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Sun Apr 10 1:30 am

NCAA Hockey - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record  NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
North Dakota 34 6 3 71 100% ^ ^ ^ ^
Quinnipiac 32 4 7 71 X 100% ^ ^ ^
Boston College 28 8 5 61 X X 100% ^ ^
Denver 25 10 5 55 X X 100% ^ ^
Mass.-Lowell 25 10 5 55 X X X 100% ^
Michigan 25 8 5 55 X X X 100% ^
Ferris State 20 15 6 46 X X X 100% ^
Minnesota-Duluth 19 16 5 43 X X X 100% ^
St. Cloud State 31 9 1 63 X X X X 100%
Providence 27 7 4 58 X X X X 100%
Northeastern N. Eastern 22 14 5 49 X X X X 100%
Boston University 21 13 5 47 X X X X 100%
Notre Dame 19 11 7 45 X X X X 100%
Harvard 19 11 4 42 X X X X 100%
RIT 18 15 6 42 X X X X 100%
Yale 19 9 4 42 X X X X 100%
Robert Morris 24 11 4 52 X X X X X
Michigan Tech 23 9 5 51 X X X X X
Bowling Green 22 14 6 50 X X X X X
Minnesota State 21 13 7 49 X X X X X
Penn State 21 13 4 46 X X X X X
Air Force 20 12 5 45 X X X X X
Clarkson 20 15 3 43 X X X X X
Rensselaer 18 15 7 43 X X X X X
St. Lawrence 19 14 4 42 X X X X X
Holy Cross 18 13 5 41 X X X X X
Bemidji State 17 16 6 40 X X X X X
Minnesota 20 17 0 40 X X X X X
Cornell 16 11 7 39 X X X X X
Mercyhurst 17 15 4 38 X X X X X
Army 14 15 9 37 X X X X X
Dartmouth 18 16 1 37 X X X X X
Nebraska-Omaha 18 17 1 37 X X X X X
Northern Michigan 15 16 7 37 X X X X X
Union 13 14 9 35 X X X X X
Bentley 14 20 6 34 X X X X X
Lake Superior 14 22 5 33 X X X X X
Merrimack 13 19 7 33 X X X X X
Miami 15 18 3 33 X X X X X
Vermont 15 22 3 33 X X X X X
Ohio State 14 18 4 32 X X X X X
Sacred Heart 13 20 4 30 X X X X X
Canisius 12 22 5 29 X X X X X
New Hampshire 11 20 6 28 X X X X X
Connecticut 11 21 4 26 X X X X X
Alaska-Anchorage 11 20 3 25 X X X X X
Alaska 10 22 4 24 X X X X X
Colgate 11 24 2 24 X X X X X
Michigan State 10 23 4 24 X X X X X
Wisconsin 8 19 8 24 X X X X X
Maine 8 24 6 22 X X X X X
Massachusetts Mass. 8 24 4 20 X X X X X
UAH 7 21 6 20 X X X X X
Western Michigan 8 25 3 19 X X X X X
Niagara 6 25 6 18 X X X X X
American Int'l 7 29 3 17 X X X X X
Brown 5 19 7 17 X X X X X
Colorado College 6 29 1 13 X X X X X
Princeton 5 23 3 13 X X X X X
Arizona St. 3 22 0 6 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot