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Mon Nov 19 8:15 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 8 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
St. Cloud State 11 1 0 22 15% 26% 44% 71% 99%
MassachusettsMass. 10 1 0 20 13% 23% 41% 68% 99%
Minnesota-DuluthMinn.-Duluth 9 2 1 19 9% 16% 30% 55% 92%
Ohio State 8 3 1 17 8% 15% 28% 53% 90%
Penn State 9 2 0 18 8% 14% 28% 51% 87%
Minnesota StateMinn. State 9 1 0 18 7% 14% 26% 50% 86%
QuinnipiacQuinn. 9 2 0 18 6% 12% 23% 45% 83%
Arizona St. 10 4 0 20 4% 8% 17% 36% 74%
Notre DameN.Dame 7 4 1 15 4% 8% 17% 35% 69%
Denver 6 3 1 13 4% 7% 15% 31% 61%
ProvidenceProvid. 7 3 1 15 3% 7% 14% 28% 58%
Union 7 3 1 15 3% 6% 13% 28% 57%
Bowling Green 8 3 2 18 3% 6% 13% 27% 57%
NortheasternN. Eastern 7 3 1 15 3% 6% 12% 26% 53%
RIT 6 3 1 13 1% 3% 7% 18% 46%
Clarkson 6 4 0 12 1% 3% 6% 14% 33%
Michigan 6 5 0 12 1% 3% 6% 14% 32%
DartmouthDartm. 3 2 0 6 1% 2% 6% 14% 32%
Lake Superior 6 3 1 13 1% 2% 6% 13% 31%
Cornell 5 3 0 10 1% 2% 5% 13% 29%
Princeton 3 3 1 7 1% 2% 5% 12% 28%
Miami 9 5 0 18 1% 2% 4% 10% 24%
Bemidji State 5 4 1 11 1% 2% 4% 9% 22%
Mass.-Lowell 6 5 1 13 1% 1% 4% 9% 22%
North Dakota 5 5 1 11 1% 1% 3% 7% 19%
Western Michigan 6 6 0 12 <1% 1% 3% 7% 16%
Niagara 6 5 1 13 <1% 1% 2% 7% 23%
Harvard 2 3 2 6 <1% 1% 2% 4% 13%
Michigan TechMich. Tech 5 5 0 10 <1% 1% 2% 4% 12%
Yale 2 2 1 5 <1% 1% 1% 4% 12%
MercyhurstMercy. 5 5 2 12 <1% <1% 1% 3% 14%
Air Force 6 6 0 12 <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
Maine 4 5 1 9 <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Boston UniversityBoston U. 3 5 1 7 <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
RensselaerRenss. 3 6 0 6 <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
ConnecticutUConn 5 6 1 11 <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
MinnesotaMinn. 3 5 1 7 <1% <1% 1% 3% 7%
American Int'lAmer. Int'l 5 7 1 11 <1% <1% 1% 2% 12%
Army 6 6 1 13 <1% <1% 1% 2% 11%
Robert Morris 3 6 1 7 <1% <1% 1% 2% 11%
Northern MichiganN. Mich. 5 7 0 10 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Michigan State 4 6 0 8 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Colorado College 5 6 1 11 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
WisconsinWiscon. 5 7 0 10 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr.-Omaha 2 7 1 5 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Canisius 4 7 0 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Boston College 3 5 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Alaska 2 8 2 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Sacred Heart 2 6 1 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
MerrimackMerri. 4 9 0 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Bentley 3 7 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Colgate 3 7 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Vermont 3 6 0 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Ferris State 4 8 0 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
New HampshireNew Hamp. 1 6 3 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. LawrenceSt. Lawr. 2 9 0 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Alaska-AnchorageAlaska-Anchor. 1 8 1 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown 1 5 1 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Holy Cross 1 7 1 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UAH 1 11 0 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot