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Sun Feb 17 3:15 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 21 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 14 and 15. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf Record NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 St. Cloud State NCHC NCHC 21 4 3 45 67% 19% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2 MassachusettsMass. EastEast 23 6 0 46 24% 50% 15% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
3 Minnesota-DuluthMinn.-Duluth NCHC NCHC 18 8 2 38 6% 11% 19% 16% 14% 12% 8% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
4 Denver NCHC NCHC 16 7 4 36 2% 6% 14% 15% 14% 13% 11% 8% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% 1%
5 Minnesota StateMinn. State WCHA WCHA 24 6 2 50 1% 9% 22% 20% 16% 13% 9% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
6 QuinnipiacQuinn. ECAC ECAC 22 6 2 46 <1% 4% 15% 19% 19% 16% 11% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
7 Ohio State Big 10 Big 10 19 7 4 42 <1% 1% 8% 16% 21% 21% 16% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
8 Arizona St. NCAA IndependentsInd. 21 10 1 43 X <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 16% 22% 21% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
9 Western Michigan NCHC NCHC 17 10 1 35 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 6% 3% <1% 30%
10 Cornell ECAC ECAC 15 7 3 33 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 7% 10% 9% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 3% <1% 22%
11 NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 19 9 1 39 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 7% 4% <1% 27%
12 ProvidenceProvid. EastEast 18 9 5 41 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 10% 8% 5% <1% 32%
13 Clarkson ECAC ECAC 20 10 0 40 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 4% <1% 40%
14 Mass.-Lowell EastEast 17 10 2 36 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 8% 8% 8% 5% <1% 51%
Cutline - Click Here to View 33 Line Movers
15 Harvard ECAC ECAC 14 8 3 31 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 4% <1% 55%
16 Bowling Green WCHA WCHA 19 8 4 42 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 7% 8% 8% 5% <1% 52%
17 Notre DameN.Dame Big 10 Big 10 16 11 3 35 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 6% <1% 66%
18 Penn State Big 10 Big 10 17 11 2 36 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 5% <1% 69%
19 Lake Superior WCHA WCHA 20 8 2 42 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 5% <1% 58%
20 Union ECAC ECAC 15 9 6 36 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 3% <1% 75%
21 North Dakota NCHC NCHC 14 13 2 30 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% <1% 83%
22 MinnesotaMinn. Big 10 Big 10 13 14 4 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% <1% 92%
23 Yale ECAC ECAC 13 9 3 29 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 4% <1% 87%
24 Michigan Big 10 Big 10 12 12 6 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% <1% 93%
25 New HampshireNew Hamp. EastEast 11 10 8 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% <1% 97%
26 Colorado College NCHC NCHC 11 14 4 26 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 98%
27 Maine EastEast 12 14 4 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% <1% 97%
28 Northern MichiganN. Mich. WCHA WCHA 15 14 2 32 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 4% <1% 95%
29 Brown ECAC ECAC 10 10 5 25 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% <1% 97%
30 Boston UniversityBoston U. EastEast 11 15 3 25 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% 97%
31 Michigan State Big 10 Big 10 11 16 5 27 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% 97%
32 Bemidji State WCHA WCHA 15 12 5 35 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% <1% 96%
33 WisconsinWiscon. Big 10 Big 10 10 15 5 25 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% <1% 97%
34 RIT Atlantic Atlantic 14 13 3 31 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 16% 83%
35 American Int'lAmer. Int'l Atlantic Atlantic 17 14 1 35 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 23% 75%
36 Vermont EastEast 12 16 2 26 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
37 Boston College EastEast 10 16 3 23 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 98%
38 DartmouthDartm. ECAC ECAC 9 12 4 22 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 98%
39 Miami NCHC NCHC 10 16 4 24 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 99%
40 Nebraska-OmahaNebr.-Omaha NCHC NCHC 9 17 2 20 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 99%
41 Bentley Atlantic Atlantic 15 12 3 33 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 18% 82%
42 Air Force Atlantic Atlantic 14 12 4 32 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 14% 85%
43 Michigan TechMich. Tech WCHA WCHA 12 16 4 28 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 99%
44 Sacred Heart Atlantic Atlantic 13 14 3 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 9% 91%
45 RensselaerRenss. ECAC ECAC 9 18 3 21 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
46 MercyhurstMercy. Atlantic Atlantic 13 15 4 30 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 8% 92%
47 Colgate ECAC ECAC 8 19 3 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
48 ConnecticutUConn EastEast 10 18 2 22 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
49 Princeton ECAC ECAC 7 16 2 16 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 Alaska WCHA WCHA 9 18 3 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
51 Niagara Atlantic Atlantic 11 17 3 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 97%
52 MerrimackMerri. EastEast 7 21 2 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
53 Army Atlantic Atlantic 9 16 5 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 98%
54 Canisius Atlantic Atlantic 10 18 3 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
55 Ferris State WCHA WCHA 8 21 3 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
56 Robert Morris Atlantic Atlantic 10 19 1 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
57 Holy Cross Atlantic Atlantic 8 18 4 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
58 UAH WCHA WCHA 6 24 2 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
59 St. LawrenceSt. Lawr. ECAC ECAC 4 24 2 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
60 Alaska-AnchorageAlaska-Anchor. WCHA WCHA 3 24 3 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot