PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Memphis Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Memphis will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 50% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Memphis makes the playoffs 50% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Memphis making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (47)Memphis opponents win (SOS related)
Memphis Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Alabama (126) SECSEC 103 12 1 - - 100%
2 Georgia Tech (91) ACCACC 92 12 1 - - 100%
3 Memphis (47) American AthleticAm. Athletic 92 12 1 - - 100%
4 South Carolina (104) SECSEC 88 10 3 - - 100%
 
5 West Virginia (77) Big 12Big 12 87 11 2 - - X
6 Arkansas (113) SECSEC 86 10 2 - - X
7 New Mexico (40) Mountain WestMntn West 86 12 1 - - X
8 Texas A&M (127) SECSEC 85 9 3 - - X
9 UL Lafayette (60) SunbeltSunbelt 83 11 2 - - X
10 Nebraska (120) Big 10Big 10 83 11 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Memphis misses the playoffs 50% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Memphis missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (47)Memphis opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (47)Memphis does not plays in the Am. Athletic Championship Game
  • (29)East Carolina wins the Am. Athletic Championship
Memphis Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Clemson (93) ACCACC 100 13 0 - - 100%
2 Florida (84) SECSEC 93 12 1 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 93 12 1 - - 100%
4 NorthwesternN. Western (107) Big 10Big 10 92 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Georgia Tech (91) ACCACC 88 11 1 - - X
6 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 86 10 2 - - X
7 Wisconsin (100) Big 10Big 10 85 10 3 - - X
8 USC (108) Big 10Big 10 83 10 2 - - X
9 Memphis (47) American AthleticAm. Athletic 82 12 1 - - X
10 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 82 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot