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Mon Feb 19 3:15 am

NCAA Hockey - Week 22 of 23

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities

Where will your team be seeded in the NCAA Tournament? The NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities table present the probability that a team obtains different seedings. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Note the cutline between ranked teams 14 and 15. Teams above this line should receive a NCAA Tournament invitaiton based upon thier rank. Teams below this line will receive a tournament invitation ONLY if they obtain an automatic bid by winning their conference tournament.

NCAA Hockey Tournament Seedings Probabilities
Rank Team ConferenceConf Record NCAA Tournament Seedings
W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 NT
1 St. Cloud State NCHC NCHC 20 6 4 44 68% 15% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2 Notre DameN.Dame Big 10 Big 10 22 8 2 46 7% 30% 31% 21% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
3 Cornell ECAC ECAC 22 3 2 46 14% 34% 24% 17% 9% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
4 Minnesota StateMinn. State WCHA WCHA 25 7 0 50 2% 12% 20% 28% 22% 12% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
5 Denver NCHC NCHC 17 7 6 40 10% 9% 13% 16% 22% 20% 6% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
6 Ohio State Big 10 Big 10 19 8 5 43 <1% 1% 4% 12% 27% 37% 11% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
7 Clarkson ECAC ECAC 19 8 5 43 X <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 22% 16% 15% 12% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% 3%
8 MinnesotaMinn. Big 10 Big 10 19 13 2 40 X <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 16% 27% 20% 12% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
9 ProvidenceProvid. EastEast 20 9 4 44 X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 13% 15% 15% 13% 10% 7% 4% 1% <1% 6%
10 Minnesota-DuluthMinn.-Duluth NCHC NCHC 16 13 3 35 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 10% 9% 10% 10% 10% 8% 6% 3% <1% 22%
11 Michigan Big 10 Big 10 16 13 3 35 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 6% 9% 12% 12% 12% 11% 8% 3% <1% 21%
12 NortheasternN. Eastern EastEast 19 8 5 43 X X X <1% <1% 1% 6% 7% 9% 11% 12% 12% 10% 7% 3% <1% 22%
13 North Dakota NCHC NCHC 14 10 8 36 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 8% 4% <1% 32%
14 Nebraska-OmahaNebr.-Omaha NCHC NCHC 15 14 1 31 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 7% 4% <1% 46%
Cutline - Click Here to View 33 Line Movers
15 Western Michigan NCHC NCHC 14 14 2 30 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 3% <1% 70%
16 Northern MichiganN. Mich. WCHA WCHA 20 11 3 43 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 7% 5% <1% 66%
17 Penn State Big 10 Big 10 14 13 5 33 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 4% <1% 74%
18 Bowling Green WCHA WCHA 19 9 6 44 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 7% 5% <1% 69%
19 Boston UniversityBoston U. EastEast 16 13 3 35 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% <1% 82%
20 Union ECAC ECAC 20 13 1 41 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 6% <1% 83%
21 Boston College EastEast 16 13 3 35 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 9% <1% 78%
22 Harvard ECAC ECAC 13 10 4 30 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 4% <1% 86%
23 Colorado College NCHC NCHC 13 13 4 30 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% <1% 92%
24 WisconsinWiscon. Big 10 Big 10 14 15 4 32 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% <1% 91%
25 Maine EastEast 16 12 4 36 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% <1% 93%
26 MercyhurstMercy. Atlantic Atlantic 17 11 4 38 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 77%
27 Bemidji State WCHA WCHA 16 11 7 39 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% <1% 94%
28 ConnecticutUConn EastEast 15 16 2 32 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 1% 95%
29 Miami NCHC NCHC 10 17 3 23 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 99%
30 Yale ECAC ECAC 14 12 1 29 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% <1% 97%
31 Mass.-Lowell EastEast 16 16 0 32 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% <1% 96%
32 Air Force Atlantic Atlantic 17 13 4 38 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 15% 83%
33 DartmouthDartm. ECAC ECAC 12 13 2 26 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% 98%
34 Princeton ECAC ECAC 12 12 3 27 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 98%
35 Michigan TechMich. Tech WCHA WCHA 16 14 5 37 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 1% 97%
36 QuinnipiacQuinn. ECAC ECAC 13 15 4 30 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 99%
37 Colgate ECAC ECAC 13 14 5 31 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 98%
38 Michigan State Big 10 Big 10 11 19 2 24 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 99%
39 MassachusettsMass. EastEast 13 17 2 28 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
40 Canisius Atlantic Atlantic 15 15 2 32 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 15% 85%
41 Army Atlantic Atlantic 12 13 6 30 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 8% 92%
42 RIT Atlantic Atlantic 14 16 2 30 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 9% 91%
43 Bentley Atlantic Atlantic 12 15 6 30 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 96%
44 MerrimackMerri. EastEast 9 18 4 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
45 Holy Cross Atlantic Atlantic 12 14 7 31 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 8% 92%
46 Robert Morris Atlantic Atlantic 13 17 2 28 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 7% 93%
47 Vermont EastEast 9 17 6 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 99%
48 New HampshireNew Hamp. EastEast 10 16 6 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
49 Sacred Heart Atlantic Atlantic 11 17 4 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 97%
50 American Int'lAmer. Int'l Atlantic Atlantic 11 17 4 26 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 97%
51 Ferris State WCHA WCHA 12 21 1 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
52 Niagara Atlantic Atlantic 11 18 3 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 3% 97%
53 Alaska WCHA WCHA 11 18 3 25 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
54 UAH WCHA WCHA 10 20 2 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
55 Arizona St. NCAA IndependentsInd. 8 19 5 21 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
56 Lake Superior WCHA WCHA 10 20 4 24 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
57 Brown ECAC ECAC 6 17 4 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
58 RensselaerRenss. ECAC ECAC 5 23 4 14 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
59 St. LawrenceSt. Lawr. ECAC ECAC 7 23 2 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
60 Alaska-AnchorageAlaska-Anchor. WCHA WCHA 2 26 4 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot