If it wins its remaining games, Air Force makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 92% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Air Force makes the playoffs 92% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Air Force making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Air Force (46) | Mountain WestMntn West | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | James Madison (59) | SunbeltSunbelt | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Iowa (122) | Big 10Big 10 | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 93 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Oklahoma (132) | SECSEC | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Charlotte (44) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Black Knights (86) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 88 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Bowling Green (24) | MACMAC | 85 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Air Force misses the playoffs 8% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Air Force missing the playoffs.
(46)Air Force opponents lose (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 105 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 97 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Duke (64) | ACCACC | 91 | 10 | 3 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Nebraska (120) | Big 10Big 10 | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Penn St. (121) | Big 10Big 10 | 90 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Air Force (46) | Mountain WestMntn West | 90 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Coastal Carolina (10) | SunbeltSunbelt | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | UConn (125) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 88 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Central Michigan (18) | MACMAC | 88 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Appalachian St.App. St. (27) | SunbeltSunbelt | 85 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |