PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Mar 28 10:30 pm

NBA - Week 23 of 25

Magic What If?

The Magic What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Magic play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Magic What If?

Next Game - Clippers (45‑27)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7**
Play-in
8**
Play-in
9**
Play-in
10**
Play-in
11
Win Next Game 43 30 X 6% 20% 28% 32% 10% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^
Current Standings 42 30 X 4% 15% 25% 34% 14% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^
Lose Next Game 42 31 X 2% 9% 22% 38% 17% 8% 4% <1% <1% ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7**
Play-in
8**
Play-in
9**
Play-in
10**
Play-in
11
Best Case Scenario X 7% 30% 28% 21% 8% 4% 2% <1% <1% ^
Current Standings X 4% 15% 25% 34% 14% 6% 3% <1% <1% ^
Worst Case Scenario X 2% 7% 18% 43% 20% 7% 4% <1% <1% ^
Best Case Scenario
   Magic beats Clippers
   Sixers beats Cavaliers
   Spurs beats Knicks
Worst Case Scenario
   Clippers beats Magic
   Cavaliers beats Sixers
   Knicks beats Spurs
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7**
Play-in
8**
Play-in
9**
Play-in
10**
Play-in
11
10 of 10 100% 52 30 X 94% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 51 31 X 59% 37% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 10 80% 50 32 X 19% 56% 23% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 10 70% 49 33 X 3% 33% 47% 17% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 10 60% 48 34 X <1% 9% 41% 47% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
5 of 10 50% 47 35 X <1% 1% 15% 61% 21% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
4 of 10 40% 46 36 X <1% <1% 2% 35% 46% 15% 2% ^ ^ ^
3 of 10 30% 45 37 X X <1% <1% 8% 33% 41% 18% ^ ^ ^
2 of 10 20% 44 38 X X <1% <1% 1% 9% 38% 52% ^ ^ ^
1 of 10 10% 43 39 X X X X <1% 1% 16% 82% <1% <1% ^
0 of 10 0% 42 40 X X X X <1% <1% 3% 94% 3% <1% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • ** denotes Play-in Tournament Participant