PlayoffStatus.com

Home >NCAA Hockey >NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the NCAA Hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.




NCAA Hockey Rankings
NCAA Tournament Participation
NCAA Tournament Seedings
>NCAA Tournament Performance
NCAA Tournament Schedule
NCAA Hockey Schedule

PlayoffStatus.com Home
NCAA Hockey Home




Data may change several
times on day of play
Bookmark site for easy return

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

  Record  NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Participate Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
Minnesota State 23 6 2 48 14% 24% 41% 71% > 99%
North Dakota 22 6 3 47 12% 21% 38% 68% > 99%
Michigan Tech 24 7 1 49 9% 17% 33% 61% > 99%
Minnesota-Duluth 19 12 1 39 9% 17% 32% 60% > 99%
Boston University 20 6 5 45 8% 15% 29% 56% > 99%
Miami 19 10 1 39 7% 13% 27% 53% 99%
Nebraska-Omaha 17 10 3 37 6% 13% 25% 52% 99%
Denver 18 10 2 38 5% 11% 23% 48% 96%
Bowling Green 18 9 5 41 4% 9% 19% 42% 88%
Boston College 19 10 3 41 4% 9% 19% 40% 84%
Quinnipiac 20 8 4 44 4% 8% 17% 35% 74%
Minnesota 18 10 3 39 3% 7% 15% 33% 71%
St. Cloud State 15 14 1 31 3% 6% 13% 28% 64%
Providence 19 11 2 40 2% 5% 11% 23% 52%
Yale 16 7 4 36 2% 4% 8% 17% 36%
Vermont 18 11 3 39 1% 3% 6% 14% 31%
Michigan 17 11 0 34 1% 3% 6% 13% 33%
Mass.-Lowell 17 10 5 39 1% 3% 6% 13% 29%
Robert Morris 21 6 5 47 1% 2% 5% 12% 41%
St. Lawrence 18 11 3 39 1% 2% 4% 8% 21%
Harvard 14 10 3 31 1% 2% 4% 8% 20%
Colgate 18 11 3 39 1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
Penn State 16 10 4 36 < 1% 1% 3% 6% 19%
Bemidji State 14 14 4 32 < 1% 1% 3% 6% 14%
Northeastern 15 13 4 34 < 1% 1% 2% 4% 10%
Bentley 16 12 5 37 < 1% < 1% 1% 3% 16%
Michigan State 13 14 2 28 < 1% < 1% 1% 3% 10%
Canisius 15 10 7 37 < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 15%
Mercyhurst 16 12 4 36 < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 13%
Dartmouth 13 10 4 30 < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 6%
Western Michigan 12 14 4 28 < 1% < 1% 1% 2% 5%
Northern Michigan 13 13 6 32 < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 4%
Cornell 11 11 5 27 < 1% < 1% 1% 1% 4%
RIT 13 14 5 31 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 7%
Ohio State 9 17 2 20 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 4%
Notre Dame 14 15 5 33 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 3%
Merrimack 14 14 4 32 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2%
Ferris State 14 18 1 29 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% 2%
Air Force 13 18 4 30 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 3%
Holy Cross 12 16 5 29 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 3%
Sacred Heart 11 17 6 28 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 2%
Union 14 16 2 30 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1%
Maine 13 18 3 29 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1%
New Hampshire 13 17 2 28 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1%
Clarkson 11 17 4 26 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1%
Wisconsin 4 20 4 12 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 1%
Alaska 15 13 2 32 X X X X X
Connecticut 9 17 7 25 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Massachusetts 10 20 2 22 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Rensselaer 9 23 2 20 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
UAH 8 20 4 20 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Alaska-Anchorage 7 19 4 18 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Army 7 19 4 18 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Brown 8 17 2 18 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Lake Superior 7 23 2 16 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
American Int'l 3 22 7 13 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Niagara 4 24 4 12 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Colorado College 5 23 1 11 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
Princeton 4 19 3 11 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot