PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

West Virginia Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, West Virginia will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 49% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, West Virginia makes the playoffs 49% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to West Virginia making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (77)West Virginia opponents win (SOS related)
West Virginia Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Louisville (80) ACCACC 102 12 1 - - 100%
2 West Virginia (77) Big 12Big 12 98 12 1 - - 100%
3 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 96 12 1 - - 100%
4 Colorado St. (55) Mountain WestMntn West 95 13 0 - - 100%
 
5 Maryland (105) Big 10Big 10 93 11 1 - - X
6 Michigan St. (116) Big 10Big 10 93 10 2 - - X
7 Georgia St. (66) SunbeltSunbelt 91 11 2 - - X
8 Illinois (99) Big 10Big 10 91 10 3 - - X
9 Memphis (47) American AthleticAm. Athletic 90 13 0 - - X
10 Georgia Tech (91) ACCACC 89 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, West Virginia misses the playoffs 51% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to West Virginia missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (77)West Virginia opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (77)West Virginia does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
West Virginia Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 USC (108) Big 10Big 10 107 13 0 - - 100%
2 UAB (35) American AthleticAm. Athletic 104 12 1 - - 100%
3 Northern Illinois (32) MACMAC 104 13 0 - - 100%
4 Central Michigan (18) MACMAC 97 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Wyoming (14) Mountain WestMntn West 95 13 0 - - X
6 Kennesaw St. (5) Conference USAConf. USA 92 12 1 - - X
7 West Virginia (77) Big 12Big 12 92 12 1 - - X
8 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 91 12 1 - - X
9 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 91 10 2 - - X
10 Rutgers (102) Big 10Big 10 87 11 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot