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Fri Sep 23 11:00 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 1 of 24

NCAA Hockey Tournament Participation Probabilities

Will your team receive an invitation to the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Participation Probabilities table presents the probability that your college team receives a tournament invite depended upon three ways of playing its remaining games. These play methods include winning all remaining games (minus its conference tournament final), current winning probabilites, and losing all remaining games. All other future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 15 and 16. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Participation Probabilities
Rank Team Conference Conf MWP RecordĀ  NCAA Tournament Participation Probabilities
W L T Pts Win Out Minus CF Current Lose Out
1 Air Force Atlantic 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
2 Alaska WCHA 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
3 Alaska-Anchorage WCHA 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
4 American Int'l Atlantic 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
5 Arizona St. Independent Ind. 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 28% X
6 Army Atlantic 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
7 Bemidji State WCHA 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
8 Bentley Atlantic 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 27% X
9 Boston College East 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
10 Boston University East 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 27% X
11 Bowling Green WCHA 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
12 Brown ECAC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 25% X
13 Canisius Atlantic 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
14 Clarkson ECAC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 25% X
15 Colgate ECAC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
Cutline - Click Here to View 31 Line Movers
16 Colorado College NCHC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 29% X
17 Connecticut East 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
18 Cornell ECAC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
19 Dartmouth ECAC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 25% X
20 Denver NCHC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 28% X
21 Ferris State WCHA 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
22 Harvard ECAC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 25% X
23 Holy Cross Atlantic 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 25% X
24 Lake Superior WCHA 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 27% X
25 Maine East 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 25% X
26 Mass.-Lowell East 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
27 Massachusetts Mass. East 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 25% X
28 Mercyhurst Atlantic 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 25% X
29 Merrimack East 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
30 Miami NCHC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 29% X
31 Michigan Big 10 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 31% X
32 Michigan State Big 10 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 31% X
33 Michigan Tech WCHA 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 27% X
34 Minnesota Big 10 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 31% X
35 Minnesota State WCHA 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
36 Minnesota-Duluth NCHC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 28% X
37 Nebraska-Omaha NCHC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 29% X
38 New Hampshire East 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
39 Niagara Atlantic 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
40 North Dakota NCHC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 28% X
41 Northeastern N. Eastern East 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
42 Northern Michigan WCHA 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
43 Notre Dame East 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 25% X
44 Ohio State Big 10 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 31% X
45 Penn State Big 10 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 30% X
46 Princeton ECAC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 25% X
47 Providence East 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
48 Quinnipiac ECAC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 25% X
49 RIT Atlantic 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 25% X
50 Rensselaer ECAC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
51 Robert Morris Atlantic 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
52 Sacred Heart Atlantic 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
53 St. Cloud State NCHC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 29% X
54 St. Lawrence ECAC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
55 UAH WCHA 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
56 Union ECAC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 26% X
57 Vermont East 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 25% X
58 Western Michigan NCHC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 28% X
59 Wisconsin Big 10 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 31% X
60 Yale ECAC 2950 0 0 0 0 100% 25% X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will receive a tournament invitation - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot