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NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the NCAA Hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.




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NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

  Record  NCAA Hockey
National Champions		 Championship Game
Participate		 Frozen Four Participate Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
Boston College 33 10 1 67 100% 100% ^ ^ ^
Ferris State 26 12 5 57 X 100% ^ ^ ^
Union 26 8 7 59 X X 100% ^ ^
Minnesota 28 14 1 57 X X 100% ^ ^
Minnesota-Duluth 25 10 6 56 X X X 100% ^
North Dakota 26 13 3 55 X X X 100% ^
Mass.-Lowell 24 13 1 49 X X X 100% ^
Cornell 18 9 7 43 X X X 100% ^
Denver 25 14 4 54 X X X X 100%
Michigan 24 13 4 52 X X X X 100%
Air Force 21 11 7 49 X X X X 100%
Maine 23 14 3 49 X X X X 100%
Miami 23 15 2 48 X X X X 100%
Western Michigan 21 14 6 48 X X X X 100%
Boston University 23 15 1 47 X X X X 100%
Michigan State 19 16 4 42 X X X X 100%
Quinnipiac 20 14 6 46 X X X X X
RIT 20 13 6 46 X X X X X
Holy Cross 20 15 4 44 X X X X X
Mercyhurst 20 16 4 44 X X X X X
Merrimack 18 12 7 43 X X X X X
Niagara 17 11 9 43 X X X X X
Colgate 19 16 3 41 X X X X X
Lake Superior 18 17 5 41 X X X X X
Notre Dame 19 18 3 41 X X X X X
Bentley 16 16 8 40 X X X X X
Northern Michigan 17 14 6 40 X X X X X
Robert Morris 17 17 5 39 X X X X X
St. Cloud State 17 17 5 39 X X X X X
Clarkson 16 17 6 38 X X X X X
Colorado College 18 16 2 38 X X X X X
Bemidji State 17 18 3 37 X X X X X
Harvard 13 10 11 37 X X X X X
Connecticut 16 19 4 36 X X X X X
Michigan Tech 16 19 4 36 X X X X X
Wisconsin 17 18 2 36 X X X X X
Ohio State 15 15 5 35 X X X X X
Yale 16 16 3 35 X X X X X
Nebraska-Omaha 14 18 6 34 X X X X X
Bowling Green 14 24 5 33 X X X X X
New Hampshire 15 19 3 33 X X X X X
Providence 14 20 4 32 X X X X X
Massachusetts 13 18 5 31 X X X X X
Northeastern 13 16 5 31 X X X X X
St. Lawrence 14 19 3 31 X X X X X
Dartmouth 13 16 4 30 X X X X X
Alaska 12 20 4 28 X X X X X
Rensselaer 12 24 3 27 X X X X X
Minnesota State 12 24 2 26 X X X X X
Princeton 9 16 7 25 X X X X X
Canisius 10 22 4 24 X X X X X
Brown 9 18 5 23 X X X X X
Alaska-Anchorage 9 25 2 20 X X X X X
American Int'l 8 26 3 19 X X X X X
Army 4 23 7 15 X X X X X
Sacred Heart 6 28 3 15 X X X X X
Vermont 6 27 1 13 X X X X X
UAH 2 28 1 5 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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