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Sat Oct 31 8:00 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 5 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
W L T Ptsi
Schedule Content
Pts = 2*W + 1*T + 0*L
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Touch/Hover Content
Upcoming Games Opponents
Michigan Big 10Big 10 7 0 0 14 100 .6611 14% 25% 42% 69% 99%
Augustana CCHACCHA 6 0 1 13 93 .5948 12% 20% 35% 59% 94%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 6 1 2 14 78 .6053 7% 12% 23% 44% 76%
Army AtlanticAtl. 5 1 0 10 83 .5955 6% 12% 22% 42% 79%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 5 0 0 10 100 .5967 5% 10% 19% 36% 64%
Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 6 1 0 12 86 .5837 5% 9% 18% 34% 62%
Quinnipiac ECACECAC 5 2 0 10 71 .6033 5% 9% 17% 34% 64%
Union ECACECAC 4 2 0 8 67 .6184 4% 8% 16% 32% 62%
Providence EastEast 5 1 0 10 83 .5724 4% 8% 16% 30% 56%
Colorado College NCHCNCHC 5 2 0 10 71 .5704 3% 7% 14% 29% 54%
Boston University EastEast 5 2 0 10 71 .5629 3% 7% 14% 27% 52%
Michigan State Big 10Big 10 4 1 0 8 80 .5791 3% 6% 13% 26% 48%
Princeton ECACECAC 1 0 0 2 100 .5831 3% 6% 12% 25% 49%
Cornell ECACECAC 1 0 0 2 100 .6131 2% 5% 11% 23% 44%
Yale ECACECAC 1 0 0 2 100 .5714 2% 5% 10% 21% 43%
Merrimack EastEast 5 2 1 11 69 .5210 2% 5% 9% 19% 40%
Miami NCHCNCHC 6 1 0 12 86 .5346 2% 4% 9% 20% 41%
Denver NCHCNCHC 4 2 1 9 64 .5468 2% 4% 9% 20% 41%
Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 6 2 0 12 75 .5473 2% 4% 8% 18% 40%
North Dakota NCHCNCHC 4 2 0 8 67 .5390 2% 4% 8% 17% 35%
Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 5 2 0 10 71 .5254 1% 3% 7% 15% 31%
ConnecticutUConn EastEast 4 4 0 8 50 .5041 1% 3% 6% 12% 27%
Niagara AtlanticAtl. 5 4 1 11 55 .5281 1% 2% 5% 12% 30%
Bowling Green CCHACCHA 4 4 0 8 50 .5420 1% 2% 5% 12% 30%
Vermont EastEast 4 3 0 8 57 .5438 1% 2% 5% 12% 29%
Dartmouth ECACECAC 0 0 0 0 50 .5000 1% 2% 4% 10% 25%
Maine EastEast 4 3 0 8 57 .5458 1% 2% 4% 10% 24%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 2 3 0 4 40 .5131 1% 2% 4% 10% 23%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 2 3 2 6 43 .5259 1% 2% 4% 9% 21%
NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 2 2 0 4 50 .5369 1% 1% 4% 10% 26%
Harvard ECACECAC 1 1 0 2 50 .5004 <1% 1% 4% 9% 23%
Rensselaer ECACECAC 4 3 0 8 57 .5092 <1% 1% 3% 7% 18%
Holy Cross AtlanticAtl. 4 5 0 8 44 .5088 <1% 1% 2% 6% 17%
MassachusettsMass. EastEast 4 4 1 9 50 .5005 <1% 1% 2% 5% 15%
New Hampshire EastEast 3 4 1 7 44 .5199 <1% 1% 2% 4% 12%
Ohio State Big 10Big 10 2 4 0 4 33 .5105 <1% 1% 2% 4% 12%
Sacred Heart AtlanticAtl. 3 4 0 6 43 .4841 <1% <1% 1% 3% 10%
Clarkson ECACECAC 3 4 1 7 44 .4854 <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
Bentley AtlanticAtl. 3 4 0 6 43 .4804 <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Brown ECACECAC 0 1 0 0 0 .4286 <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 2 5 0 4 29 .4747 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 2 5 0 4 29 .4884 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Boston College EastEast 2 3 1 5 42 .4690 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Bemidji State CCHACCHA 2 4 0 4 33 .4636 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 2 4 0 4 33 .4973 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Air Force AtlanticAtl. 3 4 0 6 43 .4638 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Minnesota State CCHACCHA 2 4 1 5 36 .4800 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
RIT AtlanticAtl. 2 6 1 5 28 .4715 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Canisius AtlanticAtl. 3 4 1 7 44 .4617 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 3 3 0 6 50 .4441 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Lake Superior CCHACCHA 2 4 1 5 36 .4679 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 1 5 0 2 17 .4771 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 3 5 0 6 38 .4657 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 2 4 1 5 36 .4421 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 2 5 0 4 29 .4347 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Ferris State CCHACCHA 1 5 1 3 21 .4489 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 2 7 0 4 22 .4417 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 1 7 0 2 13 .4409 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Robert Morris AtlanticAtl. 1 7 0 2 13 .4159 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Thomas NCHCNCHC 1 4 0 2 20 .4034 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colgate ECACECAC 0 7 0 0 0 .3702 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence ECACECAC 0 4 0 0 0 .3260 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot