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Mon Oct 16 3:15 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 4 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the college hockey tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your college team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Performance Probabilities
  Record NCAA Hockey
National Champions
Championship Game
Participate
Frozen Four Round 2 Round 1
Team W L T Pts
New HampshireNew Hamp. 4 0 0 8 10% 16% 26% 42% 68%
St. Cloud State 3 0 0 6 9% 15% 25% 41% 67%
WisconsinWiscon. 4 1 0 8 8% 13% 22% 37% 63%
Clarkson 3 0 1 7 8% 12% 20% 34% 56%
Air Force 3 0 1 7 5% 10% 17% 31% 53%
NortheasternN. Eastern 2 0 1 5 5% 9% 16% 29% 49%
Denver 1 0 1 3 4% 8% 15% 28% 49%
Minnesota StateMinn. State 2 1 0 4 4% 7% 13% 24% 44%
Army 2 0 0 4 3% 7% 13% 24% 43%
Northern MichiganN. Mich. 3 1 0 6 3% 6% 12% 23% 43%
Michigan TechMich. Tech 3 1 1 7 3% 6% 12% 22% 41%
Ohio State 1 1 2 4 3% 6% 11% 22% 44%
Colorado College 3 1 0 6 3% 5% 10% 20% 38%
North Dakota 3 0 1 7 2% 5% 10% 19% 37%
Bemidji State 1 0 1 3 2% 5% 10% 19% 37%
RensselaerRenss. 0 0 2 2 2% 4% 9% 18% 36%
MassachusettsMass. 3 1 0 6 2% 4% 7% 15% 30%
RIT 0 0 1 1 2% 3% 8% 16% 33%
Boston College 1 1 1 3 1% 3% 7% 15% 31%
Notre DameN.Dame 2 1 1 5 1% 3% 7% 14% 31%
MercyhurstMercy. 0 0 2 2 1% 3% 6% 13% 28%
Colgate 2 2 1 5 1% 3% 6% 13% 27%
Niagara 1 1 0 2 1% 2% 5% 12% 26%
Michigan 1 1 0 2 1% 2% 5% 11% 25%
Western Michigan 2 2 1 5 1% 2% 5% 11% 24%
Lake Superior 1 2 1 3 1% 2% 5% 11% 24%
Holy Cross 0 0 2 2 1% 2% 5% 11% 24%
ProvidenceProvid. 2 1 0 4 1% 2% 5% 11% 23%
Princeton 0 0 0 0 1% 2% 5% 11% 23%
Yale 0 0 0 0 1% 2% 5% 11% 23%
Penn State 2 2 0 4 1% 2% 5% 10% 24%
DartmouthDartm. 0 0 0 0 1% 2% 5% 10% 23%
Brown 0 0 0 0 1% 2% 5% 10% 22%
Sacred Heart 1 2 0 2 1% 2% 4% 11% 25%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr.-Omaha 1 1 0 2 1% 2% 4% 11% 24%
QuinnipiacQuinn. 1 1 1 3 1% 2% 4% 10% 23%
Vermont 2 2 0 4 1% 2% 4% 10% 22%
ConnecticutUConn 2 2 0 4 1% 2% 4% 10% 21%
Harvard 0 0 0 0 1% 2% 4% 9% 21%
Boston UniversityBoston U. 2 2 0 4 1% 2% 4% 9% 20%
Maine 1 1 0 2 1% 2% 4% 9% 20%
Cornell 0 0 0 0 1% 2% 4% 9% 20%
MinnesotaMinn. 2 2 0 4 <1% 1% 3% 8% 20%
Minnesota-DuluthMinn.-Duluth 1 2 1 3 <1% 1% 3% 8% 20%
Canisius 1 1 0 2 <1% 1% 3% 8% 20%
Michigan State 1 1 0 2 <1% 1% 3% 8% 18%
Bentley 0 0 1 1 <1% 1% 2% 6% 15%
Robert Morris 1 2 0 2 <1% 1% 2% 5% 14%
Mass.-Lowell 1 3 0 2 <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
Alaska 0 3 1 1 <1% 1% 2% 5% 13%
MerrimackMerri. 0 2 1 1 <1% 1% 2% 5% 12%
Bowling Green 1 2 0 2 <1% 1% 2% 4% 11%
Arizona St. 1 3 0 2 <1% <1% 2% 4% 10%
Ferris State 1 3 0 2 <1% <1% 1% 4% 10%
UAH 0 2 0 0 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Alaska-AnchorageAlaska-Anchor. 0 3 1 1 <1% <1% <1% 2% 5%
American Int'lAmer. Int'l 0 4 1 1 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Miami 0 2 0 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
St. LawrenceSt. Lawr. 0 4 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Union 0 5 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next tournament round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this tournament round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this tournament round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot