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Tue Mar 25 4:15 pm

NCAA Hockey - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 14 and 15. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

Note that this list will not be updated after the individual conference tournaments

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf Record NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 Boston College EastEast 26 7 2 54 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 Michigan State Big 10Big 10 26 6 4 56 X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 Maine EastEast 24 7 6 54 X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 30 7 1 61 X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 25 10 4 54 X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 ConnecticutUConn EastEast 22 11 4 48 X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 Boston University EastEast 21 13 2 44 X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 Providence EastEast 21 10 5 47 X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 Denver NCHCNCHC 29 11 1 59 X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 Ohio State Big 10Big 10 24 13 2 50 X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 MassachusettsMass. EastEast 20 13 5 45 X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 Quinnipiac ECACECAC 24 11 2 50 X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 Penn State Big 10Big 10 20 13 4 44 X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^
14 Minnesota State CCHACCHA 27 8 3 57 X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^ ^
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15 Michigan Big 10Big 10 18 15 3 39 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
16 Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 21 14 2 44 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
17 Cornell ECACECAC 18 10 6 42 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^ ^
18 North Dakota NCHCNCHC 21 15 2 44 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
19 Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 16 16 4 36 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
20 Clarkson ECACECAC 24 12 3 51 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
21 New Hampshire EastEast 13 16 6 32 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
22 Bentley AtlanticAtlantic 23 14 2 48 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100% ^
23 Dartmouth ECACECAC 18 13 2 38 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
24 NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 14 20 3 31 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
25 Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 18 12 2 38 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
26 Holy Cross AtlanticAtlantic 24 14 2 50 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
27 Sacred Heart AtlanticAtlantic 21 13 5 47 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
28 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 13 21 3 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
29 Colgate ECACECAC 18 15 3 39 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
30 Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 18 17 1 37 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
31 St. Thomas CCHACCHA 19 14 5 43 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
32 Merrimack EastEast 13 21 1 27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
33 Colorado College NCHCNCHC 18 18 1 37 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
34 Vermont EastEast 11 21 3 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
35 Augustana CCHACCHA 18 13 4 40 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
36 St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 14 21 1 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
37 Union ECACECAC 19 14 3 41 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
38 Harvard ECACECAC 13 17 3 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
39 Bowling Green CCHACCHA 18 14 4 40 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
40 Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 12 14 6 30 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
41 Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 12 25 1 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
42 Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 13 20 3 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
43 Princeton ECACECAC 12 15 3 27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
44 Brown ECACECAC 14 15 3 31 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
45 Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 16 17 3 35 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
46 Bemidji State CCHACCHA 15 18 5 35 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
47 Army AtlanticAtlantic 16 20 2 34 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
48 Lake Superior CCHACCHA 12 22 2 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
49 Air Force AtlanticAtlantic 16 21 3 35 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
50 Rensselaer ECACECAC 12 21 2 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
51 Niagara AtlanticAtlantic 18 16 3 39 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
52 American Int'l AtlanticAtlantic 13 23 2 28 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
53 Ferris State CCHACCHA 13 20 3 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
54 Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 8 22 2 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
55 St. Lawrence ECACECAC 9 24 2 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
56 Canisius AtlanticAtlantic 12 23 2 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
57 Yale ECACECAC 6 21 3 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
58 Robert Morris AtlanticAtlantic 10 20 5 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
59 Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 6 23 5 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
60 RIT AtlanticAtlantic 10 23 2 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
61 Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 10 22 0 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
62 Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 5 27 2 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
63 Miami NCHCNCHC 3 28 3 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
64 Mercyhurst AtlanticAtlantic 4 27 4 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot