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Sun Dec 17 3:15 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 12 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
St. Cloud State 12 2 1 25 19% 32% 51% 76% >99%
Notre DameN.Dame 16 3 1 33 14% 26% 44% 71% >99%
Clarkson 15 3 1 31 13% 23% 40% 67% >99%
Cornell 10 2 0 20 8% 15% 29% 56% 94%
Denver 10 4 4 24 7% 14% 28% 55% 95%
Minnesota StateMinn. State 13 5 0 26 6% 12% 25% 50% 91%
Ohio State 10 4 4 24 5% 10% 21% 43% 84%
North Dakota 10 5 5 25 3% 7% 17% 36% 74%
MinnesotaMinn. 10 9 1 21 2% 5% 12% 26% 56%
Canisius 10 5 1 21 2% 5% 11% 25% 56%
Western Michigan 10 8 1 21 2% 5% 11% 24% 52%
Penn State 11 7 2 24 2% 5% 10% 24% 54%
ProvidenceProvid. 10 7 1 21 2% 4% 9% 22% 50%
NortheasternN. Eastern 10 5 2 22 2% 4% 9% 20% 46%
Boston College 9 7 2 20 1% 3% 8% 18% 42%
Colorado College 8 7 2 18 1% 3% 6% 16% 36%
Bowling Green 8 5 6 22 1% 2% 6% 14% 34%
Miami 8 8 2 18 1% 2% 6% 13% 30%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr.-Omaha 7 8 1 15 1% 2% 5% 13% 30%
Minnesota-DuluthMinn.-Duluth 8 9 2 18 1% 2% 5% 13% 28%
WisconsinWiscon. 10 9 2 22 1% 2% 5% 10% 24%
New HampshireNew Hamp. 9 7 1 19 1% 2% 4% 9% 23%
Mass.-Lowell 9 8 0 18 1% 2% 4% 9% 23%
MassachusettsMass. 9 7 0 18 1% 1% 4% 9% 23%
Niagara 9 7 1 19 <1% 1% 3% 8% 25%
Colgate 8 6 4 20 <1% 1% 3% 8% 20%
Michigan 7 7 2 16 <1% 1% 3% 7% 18%
Northern MichiganN. Mich. 10 8 2 22 <1% 1% 3% 6% 19%
Union 10 8 1 21 <1% 1% 3% 6% 17%
Michigan State 8 9 1 17 <1% 1% 3% 6% 16%
RIT 8 7 1 17 <1% 1% 2% 4% 15%
Boston UniversityBoston U. 8 10 1 17 <1% 1% 2% 4% 13%
Maine 8 7 1 17 <1% 1% 2% 4% 13%
Harvard 4 5 1 9 <1% 1% 2% 4% 11%
Army 8 8 2 18 <1% 1% 1% 3% 12%
Bentley 7 7 3 17 <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
MercyhurstMercy. 7 8 2 16 <1% <1% 1% 3% 10%
Bemidji State 7 6 5 19 <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Holy Cross 6 6 6 18 <1% <1% 1% 2% 9%
Michigan TechMich. Tech 9 7 5 23 <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Air Force 7 8 3 17 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
Robert Morris 6 11 1 13 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
ConnecticutUConn 8 11 2 18 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
MerrimackMerri. 4 9 4 12 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Ferris State 9 12 1 19 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
American Int'lAmer. Int'l 6 11 2 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
UAH 6 12 2 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Alaska 7 11 2 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
QuinnipiacQuinn. 6 10 2 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Princeton 6 7 1 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Brown 5 7 1 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Vermont 4 10 3 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Sacred Heart 4 11 2 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Yale 5 7 0 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lake Superior 4 12 4 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arizona St. 4 10 3 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
RensselaerRenss. 3 11 3 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
DartmouthDartm. 3 8 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Alaska-AnchorageAlaska-Anchor. 1 13 4 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. LawrenceSt. Lawr. 1 14 1 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot