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Wed Dec 7 6:30 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 10 of 24

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record  NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
Minnesota-Duluth 10 2 2 22 16% 27% 45% 72% 99%
Denver 11 2 3 25 11% 20% 35% 62% 97%
Penn State 13 1 1 27 8% 16% 29% 55% 94%
Harvard 8 2 1 17 8% 14% 27% 51% 88%
Vermont 9 3 2 20 6% 11% 23% 44% 79%
Ohio State 9 2 4 22 6% 11% 22% 44% 82%
Boston College 13 5 1 27 6% 11% 22% 43% 81%
Boston University 8 4 2 18 4% 8% 16% 32% 61%
North Dakota 8 5 3 19 4% 7% 15% 30% 60%
Quinnipiac 10 5 2 22 3% 6% 13% 27% 56%
Mass.-Lowell 8 5 3 19 3% 6% 13% 27% 56%
Union 10 3 2 22 3% 6% 13% 27% 55%
Western Michigan 7 4 3 17 3% 6% 13% 26% 53%
Minnesota 7 5 2 16 3% 6% 12% 25% 53%
Robert Morris 8 4 2 18 2% 5% 11% 24% 54%
Cornell 7 3 1 15 2% 5% 11% 24% 49%
St. Lawrence 9 5 4 22 2% 5% 10% 20% 43%
Bemidji State 12 5 1 25 2% 4% 9% 21% 51%
Minnesota State 9 5 1 19 1% 3% 7% 17% 41%
St. Cloud State 7 6 1 15 1% 3% 7% 15% 31%
Notre Dame 8 6 2 18 1% 3% 7% 14% 29%
Nebraska-Omaha 8 5 3 19 1% 3% 6% 13% 28%
Clarkson 9 6 3 21 1% 2% 5% 11% 26%
Air Force 7 6 3 17 1% 2% 4% 11% 29%
Michigan Tech 10 7 3 23 1% 2% 4% 10% 29%
Wisconsin 7 6 1 15 1% 1% 3% 7% 18%
Michigan 6 7 1 13 <1% 1% 3% 6% 16%
RIT 8 7 1 17 <1% 1% 2% 5% 16%
Army 7 6 1 15 <1% 1% 2% 5% 16%
Connecticut 5 6 6 16 <1% 1% 1% 3% 9%
Dartmouth 3 5 2 8 <1% 1% 1% 3% 9%
Holy Cross 6 5 3 15 <1% <1% 1% 4% 13%
Bowling Green 8 8 2 18 <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
New Hampshire 8 6 2 18 <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
Merrimack 6 6 3 15 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7%
Canisius 6 8 3 15 <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Lake Superior 8 8 0 16 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Michigan State 4 6 1 9 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Northeastern N. Eastern 5 7 4 14 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Providence 5 6 3 13 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Yale 3 4 2 8 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Sacred Heart 5 9 2 12 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Ferris State 6 10 1 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
American Int'l 3 6 6 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Bentley 3 7 4 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Mercyhurst 5 8 0 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Maine 5 9 3 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
UAH 5 11 2 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Massachusetts Mass. 4 8 2 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Miami 3 8 4 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Alaska 4 10 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Princeton 3 7 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Colgate 4 9 4 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan 4 12 2 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arizona St. 4 13 0 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Niagara 2 11 3 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer 3 14 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Alaska-Anchorage 2 12 2 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colorado College 3 11 0 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown 2 8 0 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot