PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Jan 14 9:15 pm

NCAA Football - Regular Season Complete

2019 NCAA Football Playoff Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the College Football Playoffs? The College Football Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoffs rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. It will take several weeks of play (¼ to ½ of a season) before meaningful results start to appear. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

College Football Playoff Performance Probabilities
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Team W L
LSU 15 0 100% ^ ^
Clemson 14 1 X 100% ^
Ohio St. 13 1 X X 100%
Oklahoma 12 2 X X 100%
Appalachian St.App. St. 12 1 X X X
Boise State 12 1 X X X
Memphis 12 1 X X X
Baylor 11 2 X X X
Georgia 11 2 X X X
Oregon 11 2 X X X
Utah 11 2 X X X
Air Force 10 2 X X X
Alabama 10 2 X X X
Cincinnati 10 3 X X X
Florida 10 2 X X X
Florida Atlantic 10 3 X X X
Minnesota 10 2 X X X
Notre Dame 10 2 X X X
Penn St. 10 2 X X X
SMU 10 2 X X X
UL Lafayette 10 3 X X X
Wisconsin 10 3 X X X
Auburn 9 3 X X X
Hawaii 9 5 X X X
Iowa 9 3 X X X
Louisiana Tech 9 3 X X X
Michigan 9 3 X X X
Navy 9 2 X X X
San Diego State 9 3 X X X
UAB 9 4 X X X
UCF 9 3 X X X
Virginia 9 4 X X X
Central Michigan 8 5 X X X
Indiana 8 4 X X X
Kansas St. 8 4 X X X
Marshall 8 4 X X X
Miami OH 8 5 X X X
Oklahoma St. 8 4 X X X
Temple 8 4 X X X
USC 8 4 X X X
Virginia Tech 8 4 X X X
W. Kentucky 8 4 X X X
Wake Forest 8 4 X X X
Arizona St. 7 5 X X X
Arkansas St. 7 5 X X X
BYU 7 5 X X X
Buffalo 7 5 X X X
California 7 5 X X X
Charlotte 7 5 X X X
Ga. Southern 7 5 X X X
Georgia St. 7 5 X X X
Iowa St. 7 5 X X X
Kentucky 7 5 X X X
Liberty 7 5 X X X
Louisville 7 5 X X X
Nevada 7 5 X X X
Pittsburgh 7 5 X X X
Southern Miss 7 5 X X X
Tennessee 7 5 X X X
Texas 7 5 X X X
Texas A&M 7 5 X X X
Utah St. 7 5 X X X
Washington 7 5 X X X
Western Michigan 7 5 X X X
Wyoming 7 5 X X X
Boston College 6 6 X X X
Eastern Michigan 6 6 X X X
Florida Intl. 6 6 X X X
Florida St. 6 6 X X X
Illinois 6 6 X X X
Kent State 6 6 X X X
Miami 6 6 X X X
Michigan St. 6 6 X X X
Mississippi St.Miss. St. 6 6 X X X
Missouri 6 6 X X X
North Carolina 6 6 X X X
Ohio 6 6 X X X
Toledo 6 6 X X X
Tulane 6 6 X X X
Washington St. 6 6 X X X
Army 5 7 X X X
Ball State 5 7 X X X
Coastal Carolina 5 7 X X X
Colorado 5 7 X X X
Duke 5 7 X X X
LA Monroe 5 7 X X X
Nebraska 5 7 X X X
Northern Illinois 5 7 X X X
Oregon St. 5 7 X X X
San Jose State 5 7 X X X
Syracuse 5 7 X X X
TCU 5 7 X X X
Troy 5 7 X X X
West Virginia 5 7 X X X
Arizona 4 8 X X X
Colorado St. 4 8 X X X
East Carolina 4 8 X X X
Fresno State 4 8 X X X
Houston 4 8 X X X
Middle Tenn. St. 4 8 X X X
N.C. State 4 8 X X X
North Texas 4 8 X X X
Ole Miss 4 8 X X X
Purdue 4 8 X X X
South Carolina 4 8 X X X
South Florida 4 8 X X X
Stanford 4 8 X X X
Texas Tech 4 8 X X X
Tulsa 4 8 X X X
UCLA 4 8 X X X
UNLV 4 8 X X X
UTSA 4 8 X X X
Bowling Green 3 9 X X X
Georgia Tech 3 9 X X X
Kansas 3 9 X X X
Maryland 3 9 X X X
NorthwesternN. Western 3 9 X X X
Rice 3 9 X X X
Texas St. 3 9 X X X
Vanderbilt 3 9 X X X
Arkansas 2 10 X X X
ConnecticutConnect. 2 10 X X X
New Mexico 2 10 X X X
New Mexico St. 2 10 X X X
Rutgers 2 10 X X X
South Alabama 2 10 X X X
MassachusettsMass. 1 11 X X X
Old Dominion 1 11 X X X
UTEP 1 11 X X X
Akron 0 12 X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot