Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Note the cutline between ranked teams 15 and 16. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | Record | NCAA Tournament Seedings | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | NT | |||
| 1 | MassachusettsMass. | EastEast | 13 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 28% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 2 | St. Cloud State | NCHC NCHC | 13 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 43% | 21% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 | Minnesota StateMinn. State | WCHA WCHA | 14 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 9% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 4% |
| 4 | Minnesota-DuluthMinn.-Duluth | NCHC NCHC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | 9% |
| 5 | QuinnipiacQuinn. | ECAC ECAC | 14 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 6% | 13% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% |
| 6 | Notre DameN.Dame | Big 10 Big 10 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | 15% |
| 7 | Ohio State | Big 10 Big 10 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 2% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 7% |
| 8 | Denver | NCHC NCHC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | <1% | 23% |
| 9 | Arizona St. | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 12 | 6 | 0 | 24 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% | 32% |
| 10 | Penn State | Big 10 Big 10 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | <1% | 27% |
| 11 | ProvidenceProvid. | EastEast | 9 | 4 | 3 | 21 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 40% |
| 12 | Bowling Green | WCHA WCHA | 11 | 3 | 3 | 25 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | <1% | 34% |
| 13 | Union | ECAC ECAC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | <1% | 49% |
| 14 | NortheasternN. Eastern | EastEast | 10 | 3 | 1 | 21 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 31% |
| 15 | Western Michigan | NCHC NCHC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | <1% | 57% |
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| 16 | North Dakota | NCHC NCHC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 19 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | <1% | 58% |
| 17 | Yale | ECAC ECAC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 39% |
| 18 | Miami | NCHC NCHC | 9 | 6 | 3 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | <1% | 75% |
| 19 | WisconsinWiscon. | Big 10 Big 10 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 19 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 78% |
| 20 | Michigan TechMich. Tech | WCHA WCHA | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 80% |
| 21 | MinnesotaMinn. | Big 10 Big 10 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 84% |
| 22 | Lake Superior | WCHA WCHA | 9 | 6 | 1 | 19 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 84% |
| 23 | Cornell | ECAC ECAC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 81% |
| 24 | Clarkson | ECAC ECAC | 9 | 6 | 0 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 83% |
| 25 | Colorado College | NCHC NCHC | 7 | 7 | 2 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 94% |
| 26 | Bemidji State | WCHA WCHA | 7 | 7 | 2 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 92% |
| 27 | Harvard | ECAC ECAC | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 81% |
| 28 | Mass.-Lowell | EastEast | 8 | 7 | 1 | 17 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 92% |
| 29 | Michigan | Big 10 Big 10 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 93% |
| 30 | Air Force | Atlantic Atlantic | 9 | 7 | 0 | 18 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 13% | 77% |
| 31 | Boston College | EastEast | 6 | 6 | 2 | 14 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 94% |
| 32 | Michigan State | Big 10 Big 10 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 96% |
| 33 | Maine | EastEast | 5 | 7 | 2 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 97% |
| 34 | Niagara | Atlantic Atlantic | 8 | 9 | 1 | 17 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 11% | 86% |
| 35 | American Int'lAmer. Int'l | Atlantic Atlantic | 7 | 7 | 1 | 15 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 11% | 83% |
| 36 | New HampshireNew Hamp. | EastEast | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 97% |
| 37 | Northern MichiganN. Mich. | WCHA WCHA | 7 | 10 | 0 | 14 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 95% |
| 38 | MercyhurstMercy. | Atlantic Atlantic | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 88% |
| 39 | Boston UniversityBoston U. | EastEast | 5 | 8 | 2 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 97% |
| 40 | DartmouthDartm. | ECAC ECAC | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 96% |
| 41 | Nebraska-OmahaNebr.-Omaha | NCHC NCHC | 4 | 10 | 2 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 98% |
| 42 | Army | Atlantic Atlantic | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 90% |
| 43 | Colgate | ECAC ECAC | 4 | 9 | 2 | 10 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| 44 | Princeton | ECAC ECAC | 3 | 8 | 1 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 97% |
| 45 | Robert Morris | Atlantic Atlantic | 7 | 8 | 1 | 15 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 90% |
| 46 | Vermont | EastEast | 5 | 8 | 1 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| 47 | RIT | Atlantic Atlantic | 6 | 8 | 1 | 13 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
| 48 | RensselaerRenss. | ECAC ECAC | 4 | 11 | 0 | 8 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| 49 | Sacred Heart | Atlantic Atlantic | 5 | 8 | 2 | 12 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 95% |
| 50 | Canisius | Atlantic Atlantic | 6 | 8 | 1 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 95% |
| 51 | ConnecticutUConn | EastEast | 5 | 11 | 1 | 11 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 52 | Alaska | WCHA WCHA | 4 | 12 | 2 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 53 | MerrimackMerri. | EastEast | 4 | 12 | 1 | 9 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 54 | Brown | ECAC ECAC | 2 | 6 | 3 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 55 | Bentley | Atlantic Atlantic | 5 | 10 | 1 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| 56 | Ferris State | WCHA WCHA | 4 | 11 | 1 | 9 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 57 | St. LawrenceSt. Lawr. | ECAC ECAC | 3 | 12 | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 58 | Holy Cross | Atlantic Atlantic | 2 | 11 | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 59 | UAH | WCHA WCHA | 2 | 14 | 0 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 60 | Alaska-AnchorageAlaska-Anchor. | WCHA WCHA | 1 | 12 | 1 | 3 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |