb 11 @  San José State  69-66 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 vs Boise St.       64-47 
Won  Tue, Feb 18 vs Fresno St.      83-60 
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Utah St.       
     Tue, Feb 25 vs New Mexico     
     Sat, Mar 01 @  Wyoming        
     Tue, Mar 04 @  UNLV           

4 15 1% 14% 37% 32% 13% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Boise St. 10
Boise St. Recent Games

Won  Tue, Feb 04 @  UNLV            71-62 
Won  Fri, Feb 07 vs San José State  79-52 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 @  San Diego St.   47-64 
Won  Wed, Feb 19 vs New Mexico      86-78 
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Nevada         
     Wed, Feb 26 vs Utah St.       
     Sat, Mar 01 @  Fresno St.     
     Tue, Mar 04 @  Air Force      

5 15 <1% 5% 14% 26% 54% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
UNLV 8
UNLV Recent Games

Lost Tue, Feb 04 vs Boise St.       62-71 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 @  Wyoming         68-57 
Won  Tue, Feb 11 vs Air Force       77-52 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 @  Fresno St.      52-51 
     Sat, Feb 22 vs Colorado St.   
     Tue, Feb 25 @  San José State 
     Fri, Feb 28 vs Nevada         
     Tue, Mar 04 vs San Diego St.  

7 15 X <1% <1% 1% 4% 59% 33% 3% <1% ^ ^
Nevada 7
Nevada Recent Games

Won  Tue, Feb 04 @  Air Force       74-60 
Won  Mon, Feb 10 vs Fresno St.      94-69 
Won  Fri, Feb 14 @  San José State  73-58 
Lost Tue, Feb 18 @  Colorado St.    71-79 
     Sat, Feb 22 vs Boise St.      
     Tue, Feb 25 vs Wyoming        
     Fri, Feb 28 @  UNLV           
     Tue, Mar 04 vs New Mexico     

8 15 X X <1% <1% 1% 34% 50% 13% 2% ^ ^
San José State 5
San José State Recent Games

Lost Fri, Feb 07 @  Boise St.       52-79 
Lost Tue, Feb 11 vs San Diego St.   66-69 
Lost Fri, Feb 14 vs Nevada          58-73 
Lost Wed, Feb 19 @  Utah St.        57-105
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Wyoming        
     Tue, Feb 25 vs UNLV           
     Tue, Mar 04 @  Colorado St.   
     Sat, Mar 08 vs Fresno St.     

11 16 X X X X X <1% 5% 52% 42% <1% ^
Wyoming 5
Wyoming Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs UNLV            57-68 
Lost Wed, Feb 12 @  New Mexico      67-71 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 @  Colorado St.    53-88 
Won  Tue, Feb 18 vs Air Force       69-62 
     Sat, Feb 22 vs San José State 
     Tue, Feb 25 @  Nevada         
     Sat, Mar 01 vs San Diego St.  
     Tue, Mar 04 @  Fresno St.     

11 16 X X X X X 1% 12% 32% 55% <1% ^
Fresno St. 1
Fresno St. Recent Games

Lost Fri, Feb 07 vs Utah St.        81-89 
Lost Mon, Feb 10 @  Nevada          69-94 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs UNLV            51-52 
Lost Tue, Feb 18 @  San Diego St.   60-83 
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Air Force      
     Sat, Mar 01 vs Boise St.      
     Tue, Mar 04 vs Wyoming        
     Sat, Mar 08 @  San José State 

15 16 X X X X X X X X <1% 82% 18%
Air Force 0
Air Force Recent Games

Lost Tue, Feb 04 vs Nevada          60-74 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs New Mexico      53-88 
Lost Tue, Feb 11 @  UNLV            52-77 
Lost Tue, Feb 18 @  Wyoming         62-69 
     Sat, Feb 22 vs Fresno St.     
     Tue, Feb 25 vs Colorado St.   
     Sat, Mar 01 @  New Mexico     
     Tue, Mar 04 vs Boise St.      

