PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Northwestern Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Northwestern will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 45% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Northwestern makes the playoffs 45% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Northwestern making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (107)Northwestern opponents win (SOS related)
  • (107)Northwestern plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
Northwestern Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 102 12 1 - - 100%
2 NorthwesternN. Western (107) Big 10Big 10 99 12 1 - - 100%
3 Baylor (7) Big 12Big 12 96 13 0 - - 100%
4 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 95 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 94 11 1 - - X
6 Eastern Michigan (45) MACMAC 92 12 1 - - X
7 Alabama (126) SECSEC 89 12 1 - - X
8 Boston College (89) ACCACC 88 10 3 - - X
9 Utah St. (65) Mountain WestMntn West 86 11 2 - - X
10 Pittsburgh (79) ACCACC 86 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Northwestern misses the playoffs 55% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Northwestern missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (107)Northwestern opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (107)Northwestern does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
Northwestern Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Clemson (93) ACCACC 105 12 1 - - 100%
2 Boston College (89) ACCACC 98 11 1 - - 100%
3 Memphis (47) American AthleticAm. Athletic 96 11 2 - - 100%
4 California (87) ACCACC 95 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Ole Miss (110) SECSEC 94 12 1 - - X
6 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 92 11 1 - - X
7 Texas St. (42) SunbeltSunbelt 91 12 1 - - X
8 Sam Houston (36) Conference USAConf. USA 90 11 2 - - X
9 Northern Illinois (32) MACMAC 90 12 1 - - X
10 Louisville (80) ACCACC 88 9 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot