PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Jan 22 8:00 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 17 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Line Movers

A Line Mover is a team that

Simple put, if a line mover wins it conference tournament the cutline currently located between ranked teams 14 and 15 will move up one position, thus eliminating a team that would have received an NCAA Tournament bid based upon its rank. If your team is ranked on the bubble you want line-moving teams to lose in their conference tournament. The list contains 34 teams in 5 conferences, thus the cutline could theoretically move up 5 spots. The list size will quickly contract during the individual conference tournaments.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Line Movers
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP RPI Record Probability of Winning
Its Conference Tournament
W L T
16 Penn State Big 10 Big 10 44 0.5361 13 10 3 7%
20 WisconsinWiscon. Big 10 Big 10 40 0.5228 12 12 3 4%
37 Michigan State Big 10 Big 10 23 0.4875 9 16 1 1%
 
17 Harvard ECAC ECAC 43 0.5249 9 6 4 8%
28 Union ECAC ECAC 32 0.5081 14 12 1 6%
29 Colgate ECAC ECAC 31 0.5017 10 10 4 3%
34 Yale ECAC ECAC 26 0.4942 9 9 1 2%
35 DartmouthDartm. ECAC ECAC 25 0.4912 8 10 2 2%
36 QuinnipiacQuinn. ECAC ECAC 24 0.4879 9 12 4 1%
44 Princeton ECAC ECAC 16 0.4789 7 10 3 1%
51 Brown ECAC ECAC 9 0.4585 6 11 3 <1%
57 RensselaerRenss. ECAC ECAC 3 0.4341 4 18 4 <1%
59 St. LawrenceSt. Lawr. ECAC ECAC 1 0.4296 4 18 2 <1%
 
21 Boston College EastEast 39 0.5228 11 9 3 15%
24 Maine EastEast 36 0.5106 12 9 4 8%
25 Boston UniversityBoston U. EastEast 35 0.5104 11 11 2 11%
27 Mass.-Lowell EastEast 33 0.5082 14 11 0 9%
32 MassachusettsMass. EastEast 28 0.4989 11 11 1 5%
38 MerrimackMerri. EastEast 22 0.4855 7 13 4 2%
41 New HampshireNew Hamp. EastEast 19 0.4823 9 11 4 3%
46 ConnecticutUConn EastEast 14 0.4689 9 16 2 1%
56 Vermont EastEast 4 0.4342 5 15 4 <1%
 
15 Nebraska-OmahaNebr.-Omaha NCHC NCHC 46 0.5401 12 11 1 7%
22 Miami NCHC NCHC 38 0.5194 9 11 2 5%
26 Colorado College NCHC NCHC 34 0.5099 10 11 3 2%
 
18 Northern MichiganN. Mich. WCHA WCHA 42 0.5239 15 10 3 18%
19 Bowling Green WCHA WCHA 41 0.5236 14 8 6 14%
23 Bemidji State WCHA WCHA 37 0.5184 13 7 6 12%
30 Michigan TechMich. Tech WCHA WCHA 30 0.5005 13 9 5 5%
50 Ferris State WCHA WCHA 10 0.4593 10 17 1 1%
54 UAH WCHA WCHA 6 0.4528 8 16 2 1%
55 Alaska WCHA WCHA 5 0.4492 9 15 2 <1%
58 Lake Superior WCHA WCHA 2 0.432 6 18 4 <1%
60 Alaska-AnchorageAlaska-Anchor. WCHA WCHA 0 0.3912 2 18 4 <1%
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win its conference tournament
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - green number indicates the team controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny