The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| New Mexico (8‑3) vs San Diego State (9‑2) |
93 | New Mexico Wins | 50% | 47% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 26% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San Diego State Wins | X | 4% | 9% | 30% | 27% | 24% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Utah St. (6‑5) vs Boise State (7‑4) |
6 | Utah St. Wins | 51% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 26% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boise State Wins | 3% | 46% | 8% | 21% | 15% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fresno State (7‑4) vs San José State (3‑8) |
2 | Fresno State Wins | 25% | 27% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 26% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San José State Wins | 26% | 24% | 12% | 19% | 14% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UNLV (9‑2) vs Nevada (3‑8) |
1 | UNLV Wins | 24% | 28% | 1% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 26% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nevada Wins | 33% | 18% | 33% | 15% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wyoming (4‑7) vs Hawaii (7‑4) |
1 | Wyoming Wins | 26% | 27% | 7% | 18% | 10% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 26% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Hawaii Wins | 26% | 26% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 11% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado St. (2‑9) vs Air Force (3‑8) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | 26% | 26% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 26% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Air Force Wins | 26% | 26% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||