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Wed Feb 10 11:45 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 19 of 24

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record  NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
Quinnipiac 21 1 6 48 16% 28% 47% 76% >99%
St. Cloud State 23 6 1 47 14% 25% 43% 72% >99%
North Dakota 22 3 3 47 12% 23% 40% 69% >99%
Boston College 20 4 4 44 10% 18% 35% 64% >99%
Providence 19 5 4 42 8% 15% 30% 58% >99%
Michigan 17 4 4 38 6% 12% 25% 52% 97%
Notre Dame 16 5 7 39 5% 12% 24% 52% 99%
Yale 14 5 4 32 5% 10% 21% 46% 92%
Harvard 13 7 3 29 4% 9% 20% 44% 91%
Boston University 16 8 4 36 4% 8% 18% 40% 86%
Denver 13 8 5 31 3% 7% 16% 38% 85%
Nebraska-Omaha 16 9 1 33 3% 7% 16% 37% 81%
Mass.-Lowell 17 6 5 39 3% 6% 13% 29% 68%
Cornell 12 7 4 28 1% 2% 6% 13% 32%
Michigan Tech 16 7 5 37 1% 2% 5% 12% 33%
Dartmouth 12 10 1 25 1% 2% 5% 11% 26%
Robert Morris 17 7 4 38 1% 2% 4% 10% 37%
Minnesota State 15 10 5 35 1% 2% 4% 10% 29%
Penn State 17 8 3 37 1% 1% 4% 8% 24%
Minnesota 14 13 0 28 <1% 1% 3% 7% 24%
Bowling Green 16 9 6 38 <1% 1% 3% 7% 21%
Miami 11 13 3 25 <1% 1% 2% 6% 17%
Rensselaer 14 10 6 34 <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
Clarkson 15 10 3 33 <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
Minnesota-Duluth 11 12 5 27 <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
St. Lawrence 14 11 3 31 <1% 1% 1% 3% 9%
Air Force 14 9 5 33 <1% <1% 1% 3% 18%
Holy Cross 13 10 5 31 <1% <1% 1% 3% 15%
Ferris State 13 9 6 32 <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
RIT 12 11 5 29 <1% <1% 1% 2% 12%
Northern Michigan 12 10 6 30 <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Bemidji State 12 11 5 29 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Mercyhurst 14 13 1 29 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Ohio State 8 14 2 18 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Wisconsin 6 12 6 18 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Northeastern N. Eastern 10 13 5 25 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Bentley 11 14 4 26 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Alaska-Anchorage 10 15 3 23 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Army 8 11 7 23 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Canisius 8 15 5 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Michigan State 7 19 2 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Union 10 10 8 28 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
New Hampshire 10 14 4 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Sacred Heart 10 16 4 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Vermont 11 16 2 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lake Superior 9 17 4 22 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Western Michigan 7 16 3 17 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Connecticut 9 15 4 22 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Merrimack 8 14 6 22 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Maine 7 17 6 20 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Massachusetts Mass. 8 17 4 20 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Alaska 7 17 4 18 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colgate 8 19 2 18 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UAH 6 17 3 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colorado College 6 21 1 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Niagara 5 20 3 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
American Int'l 5 23 2 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arizona St. 5 22 2 12 X X X X X
Brown 4 16 4 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Princeton 5 16 2 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot