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Mon Jan 12 10:15 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 16 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
W L T Ptsi
Schedule Content
Pts = 2*W + 1*T + 0*L
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Touch/Hover Content
Upcoming Games Opponents
Michigan Big 10Big 10 18 4 0 36 82 .5855 13% 22% 40% 67% >99%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 15 3 2 32 80 .5711 10% 19% 34% 61% 98%
North Dakota NCHCNCHC 17 5 0 34 77 .5776 9% 18% 33% 60% 97%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 16 6 0 32 73 .5697 9% 18% 32% 58% 96%
Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 16 6 0 32 73 .5651 9% 17% 31% 56% 94%
Michigan State Big 10Big 10 15 5 0 30 75 .5636 8% 16% 29% 55% 95%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 14 6 0 28 70 .5599 6% 11% 22% 46% 86%
Quinnipiac ECACECAC 16 4 2 34 77 .5456 6% 11% 22% 45% 84%
Dartmouth ECACECAC 13 4 0 26 76 .5612 5% 10% 22% 46% 88%
Cornell ECACECAC 11 4 0 22 73 .5495 3% 7% 15% 34% 69%
Augustana CCHACCHA 14 6 3 31 67 .5380 2% 4% 10% 23% 53%
Providence EastEast 11 7 2 24 60 .5353 2% 4% 9% 20% 44%
Boston College EastEast 11 6 1 23 64 .5303 2% 4% 9% 19% 42%
Denver NCHCNCHC 12 9 2 26 57 .5385 2% 4% 8% 18% 41%
ConnecticutUConn EastEast 12 6 3 27 64 .5286 2% 4% 8% 17% 39%
St. Thomas CCHACCHA 12 7 3 27 61 .5314 2% 3% 7% 18% 43%
Princeton ECACECAC 11 5 0 22 69 .5306 1% 3% 8% 18% 41%
Minnesota State CCHACCHA 12 6 5 29 63 .5291 1% 3% 6% 15% 37%
Union ECACECAC 13 6 2 28 67 .5214 1% 3% 6% 13% 31%
New Hampshire EastEast 11 8 0 22 58 .5180 1% 3% 6% 12% 28%
Bentley AtlanticAtl. 12 6 2 26 65 .5149 1% 2% 5% 12% 36%
Bowling Green CCHACCHA 11 5 4 26 65 .5194 1% 2% 4% 10% 25%
Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 14 8 2 30 63 .5162 1% 2% 4% 9% 23%
Boston University EastEast 11 9 1 23 55 .5191 1% 2% 4% 8% 20%
Maine EastEast 12 9 2 26 57 .5097 1% 1% 3% 6% 15%
Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 12 11 1 25 52 .5163 1% 1% 3% 6% 13%
RIT AtlanticAtl. 13 9 0 26 59 .5045 <1% 1% 2% 6% 20%
Sacred Heart AtlanticAtl. 11 7 2 24 60 .4995 <1% 1% 2% 6% 19%
Holy Cross AtlanticAtl. 10 8 2 22 55 .5054 <1% 1% 2% 6% 19%
Harvard ECACECAC 7 7 1 15 50 .5104 <1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 11 11 0 22 50 .5221 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10%
Miami NCHCNCHC 12 8 2 26 59 .5053 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9%
Clarkson ECACECAC 11 11 0 22 50 .5103 <1% 1% 1% 3% 9%
Bemidji State CCHACCHA 9 10 3 21 48 .4989 <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Air Force AtlanticAtl. 10 10 2 22 50 .4878 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Merrimack EastEast 10 10 0 20 50 .5070 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 10 9 0 20 53 .5054 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
MassachusettsMass. EastEast 10 10 0 20 50 .4961 <1% <1% 1% 1% 4%
Colorado College NCHCNCHC 9 10 3 21 48 .4993 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3%
Canisius AtlanticAtl. 9 9 2 20 50 .4800 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Army AtlanticAtl. 8 10 5 21 46 .4859 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 8 12 1 17 40 .4997 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Vermont EastEast 8 11 0 16 42 .4771 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Ohio State Big 10Big 10 7 12 1 15 38 .5045 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Colgate ECACECAC 7 11 2 16 40 .4777 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 8 13 0 16 38 .4819 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Lake Superior CCHACCHA 8 13 1 17 39 .4741 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 8 14 0 16 36 .4953 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Niagara AtlanticAtl. 7 12 0 14 37 .4477 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 9 11 0 18 45 .4924 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 7 12 1 15 38 .4966 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 5 13 1 11 29 .4794 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer ECACECAC 5 16 0 10 24 .4436 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Robert Morris AtlanticAtl. 4 14 2 10 25 .4360 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 4 14 2 10 25 .4317 X X X X X
Yale ECACECAC 5 11 0 10 31 .4517 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 4 15 1 9 23 .4521 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown ECACECAC 4 13 0 8 24 .4413 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ferris State CCHACCHA 4 20 0 8 17 .4294 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 3 15 0 6 17 .4311 X X X X X
St. Lawrence ECACECAC 2 18 2 6 14 .3919 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mercyhurst AtlanticAtl. 1 18 1 3 8 .3883 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 1 23 0 2 4 .4136 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot