PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Feb 19 1:45 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 21 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Line Movers

A Line Mover is a team that

Simple put, if a line mover wins it conference tournament the cutline currently located between ranked teams 13 and 14 will move up one position, thus eliminating a team that would have received an NCAA Tournament bid based upon its rank. If your team is ranked on the bubble you want line-moving teams to lose in their conference tournament. The list contains 14 teams in 3 conferences, thus the cutline could theoretically move up 3 spots. The list size will quickly contract during the individual conference tournaments.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Line Movers
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP RPI Record Probability of Winning
Its Conference Tournament
W L T
16 Penn State Big 10Big 10 48 0.5401 16 11 3 4%
28 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 36 0.5133 11 18 3 1%
45 Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 20 0.4749 9 20 1 <1%
 
18 New Hampshire EastEast 45 0.5245 11 13 4 1%
23 Merrimack EastEast 42 0.5169 13 16 1 1%
24 Vermont EastEast 40 0.5166 11 14 3 1%
30 NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 34 0.512 10 15 3 1%
 
15 Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 49 0.5433 17 11 2 11%
19 North Dakota NCHCNCHC 45 0.5221 15 12 2 8%
31 Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 33 0.5102 16 13 1 8%
33 Colorado College NCHCNCHC 31 0.5063 16 13 1 5%
35 St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 29 0.5023 11 16 1 1%
40 Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 24 0.4931 11 15 2 2%
63 Miami NCHCNCHC 2 0.4046 3 23 2 <1%
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win its conference tournament
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - green number indicates the team controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny