PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Jan 2 9:30 am

NCAA Football - Regular Season Complete

2017 NCAA Football Playoff Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the College Football Playoffs? The College Football Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoffs rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. It will take several weeks of play (¼ to ½ of a season) before meaningful results start to appear. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

College Football Playoff Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Football
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Playoff
Participate
Team W L
Georgia 13 1 55% 100% ^
Alabama 12 1 45% 100% ^
Clemson 12 2 X X 100%
Oklahoma 12 2 X X 100%
UCF 12 0 X X X
Wisconsin 12 1 X X X
Ohio St. 11 2 X X X
Toledo 11 2 X X X
USC 11 2 X X X
Auburn 10 3 X X X
Boise State 10 3 X X X
Florida Atlantic 10 3 X X X
Memphis 10 2 X X X
Miami 10 2 X X X
Penn St. 10 2 X X X
San Diego State 10 2 X X X
TCU 10 3 X X X
Troy 10 2 X X X
Washington 10 2 X X X
Fresno State 9 4 X X X
LSU 9 3 X X X
Michigan St. 9 3 X X X
North Texas 9 4 X X X
NorthwesternN. Western 9 3 X X X
Notre Dame 9 3 X X X
Oklahoma St. 9 3 X X X
South Florida 9 2 X X X
Stanford 9 4 X X X
Virginia Tech 9 3 X X X
Washington St. 9 3 X X X
Appalachian St.App. St. 8 4 X X X
Army 8 4 X X X
Central MichiganC. Michigan 8 4 X X X
Louisville 8 4 X X X
Michigan 8 4 X X X
Mississippi St.Miss. St. 8 4 X X X
N.C. State 8 4 X X X
Northern IllinoisN. Illinois 8 4 X X X
Ohio 8 4 X X X
South Carolina 8 4 X X X
Southern Miss 8 4 X X X
UAB 8 4 X X X
Akron 7 6 X X X
Arizona 7 5 X X X
Arizona St. 7 5 X X X
Arkansas St. 7 4 X X X
Boston College 7 5 X X X
Colorado St. 7 5 X X X
Florida Intl. 7 4 X X X
Houston 7 4 X X X
Iowa 7 5 X X X
Iowa St. 7 5 X X X
Kansas St. 7 5 X X X
Kentucky 7 5 X X X
Marshall 7 5 X X X
Missouri 7 5 X X X
Navy 7 5 X X X
Oregon 7 5 X X X
SMU 7 5 X X X
Texas A&M 7 5 X X X
Wake Forest 7 5 X X X
West Virginia 7 5 X X X
Wyoming 7 5 X X X
Buffalo 6 6 X X X
Duke 6 6 X X X
Florida St. 6 6 X X X
Georgia St. 6 5 X X X
Louisiana Tech 6 6 X X X
Middle Tenn. St. 6 6 X X X
New Mexico St. 6 6 X X X
Ole Miss 6 6 X X X
Purdue 6 6 X X X
Temple 6 6 X X X
Texas 6 6 X X X
Texas Tech 6 6 X X X
UCLA 6 6 X X X
UTSA 6 5 X X X
Utah 6 6 X X X
Utah St. 6 6 X X X
Virginia 6 6 X X X
W. Kentucky 6 6 X X X
Western MichiganW. Michigan 6 6 X X X
Air Force 5 7 X X X
California 5 7 X X X
Colorado 5 7 X X X
Eastern MichiganE. Michigan 5 7 X X X
Georgia Tech 5 6 X X X
Indiana 5 7 X X X
Miami OH 5 7 X X X
Minnesota 5 7 X X X
Old Dominion 5 7 X X X
Pittsburgh 5 7 X X X
Tulane 5 7 X X X
UL Lafayette 5 7 X X X
UNLV 5 7 X X X
Vanderbilt 5 7 X X X
Arkansas 4 8 X X X
BYU 4 9 X X X
Cincinnati 4 8 X X X
Florida 4 7 X X X
Idaho 4 8 X X X
LA Monroe 4 8 X X X
Maryland 4 8 X X X
MassachusettsMass. 4 7 X X X
Nebraska 4 8 X X X
Rutgers 4 8 X X X
South Alabama 4 8 X X X
Syracuse 4 8 X X X
TennesseeTenn. 4 8 X X X
Coastal CarolinaC. Carolina 3 9 X X X
ConnecticutConnect. 3 9 X X X
East Carolina 3 9 X X X
Hawaii 3 9 X X X
Nevada 3 9 X X X
New Mexico 3 9 X X X
North Carolina 3 9 X X X
Ball State 2 10 X X X
Bowling Green 2 10 X X X
Ga. Southern 2 10 X X X
Illinois 2 10 X X X
Kent State 2 10 X X X
San Jose State 2 11 X X X
Texas St. 2 10 X X X
Tulsa 2 10 X X X
Baylor 1 11 X X X
Charlotte 1 11 X X X
Kansas 1 11 X X X
Oregon St. 1 11 X X X
Rice 1 11 X X X
UTEP 0 12 X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot