PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

East Carolina Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, East Carolina will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 53% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, East Carolina makes the playoffs 53% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to East Carolina making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (29)East Carolina opponents win (SOS related)
East Carolina Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 108 12 1 - - 100%
2 Temple (71) American AthleticAm. Athletic 103 11 2 - - 100%
3 Kennesaw St. (5) Conference USAConf. USA 99 11 2 - - 100%
4 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 99 10 2 - - 100%
 
5 Kent State (15) MACMAC 93 11 2 - - X
6 Louisiana Tech (4) Conference USAConf. USA 92 11 2 - - X
7 Auburn (128) SECSEC 92 13 0 - - X
8 UMass (67) NCAA IndependentsInd. 91 12 0 - - X
9 Florida Intl. (34) Conference USAConf. USA 91 10 2 - - X
10 Black Knights (86) American AthleticAm. Athletic 90 9 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, East Carolina misses the playoffs 47% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to East Carolina missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (29)East Carolina opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (29)East Carolina does not plays in the Am. Athletic Championship Game
East Carolina Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Arizona St. (74) Big 12Big 12 96 12 1 - - 100%
2 Eastern Michigan (45) MACMAC 92 11 2 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 91 11 2 - - 100%
4 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 91 10 2 - - 100%
 
5 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 88 12 1 - - X
6 Miami (81) ACCACC 88 10 2 - - X
7 Duke (64) ACCACC 87 9 3 - - X
8 San José State (68) Mountain WestMntn West 86 11 2 - - X
9 Louisville (80) ACCACC 86 10 2 - - X
10 Middle Tenn. St. (9) Conference USAConf. USA 84 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot