PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Baylor Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Baylor will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 53% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Baylor makes the playoffs 53% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Baylor making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (7)Baylor opponents win (SOS related)
Baylor Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Oklahoma St. (39) Big 12Big 12 103 12 1 - - 100%
2 Baylor (7) Big 12Big 12 100 12 1 - - 100%
3 Louisville (80) ACCACC 99 12 1 - - 100%
4 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 98 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Kentucky (111) SECSEC 95 12 1 - - X
6 Maryland (105) Big 10Big 10 92 12 1 - - X
7 Miami OH (16) MACMAC 90 12 1 - - X
8 Vanderbilt (96) SECSEC 89 11 2 - - X
9 Wake Forest (112) ACCACC 89 11 1 - - X
10 Arkansas (113) SECSEC 88 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Baylor misses the playoffs 47% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Baylor missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (7)Baylor opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (7)Baylor does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
  • (72)Cincinnati wins the Big 12 Championship
Baylor Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Clemson (93) ACCACC 101 11 2 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 101 11 2 - - 100%
3 Tulane (33) American AthleticAm. Athletic 93 12 1 - - 100%
4 Northern Illinois (32) MACMAC 90 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Baylor (7) Big 12Big 12 90 12 1 - - X
6 Rice (19) American AthleticAm. Athletic 90 10 2 - - X
7 Appalachian St.App. St. (27) SunbeltSunbelt 89 10 3 - - X
8 South Carolina (104) SECSEC 89 10 3 - - X
9 Cincinnati (72) Big 12Big 12 88 12 1 - - X
10 Alabama (126) SECSEC 86 10 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot