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Fri Jan 20 12:30 pm

NCAA Hockey - Week 17 of 24

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 14 and 15. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team Conference Conf RecordĀ  NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 Denver NCHC 15 5 4 34 22% 19% 15% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% 1%
2 Penn State Big 10 16 2 1 33 31% 17% 12% 9% 7% 6% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
3 Boston University East 14 5 2 30 12% 15% 14% 12% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% 3%
4 Minnesota-Duluth NCHC 13 5 4 30 19% 17% 13% 11% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% 3%
5 Mass.-Lowell East 15 5 3 33 4% 8% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 4% 3% 2% <1% <1% 6%
6 Minnesota Big 10 13 5 2 28 4% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 1% <1% 16%
7 North Dakota NCHC 13 7 3 29 3% 4% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 3% 1% <1% 19%
8 Union ECAC 17 5 2 36 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 1% <1% 11%
9 Western Michigan NCHC 11 6 3 25 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 3% 1% <1% 25%
10 Cornell ECAC 11 4 1 23 1% 2% 4% 4% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% <1% 31%
11 Vermont East 15 7 2 32 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 1% <1% 19%
12 Harvard ECAC 11 5 1 23 <1% 1% 2% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 2% <1% 37%
13 Ohio State Big 10 11 4 5 27 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% 27%
14 St. Lawrence ECAC 12 6 6 30 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 3% 1% 49%
Cutline - Click Here to View 24 Line Movers
15 Boston College East 14 9 2 30 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 3% 1% 52%
16 Nebraska-Omaha NCHC 13 8 3 29 <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 4% 2% <1% 65%
17 Notre Dame East 13 8 2 28 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 2% 1% 75%
18 Providence East 10 8 4 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 1% <1% 81%
19 Robert Morris Atlantic 13 6 3 29 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 6% 4% 62%
20 Bemidji State WCHA 15 8 3 33 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 12% 10% 61%
21 St. Cloud State NCHC 10 11 1 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% 87%
22 Air Force Atlantic 13 7 4 30 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 5% 63%
23 Quinnipiac ECAC 13 10 2 28 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 3% 1% 86%
24 Miami NCHC 8 9 5 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 89%
25 Michigan Tech WCHA 14 9 5 33 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 9% 73%
26 Wisconsin Big 10 10 7 1 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 84%
27 Clarkson ECAC 11 9 3 25 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 91%
28 Connecticut East 9 8 6 24 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 96%
29 Dartmouth ECAC 7 8 3 17 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 95%
30 Minnesota State WCHA 14 8 2 30 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 9% 8% 77%
31 New Hampshire East 11 8 3 25 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 96%
32 Yale ECAC 7 7 3 17 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 95%
33 Army Atlantic 12 8 3 27 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 8% 85%
34 Northeastern N. Eastern East 7 10 5 19 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
35 Canisius Atlantic 8 10 5 21 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 8% 88%
36 Michigan Big 10 8 11 1 17 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 95%
37 Colorado College NCHC 6 14 2 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
38 Bowling Green WCHA 12 13 2 26 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 90%
39 Merrimack East 8 11 3 19 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
40 Holy Cross Atlantic 9 9 4 22 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
41 Princeton ECAC 7 11 2 16 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
42 RIT Atlantic 10 12 1 21 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
43 Maine East 8 11 3 19 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
44 Bentley Atlantic 6 11 5 17 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 97%
45 Lake Superior WCHA 9 12 3 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
46 Sacred Heart Atlantic 8 13 3 19 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
47 Mercyhurst Atlantic 9 13 1 19 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
48 Arizona St. Independent Ind. 7 17 2 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
49 Colgate ECAC 4 12 5 13 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 Alaska WCHA 7 14 3 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 98%
51 Michigan State Big 10 4 15 1 9 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
52 Massachusetts Mass. East 5 16 2 12 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
53 Ferris State WCHA 7 14 4 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
54 American Int'l Atlantic 5 13 6 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
55 Alaska-Anchorage WCHA 5 14 5 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
56 UAH WCHA 7 15 2 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
57 Brown ECAC 3 13 1 7 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
58 Northern Michigan WCHA 5 17 4 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
59 Rensselaer ECAC 4 21 1 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
60 Niagara Atlantic 3 16 3 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot