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Sun Feb 15 7:15 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 21 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
W L T Ptsi
Schedule Content
Pts = 2*W + 1*T + 0*L
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Touch/Hover Content
Upcoming Games Opponents
Michigan Big 10Big 10 24 5 1 49 82 .5855 20% 32% 51% 77% 100%
Michigan State Big 10Big 10 22 6 0 44 79 .5865 15% 28% 47% 74% >99%
Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 22 8 0 44 73 .5677 11% 20% 38% 65% >99%
North Dakota NCHCNCHC 23 7 0 46 77 .5722 10% 19% 36% 64% >99%
Quinnipiac ECACECAC 24 5 3 51 80 .5569 6% 13% 27% 56% >99%
Providence EastEast 19 8 2 40 69 .5535 6% 13% 27% 56% 99%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 18 9 1 37 66 .5602 6% 12% 25% 54% 99%
Denver NCHCNCHC 19 11 3 41 62 .5490 4% 9% 20% 47% 97%
ConnecticutUConn EastEast 17 7 4 38 68 .5399 3% 8% 16% 36% 75%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 18 12 0 36 60 .5453 3% 7% 17% 38% 82%
Cornell ECACECAC 17 7 1 35 70 .5429 3% 6% 15% 36% 84%
St. Thomas CCHACCHA 18 9 3 39 65 .5371 2% 6% 13% 31% 75%
Boston College EastEast 17 10 1 35 63 .5368 2% 5% 12% 28% 64%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 18 10 2 38 63 .5348 2% 5% 11% 23% 53%
Dartmouth ECACECAC 17 7 2 36 69 .5427 2% 4% 12% 31% 78%
Minnesota State CCHACCHA 16 9 5 37 62 .5267 1% 2% 4% 10% 30%
Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 21 10 3 45 66 .5233 1% 2% 4% 10% 28%
Miami NCHCNCHC 17 11 2 36 60 .5196 1% 1% 3% 6% 15%
Bentley AtlanticAtl. 17 9 5 39 63 .5119 <1% 1% 3% 8% 34%
Bowling Green CCHACCHA 16 8 6 38 63 .5220 <1% 1% 3% 6% 20%
Augustana CCHACCHA 19 10 3 41 64 .5241 <1% 1% 3% 6% 19%
MassachusettsMass. EastEast 17 11 0 34 61 .5199 <1% 1% 3% 6% 17%
RIT AtlanticAtl. 17 12 2 36 58 .5001 <1% <1% 1% 4% 17%
Sacred Heart AtlanticAtl. 15 12 3 33 55 .4945 <1% <1% 1% 3% 14%
Union ECACECAC 18 10 2 38 63 .5146 <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Harvard ECACECAC 13 11 2 28 54 .5144 <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Air Force AtlanticAtl. 15 12 3 33 55 .4972 <1% <1% 1% 2% 11%
Holy Cross AtlanticAtl. 14 14 2 30 50 .4947 <1% <1% 1% 2% 11%
Maine EastEast 14 12 3 31 53 .5111 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Merrimack EastEast 15 13 1 31 53 .5140 <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Princeton ECACECAC 14 11 1 29 56 .5060 <1% <1% 1% 1% 6%
Boston University EastEast 14 15 2 30 48 .5074 <1% <1% 1% 1% 4%
Canisius AtlanticAtl. 15 13 2 32 53 .4847 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 16 16 0 32 50 .5149 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 13 15 1 27 47 .5056 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Colorado College NCHCNCHC 12 14 4 28 47 .5053 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
New Hampshire EastEast 12 15 1 25 45 .4928 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Robert Morris AtlanticAtl. 10 17 3 23 38 .4672 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Army AtlanticAtl. 11 14 5 27 45 .4829 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Bemidji State CCHACCHA 12 17 3 27 42 .4736 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Clarkson ECACECAC 12 15 3 27 45 .4875 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Colgate ECACECAC 11 16 3 25 42 .4786 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 13 18 1 27 42 .4921 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 12 18 0 24 40 .4853 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Vermont EastEast 12 17 0 24 41 .4730 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Ohio State Big 10Big 10 11 16 1 23 41 .5090 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 10 19 2 22 35 .4886 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lake Superior CCHACCHA 9 19 2 20 33 .4683 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 14 14 0 28 50 .4924 X X X X X
Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 11 15 1 23 43 .4951 X X X X X
Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 10 15 2 22 41 .4877 X X X X X
Niagara AtlanticAtl. 10 19 1 21 35 .4496 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 10 20 0 20 33 .4861 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer ECACECAC 8 21 1 17 28 .4517 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Yale ECACECAC 8 17 1 17 33 .4532 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 6 20 4 16 27 .4646 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 7 21 2 16 27 .4356 X X X X X
Ferris State CCHACCHA 6 25 1 13 20 .4408 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St. Lawrence ECACECAC 5 22 3 13 22 .4182 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brown ECACECAC 5 19 2 12 23 .4407 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 5 21 1 11 20 .4262 X X X X X
Mercyhurst AtlanticAtl. 4 23 3 11 18 .4182 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 3 26 1 7 12 .4250 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot