PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Sep 18 11:30 am

NCAA Football - Week 4 of 15

2017 NCAA Football Playoff Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the College Football Playoffs? The College Football Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoffs rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. It will take several weeks of play (¼ to ½ of a season) before meaningful results start to appear. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

College Football Playoff Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Football
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Playoff
Participate
Team W L
Michigan 3 0 9% 17% 32%
Iowa 3 0 6% 12% 23%
USC 3 0 6% 11% 20%
Clemson 3 0 6% 10% 18%
Minnesota 3 0 5% 11% 21%
Kentucky 3 0 5% 10% 18%
California 3 0 4% 9% 17%
Wisconsin 3 0 4% 8% 17%
Georgia 3 0 4% 8% 15%
Oregon 3 0 3% 6% 12%
Washington 3 0 3% 6% 12%
Washington St. 3 0 3% 6% 12%
Alabama 3 0 3% 5% 10%
Navy 2 0 3% 5% 10%
Colorado 3 0 2% 5% 11%
Maryland 2 0 2% 5% 11%
Penn St. 3 0 2% 5% 10%
Vanderbilt 3 0 2% 5% 9%
Michigan St. 2 0 2% 4% 10%
Utah 3 0 2% 4% 9%
Wake Forest 3 0 2% 4% 9%
Mississippi St.Miss. St. 3 0 2% 4% 8%
Houston 2 0 2% 4% 8%
Ohio St. 2 1 2% 4% 8%
Oklahoma 3 0 2% 3% 6%
UCLA 2 1 1% 3% 7%
Oklahoma St. 3 0 1% 3% 5%
Illinois 2 1 1% 2% 5%
Purdue 2 1 1% 2% 4%
Louisville 2 1 1% 2% 3%
Duke 3 0 1% 1% 3%
South Florida 3 0 1% 1% 3%
TCU 3 0 1% 1% 3%
Virginia Tech 3 0 1% 1% 3%
Memphis 2 0 1% 1% 3%
Notre Dame 2 1 1% 1% 3%
UCF 1 0 1% 1% 3%
Eastern MichiganE. Michigan 2 0 <1% 1% 2%
South Carolina 2 1 <1% 1% 2%
Texas Tech 2 0 <1% 1% 2%
San Diego State 3 0 <1% 1% 1%
N.C. State 2 1 <1% 1% 1%
Florida 1 1 <1% 1% 1%
Indiana 1 1 <1% 1% 1%
Toledo 3 0 <1% <1% 1%
Arizona 2 1 <1% <1% 1%
Cincinnati 2 1 <1% <1% 1%
NorthwesternN. Western 2 1 <1% <1% 1%
Ole Miss 2 1 <1% <1% 1%
Florida St. 1 1 <1% <1% 1%
Stanford 1 2 <1% <1% 1%
Appalachian St.App. St. 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Army 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Auburn 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Ball State 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Boise State 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Central MichiganC. Michigan 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Colorado St. 2 2 <1% <1% <1%
Hawaii 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Iowa St. 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Kansas St. 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
LSU 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Louisiana Tech 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Marshall 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Northern IllinoisN. Illinois 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Ohio 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Old Dominion 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
SMU 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Southern Miss 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Syracuse 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Temple 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
TennesseeTenn. 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Texas A&M 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Troy 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
UAB 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
UTSA 2 0 <1% <1% <1%
Virginia 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
West Virginia 2 1 <1% <1% <1%
Air Force 1 1 <1% <1% <1%
Akron 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Arizona St. 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Arkansas 1 1 <1% <1% <1%
Arkansas St. 1 1 <1% <1% <1%
BYU 1 3 X X X
Boston College 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Buffalo 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Coastal CarolinaC. Carolina 1 1 <1% <1% <1%
ConnecticutConnect. 1 1 <1% <1% <1%
Florida Atlantic 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Florida Intl. 1 1 <1% <1% <1%
Fresno State 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Georgia Tech 1 1 <1% <1% <1%
Idaho 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Kansas 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Kent State 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Miami 1 1 <1% <1% <1%
Miami OH 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Middle Tenn. St. 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Missouri 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Nebraska 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
New Mexico 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
New Mexico St. 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
North Carolina 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
North Texas 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Oregon St. 1 3 <1% <1% <1%
Pittsburgh 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Rice 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Rutgers 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
San Jose State 1 3 <1% <1% <1%
South Alabama 1 2 X X X
Texas 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Texas St. 1 2 X X X
Tulane 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Tulsa 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
UL Lafayette 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
UNLV 1 1 <1% <1% <1%
Utah St. 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
W. Kentucky 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Western MichiganW. Michigan 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Wyoming 1 2 <1% <1% <1%
Baylor 0 3 <1% <1% <1%
Bowling Green 0 3 X X X
Charlotte 0 3 X X X
East Carolina 0 3 X X X
Ga. Southern 0 2 <1% <1% <1%
Georgia St. 0 2 <1% <1% <1%
LA Monroe 0 2 <1% <1% <1%
MassachusettsMass. 0 4 X X X
Nevada 0 3 X X X
UTEP 0 3 X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot