How far is your team going to proceed into the College Football Playoffs? The College Football Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoffs rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. It will take several weeks of play (¼ to ½ of a season) before meaningful results start to appear. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
Record | NCAA Football National Champions |
Championship Game Participate |
Semifinals | Quarterfinals | Round 1 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | W | L | |||||
Ohio St. | 6 | 0 | 9% | 17% | 32% | 59% | 75% |
Indiana | 6 | 0 | 8% | 16% | 30% | 55% | 72% |
Texas A&M | 6 | 0 | 8% | 14% | 27% | 49% | 63% |
Ole Miss | 6 | 0 | 8% | 14% | 26% | 46% | 60% |
Miami | 5 | 0 | 7% | 14% | 28% | 53% | 69% |
Texas Tech | 6 | 0 | 6% | 11% | 21% | 42% | 57% |
Alabama | 5 | 1 | 5% | 10% | 21% | 41% | 57% |
Georgia Tech | 6 | 0 | 4% | 8% | 16% | 31% | 45% |
BYU | 6 | 0 | 4% | 7% | 14% | 25% | 36% |
Georgia | 5 | 1 | 3% | 7% | 15% | 32% | 48% |
LSU | 5 | 1 | 3% | 7% | 15% | 30% | 44% |
Oregon | 5 | 1 | 3% | 6% | 14% | 34% | 53% |
Tennessee | 5 | 1 | 3% | 6% | 13% | 28% | 44% |
Notre Dame | 4 | 2 | 3% | 5% | 11% | 25% | 41% |
Oklahoma | 5 | 1 | 2% | 5% | 11% | 23% | 35% |
Memphis | 6 | 0 | 2% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 26% |
Vanderbilt | 5 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 29% |
Virginia | 5 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 8% | 18% | 29% |
South Florida | 5 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 25% |
USC | 5 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 22% |
Tulane | 5 | 1 | 2% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 20% |
Missouri | 5 | 1 | 1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 31% |
Cincinnati | 5 | 1 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 21% |
Navy | 6 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 19% |
Utah | 5 | 1 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 17% |
Texas | 4 | 2 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 20% |
Nebraska | 5 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% |
Washington | 5 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% |
Duke | 4 | 2 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 14% |
UNLV | 6 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 13% |
Michigan | 4 | 2 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% |
Louisville | 4 | 1 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% |
Houston | 5 | 1 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% |
Arizona St. | 4 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% |
North Texas | 5 | 1 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% |
Illinois | 5 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% |
Iowa St. | 5 | 2 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% |
James Madison | 5 | 1 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% |
Mississippi St.Miss. St. | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% |
SMU | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% |
NorthwesternN. Western | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
Baylor | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% |
San Diego State | 5 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
Arizona | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
Boise State | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
California | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
Iowa | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
Minnesota | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
TCU | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% |
Kansas | 4 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% |
Maryland | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% |
Old Dominion | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% |
Pittsburgh | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% |
East Carolina | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% |
Temple | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% |
Fresno State | 5 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Hawaii | 5 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
W. Kentucky | 5 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Appalachian St.App. St. | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Kennesaw St. | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Louisiana Tech | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
N.C. State | 4 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Southern Miss | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Troy | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
UConn | 4 | 2 | X | X | X | X | X |
Wake Forest | 4 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Western Michigan | 4 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
Arkansas St. | 3 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
Auburn | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Black Knights | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Bowling Green | 3 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
Buffalo | 3 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
Central Michigan | 3 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
Clemson | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Coastal Carolina | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Colorado | 3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Delaware | 3 | 2 | X | X | X | X | X |
Florida Atlantic | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Florida Intl. | 3 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
Florida St. | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. | 3 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
Kansas St. | 3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
LA Monroe | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Liberty | 3 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
Marshall | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Miami OH | 3 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
Michigan St. | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Missouri St. | 3 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
New Mexico | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
New Mexico St. | 3 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
Ohio | 3 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
Penn St. | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Rice | 3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Rutgers | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
South Carolina | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Syracuse | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Texas St. | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Toledo | 3 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X |
UCF | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
UTSA | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Utah St. | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Washington St. | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Wyoming | 3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Akron | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
Arkansas | 2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Ball State | 2 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
Colorado St. | 2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Eastern Michigan | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
Florida | 2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Ga. Southern | 2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Kent State | 2 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
Kentucky | 2 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
North Carolina | 2 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Purdue | 2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
San José State | 2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Stanford | 2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Tulsa | 2 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
UAB | 2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
UCLA | 2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
UL Lafayette | 2 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X |
Virginia Tech | 2 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
West Virginia | 2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Wisconsin | 2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Air Force | 1 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
Boston College | 1 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
Charlotte | 1 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Georgia St. | 1 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
Middle Tenn. St. | 1 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
Nevada | 1 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
Northern Illinois | 1 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
Oklahoma St. | 1 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
South Alabama | 1 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
UTEP | 1 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X |
Oregon St. | 0 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X |
Sam Houston | 0 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |
UMass | 0 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X |