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NCAA Hockey - Regular Season Complete

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 13 and 14. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf Record NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 Boston College EastEast 26 6 2 54 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 Michigan State Big 10Big 10 24 6 4 52 X 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 Maine EastEast 21 7 6 48 X 1% 27% 15% 29% 25% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 Minnesota Big 10Big 10 25 10 4 54 X X 26% 53% 20% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 Western Michigan NCHCNCHC 26 7 1 53 X X 21% 13% 21% 18% 7% 9% 7% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 Boston University EastEast 20 12 2 42 X X 8% 7% 12% 29% 32% 10% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 ConnecticutUConn EastEast 20 10 4 44 X X 8% 5% 8% 9% 23% 32% 13% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 Providence EastEast 21 9 5 47 X X 9% 6% 7% 9% 23% 34% 11% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 Denver NCHCNCHC 26 9 1 53 X X X <1% 2% 7% 7% 5% 25% 21% 12% 12% 6% 1% <1% <1% 2%
10 Ohio State Big 10Big 10 23 12 2 48 X X X X X <1% 2% 8% 18% 23% 21% 20% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 MassachusettsMass. EastEast 19 12 5 43 X X X <1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 10% 24% 36% 18% 6% <1% <1% <1% 1%
12 Penn State Big 10Big 10 20 12 4 44 X X X X X X <1% 1% 13% 18% 17% 32% 15% 1% <1% <1% 3%
13 Quinnipiac ECACECAC 22 10 2 46 X X X X X X X <1% 1% 7% 11% 11% 19% <1% <1% <1% 50%
Cutline - Click Here to View 19 Line Movers
14 Michigan Big 10Big 10 18 15 3 39 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 19% 16% 3% <1% 62%
15 Minnesota State CCHACCHA 25 8 3 53 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 14% 31% 7% <1% 47%
16 Arizona St. NCHCNCHC 19 13 2 40 X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 2% 5% 4% 1% <1% <1% 86%
17 Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell EastEast 15 15 4 34 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 98%
18 New Hampshire EastEast 13 15 6 32 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
19 North Dakota NCHCNCHC 19 14 2 40 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 5% 1% <1% 90%
20 Clarkson ECACECAC 21 10 3 45 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 10% 9% <1% 79%
21 Sacred Heart AtlanticAtlantic 21 11 5 47 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 5% 15% 11% 68%
22 Cornell ECACECAC 14 10 6 34 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 5% 4% <1% 90%
23 Dartmouth ECACECAC 16 12 2 34 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 4% <1% 91%
24 Colgate ECACECAC 18 13 3 39 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 6% 6% <1% 86%
25 Holy Cross AtlanticAtlantic 22 13 2 46 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 5% 21% 17% 57%
26 Long Island NCAA IndependentsInd. 18 12 2 38 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
27 Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha NCHCNCHC 18 15 1 37 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 3% <1% 92%
28 NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 12 19 3 27 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
29 Bentley AtlanticAtlantic 20 14 2 42 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 8% 6% 83%
30 Wisconsin Big 10Big 10 13 21 3 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
31 Merrimack EastEast 13 20 1 27 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
32 Vermont EastEast 11 20 3 25 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
33 Union ECACECAC 19 12 3 41 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 5% 5% 89%
34 St. Cloud State NCHCNCHC 14 19 1 29 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 98%
35 St. Thomas CCHACCHA 18 13 5 41 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 20% 77%
36 Augustana CCHACCHA 18 13 4 40 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
37 Colorado College NCHCNCHC 17 16 1 35 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% 97%
38 Notre Dame Big 10Big 10 12 24 1 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
39 Harvard ECACECAC 12 15 3 27 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 2% 96%
40 Bowling Green CCHACCHA 18 13 4 40 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 13% 86%
41 Alaska NCAA IndependentsInd. 12 14 6 30 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
42 Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth NCHCNCHC 13 18 3 29 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
43 Brown ECACECAC 14 13 3 31 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 2% 96%
44 Princeton ECACECAC 12 15 3 27 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
45 Bemidji State CCHACCHA 15 17 5 35 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 10% 89%
46 Michigan Tech CCHACCHA 16 17 3 35 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
47 Army AtlanticAtlantic 16 18 2 34 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 8% 92%
48 Air Force AtlanticAtlantic 16 21 3 35 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
49 Niagara AtlanticAtlantic 18 16 3 39 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
50 Lake Superior CCHACCHA 12 22 2 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
51 Rensselaer ECACECAC 12 21 2 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
52 American Int'l AtlanticAtlantic 13 23 2 28 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
53 Ferris State CCHACCHA 13 20 3 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
54 Lindenwood NCAA IndependentsInd. 8 22 2 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
55 Canisius AtlanticAtlantic 12 23 2 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
56 Yale ECACECAC 6 21 3 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
57 Robert Morris AtlanticAtlantic 10 20 5 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
58 St. Lawrence ECACECAC 9 24 2 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
59 Anchorage NCAA IndependentsInd. 6 23 5 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
60 RIT AtlanticAtlantic 10 23 2 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
61 Stonehill NCAA IndependentsInd. 10 22 0 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
62 Northern Michigan CCHACCHA 5 27 2 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
63 Miami NCHCNCHC 3 28 3 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
64 Mercyhurst AtlanticAtlantic 4 27 4 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot