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Sun Feb 19 6:45 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 22 of 24

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record  NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
Minnesota-Duluth Minn.-Duluth 19 5 6 44 17% 29% 48% 75% 100%
Denver 22 6 4 48 16% 28% 47% 76% 100%
Harvard 20 5 2 42 9% 18% 34% 62% >99%
Minnesota Minn. 20 8 2 42 8% 16% 32% 59% >99%
Western Michigan 18 8 4 40 7% 14% 28% 55% 98%
Boston University Boston U. 20 9 3 43 6% 13% 26% 52% 97%
Mass.-Lowell 20 9 3 43 5% 10% 21% 46% 92%
Union 22 8 2 46 4% 10% 21% 46% 94%
Cornell 17 6 4 38 4% 9% 19% 42% 85%
Providence Provid. 18 9 5 41 4% 8% 17% 37% 79%
Penn State 18 8 2 38 3% 7% 16% 36% 77%
Air Force 21 8 5 47 2% 5% 13% 30% 71%
Ohio State 16 8 6 38 2% 5% 10% 24% 54%
Boston College 18 12 4 40 2% 4% 9% 20% 45%
Vermont 17 10 5 39 2% 4% 9% 19% 43%
North Dakota 15 13 3 33 2% 4% 8% 19% 41%
Notre Dame 18 9 5 41 1% 3% 8% 16% 36%
Wisconsin Wiscon. 17 10 1 35 1% 3% 7% 16% 37%
St. Cloud State 15 14 1 31 1% 2% 5% 12% 27%
Nebraska-Omaha Nebr.-Omaha 15 12 5 35 1% 2% 4% 8% 19%
Bemidji State 19 12 3 41 <1% 1% 4% 9% 35%
Minnesota State Minn. State 18 10 4 40 <1% 1% 3% 7% 26%
Michigan Tech Mich. Tech 17 12 7 41 <1% 1% 2% 5% 23%
Canisius 18 10 7 43 <1% 1% 2% 5% 20%
St. Lawrence St. Lawr. 15 10 7 37 <1% 1% 2% 5% 11%
Robert Morris 17 11 4 38 <1% 1% 1% 4% 16%
Army 16 11 4 36 <1% <1% 1% 3% 14%
Northeastern N. Eastern 15 12 5 35 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6%
Quinnipiac Quinn. 17 13 2 36 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Bowling Green 15 17 2 32 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8%
Clarkson 14 13 5 33 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Holy Cross 13 13 6 32 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Bentley 11 15 6 28 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Merrimack Merri. 13 13 6 32 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Yale 11 11 5 27 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Ferris State 12 17 4 28 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Mercyhurst Mercy. 12 16 4 28 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Lake Superior 11 15 6 28 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Sacred Heart 11 16 5 27 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Michigan 9 16 3 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
New Hampshire New Hamp. 12 15 5 29 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Connecticut Connect. 10 14 8 28 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Northern Michigan N. Mich. 11 19 4 26 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Princeton 11 13 3 25 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
RIT 12 20 1 25 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Alaska 10 18 4 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Miami 9 15 6 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Dartmouth Dartm. 10 14 3 23 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Michigan State 6 19 3 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Maine 10 18 4 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colgate 8 18 6 22 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
American Int'l Amer. Int'l 7 18 7 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UAH 9 20 3 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Alaska-Anchorage Alaska-Anchor. 7 19 6 20 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arizona St. 8 19 3 19 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colorado College 7 20 3 17 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Renss. 7 25 1 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Massachusetts Mass. 5 25 2 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown 4 21 2 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Niagara 3 26 3 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot