PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Dec 2 8:15 am

NCAA Football - Week 15 of 15

2018 NCAA Football Playoff Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the College Football Playoffs? The College Football Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoffs rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. It will take several weeks of play (¼ to ½ of a season) before meaningful results start to appear. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

College Football Playoff Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Football
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Playoff
Participate
Team W L
Alabama 13 0 28% 57% 100%
Clemson 13 0 28% 51% 100%
Notre Dame 12 0 27% 49% 100%
Oklahoma 12 1 18% 43% 100%
Ohio St. 12 1 X X X
Fresno State 11 2 X X X
Georgia 11 2 X X X
UCF 11 0 X X X
Appalachian St.App. St. 10 2 X X X
Boise State 10 3 X X X
Buffalo 10 3 X X X
Cincinnati 10 2 X X X
Michigan 10 2 X X X
UAB 10 3 X X X
Utah St. 10 2 X X X
Washington 10 3 X X X
Washington St. 10 2 X X X
Army 9 2 X X X
Florida 9 3 X X X
Ga. Southern 9 3 X X X
Kentucky 9 3 X X X
LSU 9 3 X X X
North Texas 9 3 X X X
Penn St. 9 3 X X X
Syracuse 9 3 X X X
Texas 9 4 X X X
Troy 9 3 X X X
Utah 9 4 X X X
Arkansas St. 8 4 X X X
Florida Intl. 8 4 X X X
Hawaii 8 5 X X X
Houston 8 4 X X X
Iowa 8 4 X X X
Marshall 8 3 X X X
Memphis 8 4 X X X
Middle Tenn. St. 8 5 X X X
Mississippi St.Miss. St. 8 4 X X X
Missouri 8 4 X X X
N.C. State 8 3 X X X
Northern IllinoisN. Illinois 8 5 X X X
NorthwesternN. Western 8 5 X X X
Ohio 8 4 X X X
Oregon 8 4 X X X
Stanford 8 4 X X X
Temple 8 4 X X X
Texas A&M 8 4 X X X
West Virginia 8 3 X X X
Arizona St. 7 5 X X X
Auburn 7 5 X X X
Boston College 7 5 X X X
California 7 5 X X X
Duke 7 5 X X X
Eastern MichiganE. Michigan 7 5 X X X
Georgia Tech 7 5 X X X
Iowa St. 7 4 X X X
Louisiana Tech 7 5 X X X
Miami 7 5 X X X
Michigan St. 7 5 X X X
Nevada 7 5 X X X
Pittsburgh 7 6 X X X
San Diego State 7 5 X X X
South Florida 7 5 X X X
Toledo 7 5 X X X
UL Lafayette 7 6 X X X
Virginia 7 5 X X X
Western MichiganW. Michigan 7 5 X X X
Wisconsin 7 5 X X X
BYU 6 6 X X X
Baylor 6 6 X X X
LA Monroe 6 6 X X X
Miami OH 6 6 X X X
Minnesota 6 6 X X X
Oklahoma St. 6 6 X X X
Purdue 6 6 X X X
South Carolina 6 5 X X X
Southern Miss 6 5 X X X
TCU 6 6 X X X
Tulane 6 6 X X X
Vanderbilt 6 6 X X X
Wake Forest 6 6 X X X
Wyoming 6 6 X X X
Air Force 5 7 X X X
Arizona 5 7 X X X
Charlotte 5 7 X X X
Coastal CarolinaC. Carolina 5 7 X X X
Colorado 5 7 X X X
Florida Atlantic 5 7 X X X
Florida St. 5 7 X X X
Indiana 5 7 X X X
Kansas St. 5 7 X X X
Maryland 5 7 X X X
Ole Miss 5 7 X X X
SMU 5 7 X X X
TennesseeTenn. 5 7 X X X
Texas Tech 5 7 X X X
USC 5 7 X X X
Virginia Tech 5 6 X X X
Akron 4 7 X X X
Ball State 4 8 X X X
Illinois 4 8 X X X
MassachusettsMass. 4 8 X X X
Nebraska 4 8 X X X
Old Dominion 4 8 X X X
UNLV 4 8 X X X
Bowling Green 3 9 X X X
Colorado St. 3 9 X X X
East Carolina 3 8 X X X
Kansas 3 9 X X X
Navy 3 9 X X X
New Mexico 3 9 X X X
New Mexico St. 3 9 X X X
South Alabama 3 9 X X X
Texas St. 3 9 X X X
Tulsa 3 9 X X X
UCLA 3 9 X X X
UTSA 3 9 X X X
W. Kentucky 3 9 X X X
Arkansas 2 10 X X X
Georgia St. 2 10 X X X
Kent State 2 10 X X X
Louisville 2 10 X X X
North Carolina 2 9 X X X
Oregon St. 2 10 X X X
Rice 2 11 X X X
Central MichiganC. Michigan 1 11 X X X
ConnecticutConnect. 1 11 X X X
Rutgers 1 11 X X X
San Jose State 1 11 X X X
UTEP 1 11 X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot