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NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 15 and 16. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team Conference Conf Record  NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 Minnesota-Duluth Minn.-Duluth NCHC 25 6 7 57 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2 Denver NCHC 28 7 4 60 X >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
3 Harvard ECAC 26 5 2 54 X X >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
4 Western Michigan NCHC 22 11 5 49 X X X >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
5 Mass.-Lowell East 26 10 3 55 X X X X >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
6 Minnesota Minn. Big 10 23 11 3 49 X X X X X >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
7 Boston University Boston U. East 23 11 3 49 X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
8 Union ECAC 25 9 3 53 X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
9 Penn State Big 10 24 11 2 50 X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
10 North Dakota NCHC 21 15 3 45 X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 Cornell ECAC 21 8 5 47 X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 Air Force Atlantic 26 9 5 57 X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 Providence Provid. East 22 11 5 49 X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 Notre Dame East 21 11 5 47 X X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1% <1%
15 Ohio State Big 10 21 11 6 48 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1% <1%
Cutline - Click Here to View 0 Line Movers
16 Boston College East 21 15 4 46 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
17 Vermont East 20 13 5 45 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
18 Wisconsin Wiscon. Big 10 20 15 1 41 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
19 Nebraska-Omaha Nebr.-Omaha NCHC 17 17 5 39 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
20 Quinnipiac Quinn. ECAC 23 15 2 48 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
21 Northeastern N. Eastern East 18 15 5 41 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
22 St. Cloud State NCHC 16 19 1 33 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
23 St. Lawrence St. Lawr. ECAC 17 13 7 41 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
24 Michigan Tech Mich. Tech WCHA 23 14 7 53 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X >99% <1%
25 Canisius Atlantic 21 11 7 49 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
26 Minnesota State Minn. State WCHA 22 13 4 48 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
27 Robert Morris Atlantic 22 12 4 48 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
28 Bemidji State WCHA 22 16 3 47 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
29 Clarkson ECAC 18 16 5 41 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
30 Merrimack Merri. East 15 16 6 36 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
31 Yale ECAC 13 15 5 31 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
32 Princeton ECAC 15 16 3 33 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
33 Army Atlantic 18 14 5 41 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
34 Miami NCHC 9 20 7 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
35 New Hampshire New Hamp. East 15 20 5 35 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
36 Bowling Green WCHA 21 18 2 44 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
37 Michigan Big 10 13 19 3 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
38 Connecticut Connect. East 12 16 8 32 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
39 Colorado College NCHC 8 24 4 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
40 Holy Cross Atlantic 14 15 7 35 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
41 Bentley Atlantic 13 19 7 33 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
42 Sacred Heart Atlantic 13 19 5 31 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
43 Dartmouth Dartm. ECAC 10 18 3 23 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
44 Arizona St. Independent Ind. 8 19 3 19 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
45 Maine East 11 21 4 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
46 Mercyhurst Mercy. Atlantic 15 20 4 34 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
47 Northern Michigan N. Mich. WCHA 13 22 4 30 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
48 Ferris State WCHA 13 19 5 31 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
49 Michigan State Big 10 7 24 4 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
50 RIT Atlantic 14 22 1 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
51 Colgate ECAC 9 22 6 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
52 Alaska WCHA 12 20 4 28 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
53 Lake Superior WCHA 11 18 7 29 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
54 American Int'l Amer. Int'l Atlantic 8 20 8 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
55 Rensselaer Renss. ECAC 8 28 1 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
56 UAH WCHA 9 22 3 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
57 Alaska-Anchorage Alaska-Anchor. WCHA 7 21 6 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
58 Massachusetts Mass. East 5 29 2 12 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
59 Brown ECAC 4 25 2 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
60 Niagara Atlantic 5 31 3 13 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot