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NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the NCAA Hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.




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NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

  Record  NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Participate Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
Union 32 6 4 68 100% 100% ^ ^ ^
Minnesota 28 7 6 62 X 100% ^ ^ ^
Boston College 28 8 4 60 X X 100% ^ ^
North Dakota 24 14 3 51 X X 100% ^ ^
Ferris State 29 11 3 61 X X X 100% ^
Mass.-Lowell 26 11 4 56 X X X 100% ^
Providence 22 11 6 50 X X X 100% ^
St. Cloud State 22 11 5 49 X X X 100% ^
Quinnipiac 24 10 6 54 X X X X 100%
Minnesota State 26 14 1 53 X X X X 100%
Wisconsin 24 11 2 50 X X X X 100%
Notre Dame 23 15 2 48 X X X X 100%
Denver 20 16 6 46 X X X X 100%
Colgate 20 14 5 45 X X X X 100%
Robert Morris 19 18 5 43 X X X X 100%
Vermont 20 15 3 43 X X X X 100%
Mercyhurst 21 13 7 49 X X X X X
Air Force 21 14 4 46 X X X X X
Clarkson 21 17 4 46 X X X X X
New Hampshire 22 18 1 45 X X X X X
Western Michigan 19 15 5 43 X X X X X
Bentley 19 14 4 42 X X X X X
Bowling Green 18 15 6 42 X X X X X
Northeastern 19 14 4 42 X X X X X
Ohio State 18 14 5 41 X X X X X
Alaska 18 15 4 40 X X X X X
Alaska-Anchorage 18 16 4 40 X X X X X
Connecticut 18 14 4 40 X X X X X
Michigan 18 13 4 40 X X X X X
Cornell 17 10 5 39 X X X X X
Yale 17 11 5 39 X X X X X
Canisius 17 21 3 37 X X X X X
Maine 16 15 4 36 X X X X X
Minnesota-Duluth 16 16 4 36 X X X X X
Nebraska-Omaha 17 18 2 36 X X X X X
Rensselaer 15 16 6 36 X X X X X
Michigan Tech 14 19 7 35 X X X X X
Niagara 15 20 5 35 X X X X X
St. Lawrence 15 19 4 34 X X X X X
Lake Superior 16 19 1 33 X X X X X
Miami 15 20 3 33 X X X X X
Northern Michigan 15 21 2 32 X X X X X
Holy Cross 14 22 3 31 X X X X X
Michigan State 11 18 7 29 X X X X X
RIT 12 20 5 29 X X X X X
Bemidji State 10 21 7 27 X X X X X
Brown 11 17 3 25 X X X X X
Boston University 10 21 4 24 X X X X X
Dartmouth 10 20 4 24 X X X X X
Harvard 10 17 4 24 X X X X X
Sacred Heart 12 24 0 24 X X X X X
American Int'l 10 25 1 21 X X X X X
Colorado College 7 24 6 20 X X X X X
Massachusetts 8 22 4 20 X X X X X
Merrimack 8 22 3 19 X X X X X
Penn State 8 26 2 18 X X X X X
Army 6 28 0 12 X X X X X
Princeton 6 26 0 12 X X X X X
UAH 2 35 1 5 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot