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Mon Nov 19 8:15 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 8 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Line Movers

A Line Mover is a team that

Simple put, if a line mover wins it conference tournament the cutline currently located between ranked teams 15 and 16 will move up one position, thus eliminating a team that would have received an NCAA Tournament bid based upon its rank. If your team is ranked on the bubble you want line-moving teams to lose in their conference tournament. The list contains 45 teams in 6 conferences, thus the cutline could theoretically move up 6 spots. The list size will quickly contract during the individual conference tournaments.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Line Movers
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP RPI Record Probability of Winning
Its Conference Tournament
W L T
25 Niagara Atlantic Atlantic 35 0.5103 6 5 1 15%
41 Air Force Atlantic Atlantic 20 0.468 6 6 0 10%
39 Army Atlantic Atlantic 20 0.4742 6 6 1 9%
43 MercyhurstMercy. Atlantic Atlantic 17 0.467 5 5 2 12%
44 Robert Morris Atlantic Atlantic 16 0.4632 3 6 1 9%
45 American Int'lAmer. Int'l Atlantic Atlantic 15 0.4588 5 7 1 11%
52 Canisius Atlantic Atlantic 8 0.4306 4 7 0 3%
54 Sacred Heart Atlantic Atlantic 6 0.4111 2 6 1 2%
56 Bentley Atlantic Atlantic 4 0.4054 3 7 1 1%
59 Holy Cross Atlantic Atlantic 1 0.3838 1 7 1 1%
 
21 Michigan Big 10 Big 10 39 0.528 6 5 0 8%
29 Michigan State Big 10 Big 10 31 0.4918 4 6 0 2%
37 MinnesotaMinn. Big 10 Big 10 23 0.4761 3 5 1 3%
38 WisconsinWiscon. Big 10 Big 10 22 0.4751 5 7 0 2%
 
18 Clarkson ECAC ECAC 42 0.5354 6 4 0 10%
23 DartmouthDartm. ECAC ECAC 37 0.524 3 2 0 10%
24 Cornell ECAC ECAC 36 0.521 5 3 0 10%
31 RensselaerRenss. ECAC ECAC 29 0.485 3 6 0 4%
33 Harvard ECAC ECAC 27 0.4845 2 3 2 4%
35 Yale ECAC ECAC 25 0.4836 2 2 1 4%
48 Colgate ECAC ECAC 12 0.4463 3 7 1 1%
55 St. LawrenceSt. Lawr. ECAC ECAC 5 0.4064 2 9 0 <1%
57 Brown ECAC ECAC 3 0.3954 1 5 1 <1%
 
16 NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 44 0.5496 7 3 1 16%
27 Mass.-Lowell EastEast 33 0.4947 6 5 1 7%
30 Maine EastEast 30 0.4914 4 5 1 3%
34 ConnecticutUConn EastEast 26 0.4843 5 6 1 3%
36 Boston UniversityBoston U. EastEast 24 0.4829 3 5 1 4%
47 Boston College EastEast 13 0.4503 3 5 1 1%
49 Vermont EastEast 10 0.4402 3 6 0 <1%
51 New HampshireNew Hamp. EastEast 10 0.439 1 6 3 <1%
50 MerrimackMerri. EastEast 10 0.4401 4 9 0 1%
 
19 Miami NCHC NCHC 41 0.5292 9 5 0 5%
20 Western Michigan NCHC NCHC 40 0.5291 6 6 0 5%
28 North Dakota NCHC NCHC 32 0.4939 5 5 1 4%
40 Colorado College NCHC NCHC 20 0.4706 5 6 1 1%
46 Nebraska-OmahaNebr.-Omaha NCHC NCHC 14 0.4567 2 7 1 1%
 
17 Lake Superior WCHA WCHA 43 0.5374 6 3 1 12%
22 Bemidji State WCHA WCHA 38 0.5268 5 4 1 10%
26 Michigan TechMich. Tech WCHA WCHA 34 0.4971 5 5 0 7%
32 Northern MichiganN. Mich. WCHA WCHA 28 0.4848 5 7 0 5%
42 Alaska WCHA WCHA 18 0.4678 2 8 2 2%
53 Ferris State WCHA WCHA 7 0.4169 4 8 0 <1%
58 Alaska-AnchorageAlaska-Anchor. WCHA WCHA 2 0.3853 1 8 1 <1%
60 UAH WCHA WCHA 0 0.3779 1 11 0 <1%
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win its conference tournament
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - green number indicates the team controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny