PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Missouri Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Missouri will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 46% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Missouri makes the playoffs 46% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Missouri making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (119)Missouri opponents win (SOS related)
  • (119)Missouri plays in the SEC Championship Game
Missouri Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Miami (81) ACCACC 100 10 3 - - 100%
2 South Florida (70) American AthleticAm. Athletic 95 11 2 - - 100%
3 Missouri (119) SECSEC 94 12 1 - - 100%
4 Virginia (78) ACCACC 93 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Georgia Tech (91) ACCACC 92 10 2 - - X
6 Louisville (80) ACCACC 91 9 3 - - X
7 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 90 10 2 - - X
8 Tulsa (30) American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 11 1 - - X
9 Vanderbilt (96) SECSEC 87 10 2 - - X
10 Stanford (103) ACCACC 85 9 3 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Missouri misses the playoffs 54% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Missouri missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (119)Missouri opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (119)Missouri does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
  • (115)Tennessee wins the SEC Championship
  • (110)Ole Miss wins the SEC Championship
Missouri Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Ball State (3) MACMAC 107 13 0 - - 100%
2 James Madison (59) SunbeltSunbelt 106 12 1 - - 100%
3 Arizona St. (74) Big 12Big 12 98 11 2 - - 100%
4 Ole Miss (110) SECSEC 96 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 Missouri (119) SECSEC 95 12 1 - - X
6 Utah (53) Big 12Big 12 91 11 2 - - X
7 Appalachian St.App. St. (27) SunbeltSunbelt 91 11 1 - - X
8 Texas Tech (61) Big 12Big 12 86 10 2 - - X
9 Ga. Southern (8) SunbeltSunbelt 85 9 3 - - X
10 Tulsa (30) American AthleticAm. Athletic 84 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot