Orlando Magic What If?

	Resultant Record		Conference Playoff Spots										No Playoffs No POs
	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7^** Play-in Tournament Participant	8^** Play-in Tournament Participant	9^** Play-in Tournament Participant	10^** Play-in Tournament Participant	11
Win Next Game	30	32	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	6%	26%	38%	27%	2%	<1%
Current Standings	29	32	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	5%	24%	38%	29%	2%	<1%
Lose Next Game	29	33	X	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	3%	19%	38%	35%	4%	<1%

	Conference Playoff Spots										No Playoffs No POs
	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7^** Play-in Tournament Participant	8^** Play-in Tournament Participant	9^** Play-in Tournament Participant	10^** Play-in Tournament Participant	11
Best Case Scenario	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	6%	28%	37%	25%	2%	<1%
Current Standings	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	5%	24%	38%	29%	2%	<1%
Worst Case Scenario	X	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	3%	16%	35%	41%	4%	<1%
Best Case Scenario Knicks beats Heat Magic beats Raptors Grizzlies beats Hawks						Worst Case Scenario Heat beats Knicks Raptors beats Magic Hawks beats Grizzlies

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Conference Playoff Spots										No Playoffs No POs
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7^** Play-in Tournament Participant	8^** Play-in Tournament Participant	9^** Play-in Tournament Participant	10^** Play-in Tournament Participant	11
21 of 21	100%	50	32	<1%	<1%	11%	78%	10%	<1%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^
20 of 21	95%	49	33	X	<1%	5%	70%	23%	2%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^
19 of 21	90%	48	34	X	<1%	2%	53%	38%	7%	<1%	<1%	<1%	^	^
18 of 21	86%	47	35	X	<1%	<1%	31%	47%	19%	2%	<1%	<1%	^	^
17 of 21	81%	46	36	X	<1%	<1%	14%	42%	35%	8%	<1%	<1%	^	^
16 of 21	76%	45	37	X	<1%	<1%	5%	28%	44%	22%	1%	<1%	<1%	^
15 of 21	71%	44	38	X	<1%	<1%	1%	13%	40%	40%	5%	<1%	<1%	<1%
14 of 21	67%	43	39	X	<1%	<1%	<1%	4%	27%	55%	14%	<1%	<1%	<1%
13 of 21	62%	42	40	X	X	<1%	<1%	1%	13%	56%	28%	1%	<1%	<1%
12 of 21	57%	41	41	X	X	<1%	<1%	<1%	5%	45%	45%	5%	<1%	<1%
11 of 21	52%	40	42	X	X	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	29%	56%	13%	<1%	<1%
10 of 21	48%	39	43	X	X	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	15%	56%	28%	<1%	<1%
9 of 21	43%	38	44	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	<1%	6%	47%	47%	1%	<1%
8 of 21	38%	37	45	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	32%	63%	2%	<1%
7 of 21	33%	36	46	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	17%	75%	7%	<1%
6 of 21	29%	35	47	X	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	<1%	7%	74%	18%	1%
5 of 21	24%	34	48	X	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	61%	34%	3%
4 of 21	19%	33	49	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	40%	48%	11%
3 of 21	14%	32	50	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	22%	51%	27%
2 of 21	10%	31	51	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	8%	41%	52%
1 of 21	5%	30	52	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	2%	21%	77%
0 of 21	0%	29	53	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	7%	93%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs
** denotes Play-in Tournament Participant

NBA - Week 19 of 25