15 15 X X X X X X X X X 18% 82%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(2) Aggies 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye >99%
(11)Air Force 0 15 <1%
(10)Fresno St. 1 15 <1%
(1)New Mexico 14 2 X
(3)Colorado St. 11 4 X
(4)San Diego St. 11 4 X
(5)Boise St. 10 5 X
(6)UNLV 8 7 X
(7)Nevada 7 8 X
(8)San José State 5 11 X
(9)Wyoming 5 11 X
Elimination X



Aggies Conference Schedule
Current Week 16
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
5 Wyoming
(12‑15)
70‑67 Home Wed Dec 4, 9:00 pm
8 San Diego St.
(18‑6)
67‑66 Away Sat Dec 28, 6:00 pm
9 Nevada
(15‑11)
69‑64 Away Tue Dec 31, 10:00 pm
9 Fresno St.
(5‑22)
89‑83 Home Sat Jan 4, 9:00 pm
10 San José State
(12‑16)
85‑78 Away Tue Jan 7, 10:00 pm
10 Boise St.
(18‑8)
81‑79 Home Sat Jan 11, 9:00 pm
11 UNLV
(14‑12)
62‑65 Away Wed Jan 15, 11:00 pm
12 Nevada
(15‑11)
90‑69 Home Wed Jan 22, 9:00 pm
12 Air Force
(3‑23)
87‑58 Away Sat Jan 25, 4:00 pm
13 UNLV
(14‑12)
76‑71 Home Wed Jan 29, 10:00 pm
13 New Mexico
(22‑5)
63‑82 Home Sat Feb 1, 9:30 pm
14 Wyoming
(12‑15)
71‑67 Away Tue Feb 4, 8:30 pm
14 Fresno St.
(5‑22)
89‑81 Away Fri Feb 7, 10:00 pm
15 Colorado St.
(17‑9)
93‑85 Home Tue Feb 11, 11:00 pm
15 New Mexico
(22‑5)
79‑82 Away Sun Feb 16, 4:00 pm
16 San José State
(12‑16)
105‑57 Home Wed Feb 19, 9:00 pm
16 San Diego St.
(18‑6)
  Home Sat Feb 22, 8:00 pm
17 Boise St.
(18‑8)
  Away Wed Feb 26, 10:30 pm
17 Colorado St.
(17‑9)
  Away Sat Mar 1, 4:00 pm
18 Air Force
(3‑23)
  Home Sat Mar 8, 4:00 pm


Aggies Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Alcorn St.
(9‑17)
SouthwesternSWAC 101‑46 Home Wed Nov 6, 9:00 pm
1 Charlotte
(10‑17)
American AthleticAm. Athletic 103‑74 Home Sat Nov 9, 4:00 pm
2 Westminster (UT) ‑‑ 117‑53 Home Wed Nov 13, 9:00 pm
3 Montana
(19‑8)
Big SkyBig Sky 95‑83 Home Mon Nov 18, 9:00 pm
3 Iowa
(14‑12)
Big 10Big 10 77‑69 Away Fri Nov 22, 8:00 pm
4 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt
(18‑9)
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 72‑67 Away Thu Nov 28, 5:30 pm
4 North Texas
(18‑6)
American AthleticAm. Athletic 61‑57 Away Fri Nov 29, 6:30 pm
5 Utah Tech
(6‑19)
WACWAC 92‑62 Home Sat Dec 7, 9:00 pm
6 South Florida
(13‑14)
American AthleticAm. Athletic 88‑67 Home Sat Dec 14, 4:00 pm
7 UC San Diego
(22‑4)
Big WestBig West 73‑75 Home Tue Dec 17, 9:00 pm
7 St. Mary's
(24‑4)
West CoastWest Coast 75‑68 Away Sun Dec 22, 8:00 pm