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Sun Nov 9 6:45 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 6 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
Team ConferenceConf Record WPi
Win Percentage
NPIi
NCAA Power Index
NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
W L T Ptsi
Pts = 2*W + 1*T + 0*L
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 10 2 0 20 83 .4375 11% 17% 28% 45% 68%
Dartmouth ECACECAC 4 0 0 8 100 .5620 10% 19% 34% 58% 93%
Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 7 1 2 16 80 .5275 9% 16% 29% 51% 83%
NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 7 1 0 14 88 .5119 8% 14% 26% 46% 78%
Michigan Big 10Big 10 10 2 0 20 83 .4928 6% 12% 21% 39% 69%
North Dakota NCHCNCHC 7 3 0 14 70 .4647 6% 11% 20% 35% 59%
Michigan State Big 10Big 10 7 1 0 14 88 .3586 5% 10% 16% 27% 45%
Miami NCHCNCHC 7 1 0 14 88 .3906 4% 8% 14% 25% 42%
Yale ECACECAC 2 1 0 4 67 .2858 4% 7% 14% 26% 46%
Denver NCHCNCHC 6 3 1 13 65 .4964 3% 7% 13% 24% 43%
Cornell ECACECAC 2 2 0 4 50 .5258 3% 6% 13% 27% 51%
Penn State Big 10Big 10 9 3 0 18 75 .4266 3% 6% 11% 19% 35%
RIT AtlanticAtl. 7 2 0 14 78 .4435 2% 5% 12% 28% 59%
Minnesota State CCHACCHA 4 2 4 12 60 .4622 2% 5% 11% 25% 53%
Quinnipiac ECACECAC 6 3 2 14 64 .4253 2% 5% 9% 19% 39%
Bentley AtlanticAtl. 5 3 1 11 61 .4598 2% 4% 10% 23% 50%
Augustana CCHACCHA 6 4 0 12 60 .4727 2% 4% 8% 19% 41%
Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 7 3 0 14 70 .5356 1% 4% 9% 22% 49%
Providence EastEast 4 3 2 10 56 .4232 1% 3% 6% 14% 30%
Bemidji State CCHACCHA 7 4 1 15 63 .3334 1% 3% 6% 11% 28%
Maine EastEast 6 3 1 13 65 .3397 1% 3% 6% 11% 23%
MassachusettsMass. EastEast 7 4 0 14 64 .3775 1% 3% 5% 11% 22%
Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 4 5 0 8 44 .4429 1% 2% 7% 19% 56%
Air Force AtlanticAtl. 5 4 1 11 55 .4249 1% 2% 7% 16% 36%
Holy Cross AtlanticAtl. 5 5 1 11 50 .4542 1% 2% 5% 13% 32%
Army AtlanticAtl. 3 3 3 9 50 .4374 1% 2% 5% 13% 30%
Harvard ECACECAC 2 1 1 5 63 .4437 1% 2% 5% 12% 26%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 4 4 0 8 50 .3719 1% 2% 5% 10% 20%
Canisius AtlanticAtl. 5 4 1 11 55 .3932 1% 2% 4% 11% 26%
Boston College EastEast 4 4 1 9 50 .4175 1% 2% 4% 9% 20%
Colorado College NCHCNCHC 6 3 1 13 65 .3903 1% 2% 3% 6% 12%
Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 5 5 0 10 50 .4278 1% 1% 3% 6% 12%
Princeton ECACECAC 2 2 0 4 50 .4458 <1% 2% 4% 12% 29%
Bowling Green CCHACCHA 2 3 3 7 44 .4419 <1% 1% 3% 9% 24%
Clarkson ECACECAC 4 6 0 8 40 .4410 <1% 1% 3% 9% 21%
Union ECACECAC 6 2 1 13 72 .4267 <1% 1% 3% 7% 17%
ConnecticutUConn EastEast 4 4 2 10 50 .3841 <1% 1% 3% 7% 16%
St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 6 5 0 12 55 .3888 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9%
Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 5 5 0 10 50 .3908 <1% 1% 2% 4% 9%
Boston University EastEast 5 5 1 11 50 .3344 <1% 1% 1% 3% 7%
Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 2 8 1 5 23 .3939 <1% <1% 1% 5% 15%
Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 1 5 0 2 17 .2475 <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Brown ECACECAC 1 3 0 2 25 .3810 <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Sacred Heart AtlanticAtl. 3 5 1 7 39 .3668 <1% <1% 1% 3% 8%
Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 5 5 0 10 50 .3792 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Minnesota Big 10Big 10 4 7 1 9 38 .3869 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
New Hampshire EastEast 4 5 0 8 44 .3111 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Merrimack EastEast 3 5 0 6 38 .3562 <1% <1% 1% 2% 5%
Ohio State Big 10Big 10 4 4 0 8 50 .3716 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
Robert Morris AtlanticAtl. 2 5 1 5 31 .4268 <1% <1% <1% 2% 7%
Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 3 6 1 7 35 .3590 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Niagara AtlanticAtl. 3 6 0 6 33 .4702 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Colgate ECACECAC 2 7 1 5 25 .3475 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Ferris State CCHACCHA 2 8 0 4 20 .3230 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Vermont EastEast 3 5 0 6 38 .3381 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Lake Superior CCHACCHA 3 6 1 7 35 .3717 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 3 6 1 7 35 .4113 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
St. Thomas CCHACCHA 3 5 1 7 39 .3520 X X X X X
St. Lawrence ECACECAC 2 7 1 5 25 .3940 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rensselaer ECACECAC 2 8 0 4 20 .2886 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 1 10 0 2 9 .2751 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mercyhurst AtlanticAtl. 0 11 0 0 0 .0000 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 0 12 0 0 0 .2167 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot