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Sun Oct 14 3:15 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 2 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 15 and 16. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf Record NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 Robert Morris Atlantic Atlantic 1 0 0 2 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 46%
2 Union ECAC ECAC 2 0 1 5 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 57%
3 Denver NCHC NCHC 2 0 0 4 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 54%
4 Colorado College NCHC NCHC 3 1 0 6 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 60%
5 Notre DameN.Dame Big 10 Big 10 1 0 1 3 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 59%
6 Bowling Green WCHA WCHA 2 1 0 4 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 58%
7 Minnesota-DuluthMinn.-Duluth NCHC NCHC 2 1 1 5 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 65%
8 Miami NCHC NCHC 3 1 0 6 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 65%
9 ConnecticutUConn EastEast 1 0 0 2 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 55%
10 Vermont EastEast 1 1 0 2 <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 77%
11 Arizona St. NCAA IndependentsInd. 2 2 0 4 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 82%
12 QuinnipiacQuinn. ECAC ECAC 1 0 0 2 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 52%
13 Ohio State Big 10 Big 10 2 0 0 4 11% 7% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 43%
14 ProvidenceProvid. EastEast 2 1 0 4 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 59%
15 MinnesotaMinn. Big 10 Big 10 1 0 1 3 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 54%
Cutline - Click Here to View 45 Line Movers
16 Nebraska-OmahaNebr.-Omaha NCHC NCHC 0 1 1 1 <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 78%
17 MercyhurstMercy. Atlantic Atlantic 0 2 1 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 92%
18 Lake Superior WCHA WCHA 2 0 0 4 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 48%
19 Western Michigan NCHC NCHC 2 1 0 4 <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 71%
20 Alaska-AnchorageAlaska-Anchor. WCHA WCHA 1 1 0 2 <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 72%
21 Army Atlantic Atlantic 1 2 0 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 84%
22 MerrimackMerri. EastEast 1 3 0 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 95%
23 Colgate ECAC ECAC 2 0 0 4 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 55%
24 Maine EastEast 2 0 0 4 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 56%
25 MassachusettsMass. EastEast 2 0 0 4 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 54%
26 Minnesota StateMinn. State WCHA WCHA 2 0 0 4 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 55%
27 NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 2 0 0 4 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 51%
28 Penn State Big 10 Big 10 2 0 0 4 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 55%
29 St. Cloud State NCHC NCHC 2 0 0 4 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 57%
30 WisconsinWiscon. Big 10 Big 10 2 0 0 4 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 54%
31 American Int'lAmer. Int'l Atlantic Atlantic 1 2 0 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 82%
32 Bemidji State WCHA WCHA 1 0 1 3 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 65%
33 UAH WCHA WCHA 0 4 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
34 Niagara Atlantic Atlantic 1 1 0 2 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 80%
35 Air Force Atlantic Atlantic 0 2 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 94%
36 Canisius Atlantic Atlantic 1 1 0 2 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 70%
37 Northern MichiganN. Mich. WCHA WCHA 1 1 0 2 <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 75%
38 RIT Atlantic Atlantic 1 1 0 2 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 71%
39 Holy Cross Atlantic Atlantic 1 1 0 2 <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 76%
40 Mass.-Lowell EastEast 1 1 0 2 <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 78%
41 Michigan State Big 10 Big 10 1 1 0 2 <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 78%
42 Ferris State WCHA WCHA 0 2 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
43 North Dakota NCHC NCHC 0 1 1 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 85%
44 Michigan TechMich. Tech WCHA WCHA 0 2 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
45 Alaska WCHA WCHA 0 4 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
46 Bentley Atlantic Atlantic 0 1 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
47 Boston College EastEast 0 2 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 93%
48 Boston UniversityBoston U. EastEast 0 2 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 94%
49 Brown ECAC ECAC 0 0 0 0 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 75%
50 Clarkson ECAC ECAC 0 2 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 93%
51 Cornell ECAC ECAC 0 0 0 0 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 74%
52 DartmouthDartm. ECAC ECAC 0 0 0 0 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 75%
53 Harvard ECAC ECAC 0 0 0 0 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 75%
54 Michigan Big 10 Big 10 0 1 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 94%
55 New HampshireNew Hamp. EastEast 0 2 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 93%
56 Princeton ECAC ECAC 0 0 0 0 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 75%
57 RensselaerRenss. ECAC ECAC 0 2 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 94%
58 Sacred Heart Atlantic Atlantic 0 2 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 93%
59 St. LawrenceSt. Lawr. ECAC ECAC 0 2 0 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 92%
60 Yale ECAC ECAC 0 0 0 0 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 74%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot