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Sun Dec 9 5:15 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 11 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 15 and 16. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf Record NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 MassachusettsMass. EastEast 13 2 0 26 28% 24% 15% 10% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2 St. Cloud State NCHC NCHC 13 1 2 28 43% 21% 11% 8% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
3 Minnesota StateMinn. State WCHA WCHA 14 2 0 28 9% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 4%
4 Minnesota-DuluthMinn.-Duluth NCHC NCHC 10 4 2 22 6% 8% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% <1% 9%
5 QuinnipiacQuinn. ECAC ECAC 14 3 0 28 6% 13% 16% 14% 12% 9% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% 2%
6 Notre DameN.Dame Big 10 Big 10 11 5 1 23 1% 3% 6% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% <1% 15%
7 Ohio State Big 10 Big 10 9 4 3 21 2% 7% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% 7%
8 Denver NCHC NCHC 8 4 2 18 2% 4% 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 2% <1% 23%
9 Arizona St. NCAA IndependentsInd. 12 6 0 24 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3% <1% 32%
10 Penn State Big 10 Big 10 11 5 1 23 <1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 3% <1% 27%
11 ProvidenceProvid. EastEast 9 4 3 21 <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 1% 40%
12 Bowling Green WCHA WCHA 11 3 3 25 <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% <1% 34%
13 Union ECAC ECAC 8 4 3 19 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 3% <1% 49%
14 NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 10 3 1 21 <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 3% 1% 31%
15 Western Michigan NCHC NCHC 9 6 1 19 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% <1% 57%
Cutline - Click Here to View 34 Line Movers
16 North Dakota NCHC NCHC 9 7 1 19 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 3% <1% 58%
17 Yale ECAC ECAC 7 2 2 16 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 3% 1% 39%
18 Miami NCHC NCHC 9 6 3 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% <1% 75%
19 WisconsinWiscon. Big 10 Big 10 8 7 3 19 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 1% 78%
20 Michigan TechMich. Tech WCHA WCHA 9 6 1 19 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 1% 80%
21 MinnesotaMinn. Big 10 Big 10 5 6 4 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 84%
22 Lake Superior WCHA WCHA 9 6 1 19 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 84%
23 Cornell ECAC ECAC 6 5 0 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 1% 81%
24 Clarkson ECAC ECAC 9 6 0 18 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 83%
25 Colorado College NCHC NCHC 7 7 2 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 94%
26 Bemidji State WCHA WCHA 7 7 2 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 92%
27 Harvard ECAC ECAC 5 4 2 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 1% 81%
28 Mass.-Lowell EastEast 8 7 1 17 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 92%
29 Michigan Big 10 Big 10 6 7 4 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% <1% 93%
30 Air Force Atlantic Atlantic 9 7 0 18 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 13% 77%
31 Boston College EastEast 6 6 2 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 94%
32 Michigan State Big 10 Big 10 6 9 1 13 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 96%
33 Maine EastEast 5 7 2 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 97%
34 Niagara Atlantic Atlantic 8 9 1 17 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 11% 86%
35 American Int'lAmer. Int'l Atlantic Atlantic 7 7 1 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 11% 83%
36 New HampshireNew Hamp. EastEast 4 7 5 13 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 97%
37 Northern MichiganN. Mich. WCHA WCHA 7 10 0 14 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 1% 95%
38 MercyhurstMercy. Atlantic Atlantic 8 8 2 18 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 88%
39 Boston UniversityBoston U. EastEast 5 8 2 12 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 97%
40 DartmouthDartm. ECAC ECAC 4 5 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 96%
41 Nebraska-OmahaNebr.-Omaha NCHC NCHC 4 10 2 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 98%
42 Army Atlantic Atlantic 8 8 1 17 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
43 Colgate ECAC ECAC 4 9 2 10 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
44 Princeton ECAC ECAC 3 8 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 97%
45 Robert Morris Atlantic Atlantic 7 8 1 15 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 90%
46 Vermont EastEast 5 8 1 11 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
47 RIT Atlantic Atlantic 6 8 1 13 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
48 RensselaerRenss. ECAC ECAC 4 11 0 8 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
49 Sacred Heart Atlantic Atlantic 5 8 2 12 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
50 Canisius Atlantic Atlantic 6 8 1 13 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
51 ConnecticutUConn EastEast 5 11 1 11 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
52 Alaska WCHA WCHA 4 12 2 10 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
53 MerrimackMerri. EastEast 4 12 1 9 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
54 Brown ECAC ECAC 2 6 3 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
55 Bentley Atlantic Atlantic 5 10 1 11 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
56 Ferris State WCHA WCHA 4 11 1 9 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
57 St. LawrenceSt. Lawr. ECAC ECAC 3 12 1 7 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
58 Holy Cross Atlantic Atlantic 2 11 2 6 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
59 UAH WCHA WCHA 2 14 0 4 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
60 Alaska-AnchorageAlaska-Anchor. WCHA WCHA 1 12 1 3 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot