PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 19 6:45 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 22 of 24

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 14 and 15. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team Conference Conf RecordĀ  NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 Denver NCHC 22 6 4 48 54% 37% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2 Minnesota-Duluth Minn.-Duluth NCHC 19 5 6 44 44% 41% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
3 Harvard ECAC 20 5 2 42 1% 12% 40% 26% 12% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
4 Minnesota Minn. Big 10 20 8 2 42 1% 6% 30% 32% 16% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
5 Western Michigan NCHC 18 8 4 40 <1% 4% 10% 18% 22% 14% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% 2%
6 Boston University Boston U. East 20 9 3 43 <1% <1% 3% 10% 19% 19% 14% 10% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% 3%
7 Mass.-Lowell East 20 9 3 43 <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 12% 12% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1% 8%
8 Union ECAC 22 8 2 46 X <1% <1% 2% 7% 13% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% 6%
9 Cornell ECAC 17 6 4 38 <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 11% 11% 9% 9% 9% 8% 6% 4% 1% <1% 15%
10 Penn State Big 10 18 8 2 38 X <1% <1% 1% 5% 8% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 2% <1% 23%
11 Air Force Atlantic 21 8 5 47 X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 11% 12% 12% 11% 7% 1% <1% 29%
12 Providence Provid. East 18 9 5 41 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 9% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 7% 2% <1% 21%
13 Ohio State Big 10 16 8 6 38 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 2% <1% 46%
14 North Dakota NCHC 15 13 3 33 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 6% 6% 6% 5% 2% <1% 59%
Cutline - Click Here to View 35 Line Movers
15 Boston College East 18 12 4 40 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 3% <1% 55%
16 Notre Dame East 18 9 5 41 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 2% <1% 64%
17 Vermont East 17 10 5 39 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 6% 2% <1% 57%
18 St. Cloud State NCHC 15 14 1 31 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 5% 2% <1% 73%
19 Nebraska-Omaha Nebr.-Omaha NCHC 15 12 5 35 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 2% <1% 81%
20 Wisconsin Wiscon. Big 10 17 10 1 35 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 3% <1% 63%
21 Northeastern N. Eastern East 15 12 5 35 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% <1% 94%
22 St. Lawrence St. Lawr. ECAC 15 10 7 37 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 3% <1% 89%
23 Quinnipiac Quinn. ECAC 17 13 2 36 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 2% <1% 94%
24 Bemidji State WCHA 19 12 3 41 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 16% 17% 65%
25 Canisius Atlantic 18 10 7 43 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 5% 80%
26 Minnesota State Minn. State WCHA 18 10 4 40 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 13% 74%
27 Clarkson ECAC 14 13 5 33 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% 96%
28 Michigan Tech Mich. Tech WCHA 17 12 7 41 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 14% 77%
29 Robert Morris Atlantic 17 11 4 38 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 6% 9% 84%
30 Merrimack Merri. East 13 13 6 32 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% <1% 98%
31 Army Atlantic 16 11 4 36 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 6% 8% 86%
32 Miami NCHC 9 15 6 24 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
33 Yale ECAC 11 11 5 27 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 98%
34 Princeton ECAC 11 13 3 25 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 99%
35 New Hampshire New Hamp. East 12 15 5 29 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
36 Connecticut Connect. East 10 14 8 28 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
37 Colorado College NCHC 7 20 3 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
38 Dartmouth Dartm. ECAC 10 14 3 23 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
39 Bentley Atlantic 11 15 6 28 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 96%
40 Bowling Green WCHA 15 17 2 32 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
41 Holy Cross Atlantic 13 13 6 32 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 96%
42 Michigan Big 10 9 16 3 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
43 Arizona St. Independent Ind. 8 19 3 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
44 Sacred Heart Atlantic 11 16 5 27 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
45 Mercyhurst Mercy. Atlantic 12 16 4 28 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 97%
46 Maine East 10 18 4 24 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
47 Colgate ECAC 8 18 6 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
48 Ferris State WCHA 12 17 4 28 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 97%
49 Lake Superior WCHA 11 15 6 28 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
50 RIT Atlantic 12 20 1 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
51 Michigan State Big 10 6 19 3 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
52 Northern Michigan N. Mich. WCHA 11 19 4 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
53 Alaska WCHA 10 18 4 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
54 Alaska-Anchorage Alaska-Anchor. WCHA 7 19 6 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
55 American Int'l Amer. Int'l Atlantic 7 18 7 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
56 UAH WCHA 9 20 3 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
57 Rensselaer Renss. ECAC 7 25 1 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
58 Massachusetts Mass. East 5 25 2 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
59 Brown ECAC 4 21 2 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
60 Niagara Atlantic 3 26 3 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot