Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot.  All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.  Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Broncos | West | 12i Broncos Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Chiefs 22-19 Won Sun, Nov 30 @ Commanders 27-26 Won Sun, Dec 07 @ Raiders 24-17 Won Sun, Dec 14 vs Packers 34-26 Sun, Dec 21 vs Jaguars Thu, Dec 25 @ Chiefs Sun, Jan 04 vs Chargers |
2 | 0 | 14 | 78% | 9% | 4% | X | 5% | 4% | <1% | ^ |
| Patriots | East | 11 Patriots Recent Games Won Thu, Nov 13 vs Jets 27-14 Won Sun, Nov 23 @ Bengals 26-20 Won Mon, Dec 01 vs Giants 33-15 Lost Sun, Dec 14 vs Bills 31-35 Sun, Dec 21 @ Ravens Sun, Dec 28 @ Jets Sun, Jan 04 vs Dolphins |
3 | 0 | 14 | 11% | 56% | 7% | <1% | 13% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| Jaguars | South | 10 Jaguars Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 23 @ Cards 27-24 Won Sun, Nov 30 @ Titans 25-3 Won Sun, Dec 07 vs Colts 36-19 Won Sun, Dec 14 vs Jets 48-20 Sun, Dec 21 @ Broncos Sun, Dec 28 @ Colts Sun, Jan 04 vs Titans |
4 | 0 | 14 | 6% | 11% | 35% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 16% | 2% |
| Steelers | North | 7 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Bengals 34-12 Lost Sun, Nov 23 @ Bears 28-31 Lost Sun, Nov 30 vs Bills 7-26 Won Sun, Dec 07 @ Ravens 27-22 Mon, Dec 15 vs Dolphins Sun, Dec 21 @ Lions Sun, Dec 28 @ Browns Sun, Jan 04 vs Ravens |
6 | 0 | 13 | X | <1% | 2% | 76% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 22% |
| Chargers | West | 10 Chargers Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 16 @ Jaguars 6-35 Won Sun, Nov 30 vs Raiders 31-14 Won Mon, Dec 08 vs Eagles 22-19 Won Sun, Dec 14 @ Chiefs 16-13 Sun, Dec 21 @ Cowboys Sat, Dec 27 vs Texans Sun, Jan 04 @ Broncos |
4 | 0 | 14 | 3% | 4% | 3% | X | 26% | 25% | 32% | 7% |
| Bills | East | 10 Bills Recent Games Lost Thu, Nov 20 @ Texans 19-23 Won Sun, Nov 30 @ Steelers 26-7 Won Sun, Dec 07 vs Bengals 39-34 Won Sun, Dec 14 @ Pats 35-31 Sun, Dec 21 @ Browns Sun, Dec 28 vs Eagles Sun, Jan 04 vs Jets |
4 | 0 | 14 | 2% | 18% | 6% | <1% | 45% | 23% | 6% | <1% |
| Texans | South | 9 Texans Recent Games Won Thu, Nov 20 vs Bills 23-19 Won Sun, Nov 30 @ Colts 20-16 Won Sun, Dec 07 @ Chiefs 20-10 Won Sun, Dec 14 vs Cards 40-20 Sun, Dec 21 vs Raiders Sat, Dec 27 @ Chargers Sun, Jan 04 vs Colts |
5 | 0 | 14 | <1% | 3% | 40% | <1% | 5% | 12% | 33% | 7% |
| Colts | South | 8 Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 23 @ Chiefs 20-23 Lost Sun, Nov 30 vs Texans 16-20 Lost Sun, Dec 07 @ Jaguars 19-36 Lost Sun, Dec 14 @ Seahawks 16-18 Mon, Dec 22 vs 49ers Sun, Dec 28 vs Jaguars Sun, Jan 04 @ Texans |
6 | 0 | 14 | X | <1% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 83% |
| Ravens | North | 7 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 23 vs Jets 23-10 Lost Thu, Nov 27 vs Bengals 14-32 Lost Sun, Dec 07 vs Steelers 22-27 Won Sun, Dec 14 @ Bengals 24-0 Sun, Dec 21 vs Pats Sat, Dec 27 @ Packers Sun, Jan 04 @ Steelers |
7 | 0 | 14 | X | X | X | 22% | X | X | <1% | 78% |
| Dolphins | East | 6 Dolphins Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Bills 30-13 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Commanders 16-13 Won Sun, Nov 30 vs Saints 21-17 Won Sun, Dec 07 @ Jets 34-10 Mon, Dec 15 @ Steelers Sun, Dec 21 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 28 vs Bucs Sun, Jan 04 @ Pats |
7 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Chiefs | West | 6 Chiefs Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 23 vs Colts 23-20 Lost Thu, Nov 27 @ Cowboys 28-31 Lost Sun, Dec 07 vs Texans 10-20 Lost Sun, Dec 14 vs Chargers 13-16 Sun, Dec 21 @ Titans Thu, Dec 25 vs Broncos Sun, Jan 04 @ Raiders |
8 | 0 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Bengals | North | 4 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Pats 20-26 Won Thu, Nov 27 @ Ravens 32-14 Lost Sun, Dec 07 @ Bills 34-39 Lost Sun, Dec 14 vs Ravens 0-24 Sun, Dec 21 @ Dolphins Sun, Dec 28 vs Cards Sun, Jan 04 vs Browns |
10 | 0 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Jets | East | 3 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 23 @ Ravens 10-23 Won Sun, Nov 30 vs Falcons 27-24 Lost Sun, Dec 07 vs Dolphins 10-34 Lost Sun, Dec 14 @ Jaguars 20-48 Sun, Dec 21 @ Saints Sun, Dec 28 vs Pats Sun, Jan 04 @ Bills |
11 | 0 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Browns | North | 3 Browns Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 23 @ Raiders 24-10 Lost Sun, Nov 30 vs 49ers 8-26 Lost Sun, Dec 07 vs Titans 29-31 Lost Sun, Dec 14 @ Bears 3-31 Sun, Dec 21 vs Bills Sun, Dec 28 vs Steelers Sun, Jan 04 @ Bengals |
11 | 0 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Browns 10-24 Lost Sun, Nov 30 @ Chargers 14-31 Lost Sun, Dec 07 vs Broncos 17-24 Lost Sun, Dec 14 @ Eagles 0-31 Sun, Dec 21 @ Texans Sun, Dec 28 vs Giants Sun, Jan 04 vs Chiefs |
12 | 0 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Titans | South | 2 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Seahawks 24-30 Lost Sun, Nov 30 vs Jaguars 3-25 Won Sun, Dec 07 @ Browns 31-29 Lost Sun, Dec 14 @ 49ers 24-37 Sun, Dec 21 vs Chiefs Sun, Dec 28 vs Saints Sun, Jan 04 @ Jaguars |
12 | 0 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |