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Fri Mar 28 5:15 pm

NCAA Hockey - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Hockey
National Champions		 Championship Game
Participate		 Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
Boston College 27 7 2 56 24% 38% 62% 100% ^
Western Michigan 31 7 1 63 16% 30% 62% 100% ^
Boston University 22 13 2 46 13% 29% 60% 100% ^
Maine 24 7 6 54 12% 23% 38% 65% 100%
ConnecticutUConn 22 11 4 48 8% 16% 29% 59% 100%
Cornell 19 10 6 44 6% 16% 40% 100% ^
MassachusettsMass. 21 13 5 47 6% 14% 38% 100% ^
Providence 21 10 5 47 6% 11% 22% 55% 100%
Quinnipiac 24 11 2 50 3% 8% 17% 41% 100%
Penn State 20 13 4 44 3% 8% 16% 35% 100%
Denver 29 11 1 59 3% 7% 16% 45% 100%
Minnesota State 27 9 3 57 X X X X 100%
Michigan State 26 7 4 56 X X X X 100%
Minnesota 25 11 4 54 X X X X 100%
Ohio State 24 14 2 50 X X X X 100%
Bentley 23 15 2 48 X X X X 100%
Clarkson 24 12 3 51 X X X X X
Holy Cross 24 14 2 50 X X X X X
Sacred Heart 21 13 5 47 X X X X X
Arizona St. 21 14 2 44 X X X X X
North Dakota 21 15 2 44 X X X X X
St. Thomas 19 14 5 43 X X X X X
Union 19 14 3 41 X X X X X
Augustana 18 13 4 40 X X X X X
Bowling Green 18 14 4 40 X X X X X
Colgate 18 15 3 39 X X X X X
Michigan 18 15 3 39 X X X X X
Niagara 18 16 3 39 X X X X X
Dartmouth 18 13 2 38 X X X X X
Long Island 18 12 2 38 X X X X X
Colorado College 18 18 1 37 X X X X X
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha 18 17 1 37 X X X X X
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell 16 16 4 36 X X X X X
Air Force 16 21 3 35 X X X X X
Bemidji State 15 18 5 35 X X X X X
Michigan Tech 16 17 3 35 X X X X X
Army 16 20 2 34 X X X X X
New Hampshire 13 16 6 32 X X X X X
Brown 14 15 3 31 X X X X X
NortheasternN. Eastern 14 20 3 31 X X X X X
Alaska 12 14 6 30 X X X X X
Ferris State 13 20 3 29 X X X X X
Harvard 13 17 3 29 X X X X X
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth 13 20 3 29 X X X X X
St. Cloud State 14 21 1 29 X X X X X
Wisconsin 13 21 3 29 X X X X X
American Int'l 13 23 2 28 X X X X X
Merrimack 13 21 1 27 X X X X X
Princeton 12 15 3 27 X X X X X
Canisius 12 23 2 26 X X X X X
Lake Superior 12 22 2 26 X X X X X
Rensselaer 12 21 2 26 X X X X X
Notre Dame 12 25 1 25 X X X X X
Robert Morris 10 20 5 25 X X X X X
Vermont 11 21 3 25 X X X X X
RIT 10 23 2 22 X X X X X
St. Lawrence 9 24 2 20 X X X X X
Stonehill 10 22 0 20 X X X X X
Lindenwood 8 22 2 18 X X X X X
Anchorage 6 23 5 17 X X X X X
Yale 6 21 3 15 X X X X X
Mercyhurst 4 27 4 12 X X X X X
Northern Michigan 5 27 2 12 X X X X X
Miami 3 28 3 9 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot