PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Air Force Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Air Force makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 92% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Air Force makes the playoffs 92% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Air Force making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Air Force Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Air Force (46) Mountain WestMntn West 102 13 0 - - 100%
2 James Madison (59) SunbeltSunbelt 97 12 1 - - 100%
3 Iowa (122) Big 10Big 10 97 12 1 - - 100%
4 Clemson (93) ACCACC 93 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Louisville (80) ACCACC 93 10 2 - - X
6 Oklahoma (132) SECSEC 91 11 2 - - X
7 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 12 1 - - X
8 Black Knights (86) American AthleticAm. Athletic 88 11 1 - - X
9 Bowling Green (24) MACMAC 85 12 1 - - X
10 Oklahoma St. (39) Big 12Big 12 84 11 2 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Air Force misses the playoffs 8% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Air Force missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (46)Air Force opponents lose (SOS related)
Air Force Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 105 12 1 - - 100%
2 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 97 10 2 - - 100%
3 Duke (64) ACCACC 91 10 3 - - 100%
4 Nebraska (120) Big 10Big 10 91 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Penn St. (121) Big 10Big 10 90 11 1 - - X
6 Air Force (46) Mountain WestMntn West 90 13 0 - - X
7 Coastal Carolina (10) SunbeltSunbelt 89 12 1 - - X
8 UConn (125) NCAA IndependentsInd. 88 11 1 - - X
9 Central Michigan (18) MACMAC 88 13 0 - - X
10 Appalachian St.App. St. (27) SunbeltSunbelt 85 11 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot