PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 17 3:15 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 21 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Line Movers

A Line Mover is a team that

Simple put, if a line mover wins it conference tournament the cutline currently located between ranked teams 14 and 15 will move up one position, thus eliminating a team that would have received an NCAA Tournament bid based upon its rank. If your team is ranked on the bubble you want line-moving teams to lose in their conference tournament. The list contains 33 teams in 5 conferences, thus the cutline could theoretically move up 5 spots. The list size will quickly contract during the individual conference tournaments.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Line Movers
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP RPI Record Probability of Winning
Its Conference Tournament
W L T
17 Notre DameN.Dame Big 10 Big 10 43 0.5356 16 11 3 15%
18 Penn State Big 10 Big 10 42 0.5355 17 11 2 14%
22 MinnesotaMinn. Big 10 Big 10 38 0.5178 13 14 4 8%
24 Michigan Big 10 Big 10 35 0.5124 12 12 6 7%
31 Michigan State Big 10 Big 10 28 0.499 11 16 5 3%
33 WisconsinWiscon. Big 10 Big 10 28 0.4972 10 15 5 3%
 
15 Harvard ECAC ECAC 45 0.541 14 8 3 12%
20 Union ECAC ECAC 40 0.5324 15 9 6 6%
23 Yale ECAC ECAC 37 0.5216 13 9 3 9%
29 Brown ECAC ECAC 31 0.5008 10 10 5 3%
38 DartmouthDartm. ECAC ECAC 22 0.4869 9 12 4 1%
45 RensselaerRenss. ECAC ECAC 15 0.4704 9 18 3 <1%
47 Colgate ECAC ECAC 13 0.4671 8 19 3 <1%
49 Princeton ECAC ECAC 11 0.4625 7 16 2 <1%
59 St. LawrenceSt. Lawr. ECAC ECAC 1 0.4112 4 24 2 <1%
 
25 New HampshireNew Hamp. EastEast 35 0.5067 11 10 8 3%
27 Maine EastEast 34 0.5028 12 14 4 3%
30 Boston UniversityBoston U. EastEast 30 0.5005 11 15 3 3%
36 Vermont EastEast 25 0.4886 12 16 2 <1%
37 Boston College EastEast 24 0.4876 10 16 3 2%
48 ConnecticutUConn EastEast 12 0.4669 10 18 2 <1%
 
21 North Dakota NCHC NCHC 38 0.5318 14 13 2 4%
26 Colorado College NCHC NCHC 34 0.5048 11 14 4 2%
39 Miami NCHC NCHC 21 0.4869 10 16 4 1%
40 Nebraska-OmahaNebr.-Omaha NCHC NCHC 20 0.485 9 17 2 1%
 
16 Bowling Green WCHA WCHA 44 0.5387 19 8 4 16%
19 Lake Superior WCHA WCHA 41 0.5338 20 8 2 20%
28 Northern MichiganN. Mich. WCHA WCHA 32 0.5011 15 14 2 5%
32 Bemidji State WCHA WCHA 28 0.4987 15 12 5 4%
43 Michigan TechMich. Tech WCHA WCHA 17 0.479 12 16 4 2%
50 Alaska WCHA WCHA 10 0.4622 9 18 3 <1%
55 Ferris State WCHA WCHA 5 0.4382 8 21 3 <1%
58 UAH WCHA WCHA 2 0.4211 6 24 2 <1%
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win its conference tournament
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - green number indicates the team controls its destiny
  • 50% - probability the team will win its conference tournament - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny