PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Feb 13 11:00 pm

NBA - Week 17 of 25

Magic What If?

The Magic What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Magic play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Magic What If?

Next Game - Hawks (26‑29)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
8**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
9**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
10**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
11
Win Next Game 28 29 <1% <1% <1% 3% 9% 17% 24% 25% 19% 3% 1%
Current Standings 27 29 <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 13% 20% 25% 25% 5% 1%
Lose Next Game 27 30 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 12% 19% 26% 29% 6% 1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
8**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
9**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
10**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
11
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% 4% 10% 17% 23% 24% 18% 3% <1%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 13% 20% 25% 25% 5% 1%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 11% 19% 26% 28% 7% 2%
Best Case Scenario
   Grizzlies beats Pacers
   Magic beats Hawks
   Knicks beats Bulls
Worst Case Scenario
   Pacers beats Grizzlies
   Hawks beats Magic
   Bulls beats Knicks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
8**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
9**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
10**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
11
26 of 26 100% 53 29 <1% 5% 53% 42% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
25 of 26 96% 52 30 <1% 2% 41% 56% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
24 of 26 92% 51 31 <1% <1% 29% 68% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
23 of 26 88% 50 32 <1% <1% 18% 74% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
22 of 26 85% 49 33 <1% <1% 10% 73% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
21 of 26 81% 48 34 <1% <1% 5% 64% 29% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 26 77% 47 35 <1% <1% 2% 49% 41% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 26 73% 46 36 <1% <1% 1% 33% 47% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 26 69% 45 37 <1% <1% <1% 17% 45% 31% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 26 65% 44 38 <1% <1% <1% 7% 33% 41% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 26 62% 43 39 X <1% <1% 2% 19% 41% 31% 7% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 26 58% 42 40 X <1% <1% <1% 8% 31% 41% 18% 2% <1% <1%
14 of 26 54% 41 41 X <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 41% 34% 7% <1% <1%
13 of 26 50% 40 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 31% 46% 17% <1% <1%
12 of 26 46% 39 43 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 47% 34% 1% <1%
11 of 26 42% 38 44 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 37% 52% 4% <1%
10 of 26 38% 37 45 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 23% 64% 11% <1%
9 of 26 35% 36 46 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 11% 64% 22% 2%
8 of 26 31% 35 47 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 53% 37% 7%
7 of 26 27% 34 48 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 36% 47% 17%
6 of 26 23% 33 49 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 19% 45% 35%
5 of 26 19% 32 50 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 34% 58%
4 of 26 15% 31 51 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 19% 78%
3 of 26 12% 30 52 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 92%
0 of 26 0% 27 55 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • ** denotes Play-in Tournament Participant