The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| New Mexico (3‑1) vs UTEP (1‑3) |
14 | New Mexico Wins | 19% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| UTEP Wins | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Hawaii (1‑3) vs San José State (2‑2) |
2 | Hawaii Wins | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| San José State Wins | 18% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Wyoming (2‑2) vs North Dakota St. (4‑0) |
1 | Wyoming Wins | 20% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| North Dakota St. Wins | 18% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||