PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Feb 17 7:15 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 21 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
Boston College 22 6 1 45 20% 34% 54% 83% 100%
Michigan State 22 5 3 47 15% 28% 47% 77% 100%
Western Michigan 22 5 1 45 10% 19% 36% 64% >99%
Maine 19 5 5 43 10% 18% 35% 63% >99%
Minnesota 21 7 4 46 6% 13% 29% 58% >99%
Providence 17 8 5 39 6% 13% 26% 54% 99%
Ohio State 20 8 2 42 5% 11% 25% 53% 99%
Boston University 17 11 1 35 5% 10% 22% 50% 99%
Denver 21 8 1 43 4% 10% 20% 45% 92%
ConnecticutUConn 16 10 3 35 4% 9% 20% 46% 97%
Michigan 17 12 3 37 3% 7% 16% 35% 77%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell 15 11 3 33 2% 5% 12% 29% 68%
Quinnipiac 19 9 2 40 2% 4% 10% 24% 58%
Minnesota State 20 8 2 42 2% 4% 9% 20% 53%
MassachusettsMass. 16 12 2 34 1% 3% 8% 19% 49%
Arizona St. 17 11 2 36 1% 2% 4% 11% 29%
Penn State 16 11 3 35 1% 2% 4% 11% 27%
Holy Cross 19 11 2 40 <1% 1% 3% 9% 42%
Sacred Heart 17 10 5 39 <1% 1% 2% 5% 25%
Clarkson 18 9 3 39 <1% 1% 2% 5% 18%
Colgate 15 12 3 33 <1% 1% 1% 4% 13%
Cornell 11 8 6 28 <1% 1% 1% 3% 10%
North Dakota 15 12 2 32 <1% 1% 1% 3% 9%
Bowling Green 15 10 4 34 <1% <1% 1% 3% 16%
Michigan Tech 15 12 3 33 <1% <1% 1% 3% 16%
Union 17 10 3 37 <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha 16 13 1 33 <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
Bentley 17 13 2 36 <1% <1% 1% 2% 16%
St. Thomas 12 13 5 29 <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Dartmouth 12 11 2 26 <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Colorado College 16 13 1 33 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Niagara 16 13 3 35 <1% <1% <1% 1% 9%
Bemidji State 11 15 4 26 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Brown 12 11 2 26 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
New Hampshire 11 13 4 26 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Army 13 16 2 28 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Lake Superior 11 17 2 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Air Force 13 19 2 28 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Ferris State 11 17 2 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth 11 15 2 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Princeton 10 13 2 22 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Harvard 9 14 2 20 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Merrimack 13 16 1 27 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Vermont 11 14 3 25 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Wisconsin 11 18 3 25 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Rensselaer 11 17 2 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
NortheasternN. Eastern 10 15 3 23 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
St. Cloud State 11 16 1 23 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
American Int'l 10 18 2 22 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Canisius 10 20 2 22 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Augustana 17 9 4 38 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Long Island 15 11 2 32 X X X X X
Alaska 10 12 6 26 X X X X X
Robert Morris 10 18 4 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence 9 19 2 20 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Notre Dame 9 20 1 19 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
RIT 8 22 2 18 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stonehill 9 21 0 18 X X X X X
Lindenwood 7 21 2 16 X X X X X
Anchorage 5 22 5 15 X X X X X
Yale 6 17 2 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mercyhurst 4 24 4 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan 5 24 1 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Miami 3 23 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot