PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jan 14 12:00 am

NCAA Football - Regular Season Complete

2016 NCAA Football Playoff Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the College Football Playoffs? The College Football Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoffs rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. It will take several weeks of play (¼ to ½ of a season) before meaningful results start to appear. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

College Football Playoff Performance Probabilities
  Record  NCAA Football
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Playoff
Participate
Team W L
Clemson 14 1 100% ^ ^
Alabama 14 1 X 100% ^
Washington 12 2 X X 100%
Ohio St. 11 2 X X 100%
Western Michigan W. Michigan 13 0 X X X
Penn St. 11 2 X X X
Boise State 10 2 X X X
Colorado 10 3 X X X
Michigan 10 2 X X X
Oklahoma 10 2 X X X
San Diego State 10 3 X X X
South Florida 10 2 X X X
Temple 10 3 X X X
W. Kentucky 10 3 X X X
West Virginia 10 2 X X X
Wisconsin 10 3 X X X
Air Force 9 3 X X X
Appalachian St. App. St. 9 3 X X X
Florida St. 9 3 X X X
Houston 9 3 X X X
Louisville 9 3 X X X
Navy 9 4 X X X
Nebraska 9 3 X X X
Oklahoma St. 9 3 X X X
Old Dominion 9 3 X X X
Stanford 9 3 X X X
Toledo 9 3 X X X
Troy 9 3 X X X
Tulsa 9 3 X X X
USC 9 3 X X X
Virginia Tech 9 4 X X X
Auburn 8 4 X X X
BYU 8 4 X X X
Florida 8 4 X X X
Georgia Tech 8 4 X X X
Idaho 8 4 X X X
Iowa 8 4 X X X
Kansas St. 8 4 X X X
Louisiana Tech 8 5 X X X
Memphis 8 4 X X X
Miami 8 4 X X X
Middle Tenn. St. 8 4 X X X
Minnesota 8 4 X X X
New Mexico 8 4 X X X
North Carolina 8 4 X X X
Ohio 8 5 X X X
Pittsburgh 8 4 X X X
Tennessee 8 4 X X X
Texas A&M 8 4 X X X
Utah 8 4 X X X
Washington St. 8 4 X X X
Wyoming 8 5 X X X
Arkansas 7 5 X X X
Arkansas St. 7 5 X X X
Army 7 5 X X X
Colorado St. 7 5 X X X
Eastern Michigan E. Michigan 7 5 X X X
Georgia 7 5 X X X
Kentucky 7 5 X X X
LSU 7 4 X X X
Baylor 6 6 X X X
Boston College 6 6 X X X
Central Michigan C. Michigan 6 6 X X X
Hawaii 6 7 X X X
Indiana 6 6 X X X
Maryland 6 6 X X X
Miami OH 6 6 X X X
N.C. State 6 6 X X X
Northwestern N. Western 6 6 X X X
South Alabama 6 6 X X X
South Carolina 6 6 X X X
Southern Miss 6 6 X X X
TCU 6 6 X X X
UCF 6 6 X X X
UTSA 6 6 X X X
Vanderbilt 6 6 X X X
Wake Forest 6 6 X X X
Akron 5 7 X X X
Arizona St. 5 7 X X X
California 5 7 X X X
Ga. Southern 5 7 X X X
Mississippi St. 5 7 X X X
Nevada 5 7 X X X
North Texas 5 7 X X X
Northern Illinois N. Illinois 5 7 X X X
Ole Miss 5 7 X X X
SMU 5 7 X X X
Texas 5 7 X X X
Texas Tech 5 7 X X X
UL Lafayette 5 6 X X X
Ball State 4 8 X X X
Bowling Green 4 8 X X X
Charlotte 4 8 X X X
Cincinnati 4 8 X X X
Duke 4 8 X X X
Florida Intl. 4 8 X X X
LA Monroe 4 8 X X X
Missouri 4 8 X X X
Notre Dame 4 8 X X X
Oregon 4 8 X X X
Oregon St. 4 8 X X X
San Jose State 4 8 X X X
Syracuse 4 8 X X X
Tulane 4 8 X X X
UCLA 4 8 X X X
UNLV 4 8 X X X
UTEP 4 8 X X X
Arizona 3 9 X X X
Connecticut 3 9 X X X
East Carolina 3 9 X X X
Florida Atlantic 3 9 X X X
Georgia St. 3 9 X X X
Illinois 3 9 X X X
Iowa St. 3 9 X X X
Kent State 3 9 X X X
Marshall 3 9 X X X
Michigan St. 3 9 X X X
New Mexico St. 3 9 X X X
Purdue 3 9 X X X
Rice 3 9 X X X
Utah St. 3 9 X X X
Buffalo 2 10 X X X
Kansas 2 10 X X X
Massachusetts 2 10 X X X
Rutgers 2 10 X X X
Texas St. 2 10 X X X
Virginia 2 10 X X X
Fresno State 1 11 X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot