PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Nov 16 11:15 pm

NCAA Football - Week 12 of 15

2017 NCAA Football Playoff Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the College Football Playoffs? The College Football Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoffs rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. It will take several weeks of play (¼ to ½ of a season) before meaningful results start to appear. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

College Football Playoff Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Football
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Playoff
Participate
Team W L
Clemson 9 1 17% 34% 68%
Miami 9 0 17% 32% 60%
Alabama 10 0 17% 32% 58%
Wisconsin 10 0 14% 26% 50%
Oklahoma 9 1 12% 27% 61%
Auburn 8 2 7% 17% 38%
Georgia 9 1 7% 13% 26%
Ohio St. 8 2 5% 9% 19%
Notre Dame 8 2 3% 5% 11%
USC 9 2 1% 2% 5%
Penn St. 8 2 <1% 1% 2%
Washington St. 9 2 <1% 1% 1%
South Florida 9 1 <1% <1% <1%
Toledo 9 2 X X X
UCF 9 0 <1% <1% <1%
Army 8 2 X X X
Boise State 8 2 <1% <1% <1%
Memphis 8 1 <1% <1% <1%
Michigan 8 2 <1% <1% <1%
Northern IllinoisN. Illinois 8 3 X X X
Ohio 8 3 X X X
Oklahoma St. 8 2 <1% <1% <1%
San Diego State 8 2 X X X
TCU 8 2 <1% <1% <1%
Troy 8 2 X X X
Washington 8 2 <1% <1% <1%
Arizona 7 3 X X X
Central MichiganC. Michigan 7 4 X X X
Florida Atlantic 7 3 X X X
Fresno State 7 3 X X X
Kentucky 7 3 X X X
LSU 7 3 <1% <1% <1%
Marshall 7 3 X X X
Michigan St. 7 3 <1% <1% <1%
Mississippi St.Miss. St. 7 3 <1% <1% <1%
N.C. State 7 3 X X X
North Texas 7 3 X X X
NorthwesternN. Western 7 3 <1% <1% <1%
South Carolina 7 3 X X X
Stanford 7 3 <1% <1% <1%
UAB 7 3 X X X
Virginia Tech 7 3 X X X
West Virginia 7 3 <1% <1% <1%
Wyoming 7 3 X X X
Akron 6 5 X X X
Appalachian St.App. St. 6 4 X X X
Colorado St. 6 5 X X X
Florida Intl. 6 3 X X X
Georgia St. 6 3 X X X
Houston 6 3 X X X
Iowa 6 4 X X X
Iowa St. 6 4 X X X
Louisville 6 4 X X X
Navy 6 3 <1% <1% <1%
SMU 6 4 X X X
Southern Miss 6 4 X X X
Texas A&M 6 4 X X X
Virginia 6 4 X X X
Wake Forest 6 4 X X X
Western MichiganW. Michigan 6 5 X X X
Arizona St. 5 5 X X X
Arkansas St. 5 3 X X X
Boston College 5 5 X X X
Buffalo 5 6 X X X
California 5 5 X X X
Colorado 5 6 X X X
Georgia Tech 5 4 X X X
Kansas St. 5 5 X X X
Middle Tenn. St. 5 5 X X X
Minnesota 5 5 X X X
Missouri 5 5 X X X
Ole Miss 5 5 X X X
Oregon 5 5 X X X
Temple 5 5 X X X
Texas 5 5 X X X
Texas Tech 5 5 X X X
UCLA 5 5 X X X
UTSA 5 4 X X X
Utah 5 5 X X X
Utah St. 5 5 X X X
W. Kentucky 5 5 X X X
Air Force 4 6 X X X
Arkansas 4 6 X X X
Duke 4 6 X X X
Eastern MichiganE. Michigan 4 7 X X X
Indiana 4 6 X X X
LA Monroe 4 5 X X X
Louisiana Tech 4 6 X X X
Maryland 4 6 X X X
Miami OH 4 7 X X X
Nebraska 4 6 X X X
New Mexico St. 4 5 X X X
Old Dominion 4 6 X X X
Pittsburgh 4 6 X X X
Purdue 4 6 X X X
Rutgers 4 6 X X X
South Alabama 4 6 X X X
Syracuse 4 6 X X X
TennesseeTenn. 4 6 X X X
Tulane 4 6 X X X
UL Lafayette 4 5 X X X
UNLV 4 6 X X X
Vanderbilt 4 6 X X X
BYU 3 8 X X X
Cincinnati 3 7 X X X
ConnecticutConnect. 3 7 X X X
Florida 3 6 X X X
Florida St. 3 6 X X X
Hawaii 3 7 X X X
Idaho 3 6 X X X
MassachusettsMass. 3 7 X X X
New Mexico 3 7 X X X
Ball State 2 9 X X X
Bowling Green 2 9 X X X
East Carolina 2 8 X X X
Illinois 2 8 X X X
Kent State 2 9 X X X
Nevada 2 8 X X X
North Carolina 2 8 X X X
Texas St. 2 8 X X X
Tulsa 2 9 X X X
Baylor 1 9 X X X
Charlotte 1 9 X X X
Coastal CarolinaC. Carolina 1 9 X X X
Kansas 1 9 X X X
Oregon St. 1 9 X X X
Rice 1 9 X X X
San Jose State 1 10 X X X
Ga. Southern 0 9 X X X
UTEP 0 10 X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot