The Most Important Games for the UNLV Rebels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rebels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UNLV Rebels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UNLV Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Utah St. (6‑5) vs Boise State (7‑4) |
61 | Utah St. Wins | X | 61% | 28% | 6% | 3% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 29% | 45% | 20% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boise State Wins | X | X | 61% | 32% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UNLV (9‑2) vs Nevada (3‑8) |
35 | UNLV Wins | X | 35% | 51% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 29% | 45% | 20% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nevada Wins | X | X | 17% | 47% | 29% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San Diego State (9‑2) vs New Mexico (8‑3) |
19 | San Diego State Wins | X | 39% | 45% | 8% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 29% | 45% | 20% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| New Mexico Wins | X | 19% | 46% | 30% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San José State (3‑8) vs Fresno State (7‑4) |
0 | San José State Wins | X | 29% | 45% | 26% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 29% | 45% | 20% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fresno State Wins | X | 29% | 45% | 17% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wyoming (4‑7) vs Hawaii (7‑4) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | X | 28% | 43% | 18% | 4% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 29% | 45% | 20% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Hawaii Wins | X | 28% | 46% | 20% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado St. (2‑9) vs Air Force (3‑8) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | X | 29% | 45% | 20% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 29% | 45% | 20% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Air Force Wins | X | 29% | 45% | 20% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||