PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Mar 9 8:30 pm

NCAA Hockey - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
North Dakota 26 5 4 56 19% 32% 52% 80% 100%
Minnesota State 31 5 2 64 14% 26% 44% 71% 100%
Cornell 23 2 4 50 12% 23% 41% 68% 100%
Boston College 24 8 2 50 9% 17% 33% 62% 100%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth 22 10 2 46 9% 17% 33% 62% 100%
Denver 21 9 6 48 7% 15% 30% 59% 100%
Penn State 20 10 4 44 5% 10% 22% 52% 100%
MassachusettsMass. 21 11 2 44 4% 9% 19% 48% >99%
Clarkson 23 8 3 49 4% 9% 19% 47% 99%
Ohio State 20 11 5 45 4% 9% 19% 46% >99%
Arizona St. 22 11 3 47 2% 6% 14% 33% 94%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell 18 10 6 42 2% 5% 12% 29% 73%
Bemidji State 22 10 5 49 2% 5% 11% 25% 60%
Western Michigan 18 13 5 41 2% 4% 8% 18% 46%
Michigan 18 14 4 40 1% 3% 7% 17% 46%
Quinnipiac 21 11 2 44 1% 3% 7% 16% 45%
Maine 18 11 5 41 1% 3% 6% 16% 43%
Minnesota 16 14 7 39 1% 2% 4% 9% 24%
Sacred Heart 21 10 3 45 <1% 1% 3% 7% 30%
NortheasternN. Eastern 18 13 3 39 <1% 1% 3% 7% 21%
American Int'l 21 12 1 43 <1% 1% 2% 5% 24%
Bowling Green 21 13 4 46 <1% 1% 2% 3% 10%
RIT 19 13 4 42 <1% <1% 1% 3% 18%
Army 17 13 3 37 <1% <1% 1% 2% 15%
Michigan Tech 21 15 3 45 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Providence 16 12 6 38 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Harvard 15 10 6 36 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Boston University 13 13 8 34 <1% <1% 1% 1% 5%
St. Cloud State 13 15 6 32 <1% <1% 1% 1% 4%
Rensselaer 17 15 2 36 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
ConnecticutUConn 15 15 4 34 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Bentley 17 16 3 37 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Niagara 12 18 4 28 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Air Force 12 18 6 30 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha 14 17 5 33 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Yale 15 15 2 32 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Robert Morris 13 19 5 31 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Colgate 12 16 8 32 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Northern Michigan 18 16 4 40 X X X X X
Alaska 16 15 5 37 X X X X X
Notre Dame 15 15 7 37 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
New Hampshire 15 15 4 34 X X X X X
Lake Superior 14 23 4 32 X X X X X
Michigan State 15 19 2 32 X X X X X
Dartmouth 13 14 4 30 X X X X X
Wisconsin 14 20 2 30 X X X X X
Holy Cross 11 21 5 27 X X X X X
Canisius 10 20 6 26 X X X X X
Colorado College 11 20 3 25 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Merrimack 9 22 3 21 X X X X X
Miami 8 21 5 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Union 8 25 4 20 X X X X X
Brown 8 21 2 18 X X X X X
Princeton 6 20 5 17 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ferris State 7 26 2 16 X X X X X
Vermont 5 23 6 16 X X X X X
Alaska-AnchorageAK-Anch 4 25 7 15 X X X X X
St. Lawrence 4 27 5 13 X X X X X
Mercyhurst 5 29 2 12 X X X X X
UAH 2 26 6 10 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot