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NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the NCAA Hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.




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NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

  Record  NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Participate Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
Providence 26 13 2 54 100% 100% ^ ^ ^
Boston University 28 8 5 61 X 100% ^ ^ ^
North Dakota 29 9 3 61 X X 100% ^ ^
Nebraska-Omaha 20 13 6 46 X X 100% ^ ^
Denver 23 14 2 48 X X X 100% ^
Minnesota-Duluth 21 16 3 45 X X X 100% ^
RIT 20 15 5 45 X X X 100% ^
St. Cloud State 20 19 1 41 X X X 100% ^
Minnesota State 29 8 3 61 X X X X 100%
Michigan Tech 29 10 2 60 X X X X 100%
Miami 25 14 1 51 X X X X 100%
Quinnipiac 23 12 4 50 X X X X 100%
Minnesota 23 13 3 49 X X X X 100%
Boston College 21 14 3 45 X X X X 100%
Harvard 21 13 3 45 X X X X 100%
Yale 18 10 5 41 X X X X 100%
Robert Morris 24 8 5 53 X X X X X
Bowling Green 23 11 5 51 X X X X X
Colgate 22 12 4 48 X X X X X
Mass.-Lowell 21 12 6 48 X X X X X
Vermont 22 15 4 48 X X X X X
Michigan 22 15 0 44 X X X X X
Canisius 18 12 7 43 X X X X X
St. Lawrence 20 14 3 43 X X X X X
Mercyhurst 19 16 4 42 X X X X X
Notre Dame 18 19 5 41 X X X X X
Alaska 19 13 2 40 X X X X X
New Hampshire 19 19 2 40 X X X X X
Penn State 18 15 4 40 X X X X X
Union 19 18 2 40 X X X X X
Bentley 17 15 5 39 X X X X X
Dartmouth 17 12 4 38 X X X X X
Ferris State 18 20 2 38 X X X X X
Bemidji State 16 17 5 37 X X X X X
Air Force 16 21 4 36 X X X X X
Merrimack 16 18 4 36 X X X X X
Michigan State 17 16 2 36 X X X X X
Northeastern 16 16 4 36 X X X X X
Northern Michigan 14 18 6 34 X X X X X
Holy Cross 14 18 5 33 X X X X X
Western Michigan 14 18 5 33 X X X X X
Sacred Heart 13 19 6 32 X X X X X
Maine 14 22 3 31 X X X X X
Ohio State 14 19 3 31 X X X X X
Clarkson 12 20 5 29 X X X X X
Cornell 11 14 6 28 X X X X X
Connecticut 10 19 7 27 X X X X X
Rensselaer 12 26 3 27 X X X X X
Massachusetts 11 23 2 24 X X X X X
Alaska-Anchorage 8 22 4 20 X X X X X
Army 8 22 4 20 X X X X X
UAH 8 26 4 20 X X X X X
Brown 8 20 3 19 X X X X X
Lake Superior 8 28 2 18 X X X X X
Niagara 7 28 4 18 X X X X X
American Int'l 4 25 7 15 X X X X X
Colorado College 6 26 3 15 X X X X X
Wisconsin 4 26 5 13 X X X X X
Princeton 4 23 3 11 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot