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Sat Dec 6 11:45 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 10 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
W L T Ptsi
Schedule Content
Pts = 2*W + 1*T + 0*L
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Upcoming Games Opponents
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 12 2 2 26 81 .5871 15% 25% 43% 69% 99%
Dartmouth ECACECAC 10 0 0 20 100 .5970 12% 21% 38% 65% 97%
Michigan Big 10Big 10 16 4 0 32 80 .5870 11% 21% 37% 65% 99%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 13 5 0 26 72 .5721 8% 16% 30% 55% 91%
North Dakota NCHCNCHC 12 4 0 24 75 .5693 8% 16% 29% 53% 89%
Michigan State Big 10Big 10 12 4 0 24 75 .5615 7% 14% 27% 52% 89%
Denver NCHCNCHC 11 5 1 23 68 .5700 5% 10% 22% 43% 80%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 11 5 0 22 69 .5562 4% 8% 17% 36% 68%
Minnesota State CCHACCHA 11 3 4 26 72 .5484 3% 7% 16% 35% 74%
NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 10 4 0 20 71 .5550 3% 7% 15% 34% 68%
Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 10 6 0 20 63 .5386 3% 7% 13% 27% 51%
Quinnipiac ECACECAC 12 4 2 26 72 .5335 3% 5% 12% 26% 55%
Harvard ECACECAC 7 3 1 15 68 .5433 2% 5% 11% 24% 53%
Boston College EastEast 10 5 1 21 66 .5331 2% 4% 10% 22% 49%
Cornell ECACECAC 7 4 0 14 64 .5330 1% 3% 7% 17% 39%
ConnecticutUConn EastEast 9 5 3 21 62 .5231 1% 3% 7% 16% 36%
Miami NCHCNCHC 10 6 0 20 63 .5169 1% 3% 6% 12% 24%
Augustana CCHACCHA 8 5 1 17 61 .5364 1% 2% 6% 15% 37%
Holy Cross AtlanticAtl. 10 6 1 21 62 .5195 1% 2% 5% 14% 39%
Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 8 6 0 16 57 .5295 1% 2% 5% 11% 29%
Princeton ECACECAC 7 4 0 14 64 .5275 1% 2% 4% 11% 28%
New Hampshire EastEast 9 7 0 18 56 .5131 1% 2% 4% 10% 24%
Providence EastEast 7 6 2 16 53 .5222 1% 2% 4% 9% 24%
St. Thomas CCHACCHA 7 7 3 17 50 .5126 1% 1% 3% 8% 21%
Bowling Green CCHACCHA 8 5 3 19 59 .5098 <1% 1% 3% 7% 20%
RIT AtlanticAtl. 10 7 0 20 59 .5006 <1% 1% 2% 5% 20%
Bentley AtlanticAtl. 9 6 1 19 59 .4921 <1% 1% 2% 5% 19%
Air Force AtlanticAtl. 9 7 2 20 56 .4969 <1% 1% 2% 5% 17%
Bemidji State CCHACCHA 9 8 2 20 53 .5080 <1% 1% 2% 5% 16%
Maine EastEast 8 7 1 17 53 .4915 <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 8 6 2 18 56 .4991 <1% 1% 2% 4% 14%
Union ECACECAC 10 5 2 22 65 .5027 <1% 1% 2% 4% 12%
Boston University EastEast 8 8 1 17 50 .5025 <1% 1% 2% 4% 12%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 6 8 0 12 43 .5037 <1% 1% 2% 4% 10%
Colorado College NCHCNCHC 8 7 1 17 53 .5052 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9%
Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 7 8 1 15 47 .4934 <1% 1% 1% 3% 7%
Sacred Heart AtlanticAtl. 7 7 2 16 50 .4832 <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 8 10 1 17 45 .5090 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 7 9 0 14 44 .5117 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 6 9 0 12 40 .5110 <1% <1% <1% 2% 6%
Canisius AtlanticAtl. 8 8 2 18 50 .4710 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6%
MassachusettsMass. EastEast 8 9 0 16 47 .4842 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Niagara AtlanticAtl. 7 9 0 14 44 .4550 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Army AtlanticAtl. 5 8 4 14 41 .4761 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Clarkson ECACECAC 7 11 0 14 39 .4870 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Ohio State Big 10Big 10 6 10 0 12 38 .5067 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 4 8 1 9 35 .4824 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Yale ECACECAC 4 7 0 8 36 .4770 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Robert Morris AtlanticAtl. 4 10 2 10 31 .4471 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Vermont EastEast 5 9 0 10 36 .4707 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Colgate ECACECAC 6 10 2 14 39 .4686 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lake Superior CCHACCHA 6 11 1 13 36 .4823 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 6 10 0 12 38 .4581 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Merrimack EastEast 5 10 0 10 33 .4674 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Ferris State CCHACCHA 4 12 0 8 25 .4515 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Rensselaer ECACECAC 5 13 0 10 28 .4419 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 4 11 1 9 28 .4579 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 3 10 0 6 23 .4430 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown ECACECAC 3 9 0 6 25 .4537 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence ECACECAC 2 15 1 5 14 .4002 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 2 13 1 5 16 .4277 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 1 17 0 2 6 .4166 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mercyhurst AtlanticAtl. 0 15 1 1 3 .3660 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot