The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| New Mexico (4‑3) vs Utah St. (4‑3) |
5 | New Mexico Wins | 1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 3% | ||
| Nevada (1‑6) vs Boise State (5‑2) |
1 | Nevada Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Boise State Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 2% | ||
| San Diego State (5‑1) vs Fresno State (5‑2) |
0 | San Diego State Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Fresno State Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Wyoming (3‑4) vs Colorado St. (2‑5) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 2% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 2% | ||