Are the UNLV Rebels going to play in the Conference Championship game? The UNLV standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| Utah St. | 1i Utah St. Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs UTEP 28-16 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Texas A&M 22-44 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Air Force 49-30 Sat, Sep 20 vs McNeese Sat, Sep 27 @ Vanderbilt Sat, Oct 11 @ Hawaii Fri, Oct 17 vs San José State |
0 | 1 | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| UNLV | 0 UNLV Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 23 vs Idaho State 38-31 Won Fri, Aug 29 @ Sam Houston 38-21 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs UCLA 30-23 Sat, Sep 20 @ Miami OH Sat, Oct 04 @ Wyoming Sat, Oct 11 vs Air Force Sat, Oct 18 @ Boise State |
0 | 0 | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% |
| Fresno State | 0 Fresno State Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 23 @ Kansas 7-31 Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Ga. Southern 42-14 Won Sat, Sep 06 @ Oregon St. 36-27 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Southern 56-7 Sat, Sep 20 @ Hawaii Sat, Oct 04 vs Nevada Fri, Oct 10 @ Colorado St. Sat, Oct 25 vs San Diego State |
0 | 0 | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Hawaii | 0 Hawaii Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 23 vs Stanford 23-20 Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Arizona 6-40 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Sam Houston 37-20 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Portland State 23-3 Sat, Sep 20 vs Fresno State Sat, Sep 27 @ Air Force Sat, Oct 11 vs Utah St. Sat, Oct 18 @ Colorado St. |
0 | 0 | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| New Mexico | 0 New Mexico Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Michigan 17-34 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Idaho State 32-22 Won Fri, Sep 12 @ UCLA 35-10 Sat, Sep 27 vs New Mexico St. Fri, Oct 03 @ San José State Sat, Oct 11 @ Boise State Sat, Oct 18 vs Nevada |
0 | 0 | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% |
| Wyoming | 0 Wyoming Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 @ Akron 10-0 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Northern Iowa 31-7 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Utah 6-31 Sat, Sep 20 @ Colorado Sat, Oct 04 vs UNLV Sat, Oct 11 vs San José State Sat, Oct 18 @ Air Force |
0 | 0 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% |
| San Diego State | 0 San Diego State Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs Stony Brook 42-0 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Wash. St. 13-36 Sat, Sep 20 vs California Sat, Sep 27 @ N. Illinois Fri, Oct 03 vs Colorado St. Sat, Oct 11 @ Nevada |
0 | 0 | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
| Boise State | 0 Boise State Recent Games Lost Thu, Aug 28 @ South Florida 7-34 Won Fri, Sep 05 vs Eastern Washington 51-14 Sat, Sep 20 @ Air Force Sat, Sep 27 vs App. St. Sat, Oct 04 @ Notre Dame Sat, Oct 11 vs New Mexico |
0 | 0 | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% |
| Colorado St. | 0 Colorado St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Wash. 21-38 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Northern Colorado 21-17 Sat, Sep 20 vs UTSA Sat, Sep 27 vs Wash. St. Fri, Oct 03 @ San Diego State Fri, Oct 10 vs Fresno State |
0 | 0 | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% |
| Nevada | 0 Nevada Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Penn St. 11-46 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Sacramento State 20-17 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Middle Tenn. St. 13-14 Sat, Sep 20 @ W. Kentucky Sat, Oct 04 @ Fresno State Sat, Oct 11 vs San Diego State Sat, Oct 18 @ New Mexico |
0 | 0 | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 16% |
| San José State | 0 San José State Recent Games Lost Fri, Aug 29 vs C. Michigan 14-16 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Texas 7-38 Sat, Sep 20 vs Idaho Sat, Sep 27 @ Stanford Fri, Oct 03 vs New Mexico Sat, Oct 11 @ Wyoming |
0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 22% |
| Air Force | 0 Air Force Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Bucknell 49-13 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Utah St. 30-49 Sat, Sep 20 vs Boise State Sat, Sep 27 vs Hawaii Sat, Oct 04 @ Navy Sat, Oct 11 @ UNLV |
1 | 1 | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (3)Fresno State | 0 | 0 | 5% |
| (1)Utah St. | 1 | 0 | 5% |
| (4)Hawaii | 0 | 0 | 4% |
| (5)New Mexico | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (6)Wyoming | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (7)San Diego State | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (9)Colorado St. | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (8)Boise State | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (12)Air Force | 0 | 1 | 1% |
| (10)Nevada | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (11)San José State | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| Elimination | 72% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wyoming (2‑1) |
Away | Sat Oct 4, 7:00 pm | |
| 7 | Air Force (1‑1) |
Home | Sat Oct 11, 3:30 pm | |
| 8 | Boise State (1‑1) |
Away | Sat Oct 18, TBD | |
| 10 | New Mexico (2‑1) |
Home | Sat Nov 1, 3:00 pm | |
| 11 | Colorado St. (1‑1) |
Away | Sat Nov 8, TBD | |
| 12 | Utah St. (2‑1) |
Home | Sat Nov 15, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Hawaii (3‑1) |
Home | Fri Nov 21, 10:30 pm | |
| 14 | Nevada (1‑2) |
Away | Sat Nov 29, 9:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Idaho State | ‑‑ | 38‑31 | Home | Sat Aug 23, 4:00 pm |
| 1 | Sam Houston (0‑3) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 38‑21 | Away | Fri Aug 29, 9:30 pm |
| 2 | UCLA (0‑3) |
Big 10Big 10 | 30‑23 | Home | Sat Sep 6, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | Miami OH (0‑2) |
MACMAC | Away | Sat Sep 20, 12:00 pm |