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Fri Jan 20 12:30 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 17 of 24

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record  NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
Denver 15 5 4 34 10% 19% 35% 63% 99%
Penn State 16 2 1 33 10% 19% 35% 63% 98%
Minnesota-Duluth 13 5 4 30 10% 19% 34% 61% 97%
Boston University 14 5 2 30 10% 18% 33% 59% 97%
Mass.-Lowell 15 5 3 33 7% 14% 27% 53% 94%
Union 17 5 2 36 6% 11% 23% 46% 89%
Minnesota 13 5 2 28 5% 11% 22% 43% 84%
North Dakota 13 7 3 29 5% 10% 21% 42% 81%
Vermont 15 7 2 32 5% 10% 20% 41% 81%
Western Michigan 11 6 3 25 5% 10% 20% 39% 75%
Ohio State 11 4 5 27 4% 8% 17% 36% 73%
Cornell 11 4 1 23 4% 8% 17% 34% 69%
Harvard 11 5 1 23 4% 7% 15% 31% 63%
St. Lawrence 12 6 6 30 2% 5% 11% 24% 51%
Boston College 14 9 2 30 2% 5% 10% 22% 48%
Nebraska-Omaha 13 8 3 29 1% 3% 7% 16% 35%
Robert Morris 13 6 3 29 1% 3% 6% 15% 38%
Air Force 13 7 4 30 1% 3% 6% 14% 37%
Bemidji State 15 8 3 33 1% 2% 6% 13% 39%
Notre Dame 13 8 2 28 1% 2% 5% 11% 25%
Providence 10 8 4 24 1% 2% 4% 8% 19%
Michigan Tech 14 9 5 33 <1% 1% 3% 8% 27%
Minnesota State 14 8 2 30 <1% 1% 3% 7% 23%
Quinnipiac 13 10 2 28 <1% 1% 3% 6% 14%
Wisconsin 10 7 1 21 <1% 1% 2% 6% 16%
St. Cloud State 10 11 1 21 <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
Miami 8 9 5 21 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11%
Clarkson 11 9 3 25 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9%
Army 12 8 3 27 <1% <1% 1% 4% 15%
Canisius 8 10 5 21 <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
Bowling Green 12 13 2 26 <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
Dartmouth 7 8 3 17 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Michigan 8 11 1 17 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Yale 7 7 3 17 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
New Hampshire 11 8 3 25 <1% <1% 1% 1% 4%
Connecticut 9 8 6 24 <1% <1% 1% 1% 4%
Holy Cross 9 9 4 22 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
RIT 10 12 1 21 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Mercyhurst 9 13 1 19 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Lake Superior 9 12 3 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Bentley 6 11 5 17 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Sacred Heart 8 13 3 19 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Alaska 7 14 3 17 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Maine 8 11 3 19 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Merrimack 8 11 3 19 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Northeastern N. Eastern 7 10 5 19 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Ferris State 7 14 4 18 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Princeton 7 11 2 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Alaska-Anchorage 5 14 5 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Colorado College 6 14 2 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Michigan State 4 15 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
American Int'l 5 13 6 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arizona St. 7 17 2 16 X X X X X
UAH 7 15 2 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan 5 17 4 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colgate 4 12 5 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Massachusetts Mass. 5 16 2 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Niagara 3 16 3 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer 4 21 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown 3 13 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot