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Thu Nov 5 11:15 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 6 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
W L T Ptsi
Schedule Content
Pts = 2*W + 1*T + 0*L
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Touch/Hover Content
Upcoming Games Opponents
Augustana CCHACCHA 7 0 1 15 94 .6028 12% 20% 35% 59% 94%
Michigan Big 10Big 10 8 1 0 16 89 .6271 10% 18% 32% 57% 91%
Army AtlanticAtl. 5 1 0 10 83 .5926 6% 12% 22% 42% 77%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 6 0 1 13 93 .5967 6% 12% 22% 40% 71%
Colorado College NCHCNCHC 6 2 0 12 75 .5918 5% 10% 19% 38% 69%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 6 2 2 14 70 .5940 5% 10% 19% 37% 69%
Michigan State Big 10Big 10 5 1 0 10 83 .5950 5% 10% 19% 36% 64%
Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 6 1 0 12 86 .5817 5% 9% 18% 35% 63%
Princeton ECACECAC 2 0 0 4 100 .5828 5% 9% 18% 35% 63%
Quinnipiac ECACECAC 5 2 0 10 71 .6050 4% 9% 17% 33% 63%
Boston University EastEast 6 2 0 12 75 .5678 4% 9% 17% 32% 59%
Union ECACECAC 5 2 0 10 71 .6158 4% 8% 17% 35% 66%
Merrimack EastEast 5 1 2 12 75 .5457 4% 8% 15% 29% 54%
Dartmouth ECACECAC 2 0 0 4 100 .6044 3% 6% 12% 24% 46%
Yale ECACECAC 1 0 0 2 100 .5714 2% 5% 10% 22% 43%
Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 6 2 0 12 75 .5481 2% 4% 9% 19% 42%
Denver NCHCNCHC 5 2 1 11 69 .5424 2% 4% 9% 19% 39%
Providence EastEast 5 2 0 10 71 .5353 2% 4% 8% 16% 35%
ConnecticutUConn EastEast 4 4 1 9 50 .5217 2% 3% 7% 15% 32%
Vermont EastEast 5 3 0 10 63 .5585 1% 3% 8% 17% 38%
NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 3 2 0 6 60 .5371 1% 3% 7% 15% 34%
Niagara AtlanticAtl. 5 4 1 11 55 .5278 1% 2% 5% 12% 29%
Bowling Green CCHACCHA 4 4 0 8 50 .5412 1% 2% 5% 12% 28%
North Dakota NCHCNCHC 4 3 0 8 57 .5246 1% 2% 5% 12% 28%
Miami NCHCNCHC 6 2 0 12 75 .5075 1% 2% 5% 12% 26%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 3 3 3 9 50 .5195 1% 2% 5% 10% 23%
Ohio State Big 10Big 10 3 5 0 6 38 .5511 1% 2% 4% 9% 22%
Harvard ECACECAC 1 1 0 2 50 .5037 1% 1% 4% 9% 23%
Maine EastEast 4 4 0 8 50 .5473 1% 1% 3% 7% 19%
MassachusettsMass. EastEast 4 4 1 9 50 .5049 <1% 1% 3% 7% 17%
New Hampshire EastEast 3 4 1 7 44 .5320 <1% 1% 3% 6% 16%
Cornell ECACECAC 1 1 0 2 50 .4765 <1% 1% 2% 6% 15%
Bentley AtlanticAtl. 4 4 0 8 50 .4984 <1% 1% 2% 5% 15%
Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 5 3 0 10 63 .5072 <1% 1% 2% 5% 14%
Sacred Heart AtlanticAtl. 4 4 0 8 50 .5020 <1% 1% 2% 5% 14%
Rensselaer ECACECAC 4 4 0 8 50 .5144 <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 2 4 0 4 33 .4976 <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
Holy Cross AtlanticAtl. 4 6 0 8 40 .4967 <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 3 4 0 6 43 .5090 <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
Brown ECACECAC 0 1 0 0 0 .4286 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Clarkson ECACECAC 3 4 1 7 44 .4846 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 2 6 0 4 25 .4895 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Minnesota State CCHACCHA 2 4 2 6 38 .4901 <1% <1% 1% 1% 6%
RIT AtlanticAtl. 2 6 1 5 28 .4746 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 2 6 0 4 25 .4682 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5%
Canisius AtlanticAtl. 3 4 1 7 44 .4646 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Bemidji State CCHACCHA 2 4 1 5 36 .4563 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Air Force AtlanticAtl. 3 5 0 6 38 .4633 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Lake Superior CCHACCHA 2 4 2 6 38 .4714 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 3 4 0 6 43 .4437 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Boston College EastEast 2 5 1 5 31 .4647 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 2 5 1 5 31 .4570 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Ferris State CCHACCHA 1 5 2 4 25 .4544 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Robert Morris AtlanticAtl. 2 7 0 4 22 .4361 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
St. Thomas NCHCNCHC 2 4 0 4 33 .4486 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 3 5 0 6 38 .4590 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 2 7 0 4 22 .4414 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 2 6 0 4 25 .4223 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 1 7 0 2 13 .4725 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 1 7 0 2 13 .4336 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colgate ECACECAC 1 7 0 2 13 .3865 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence ECACECAC 0 4 0 0 0 .3168 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot