Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot.  All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.  Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Chiefs | West | 3i Chiefs Recent Games Won Mon, Sep 14 vs Broncos 31-10 Won Sun, Sep 20 vs Colts 33-30 Won Sun, Sep 27 @ Dolphins 24-10 Sun, Oct 04 @ Raiders Sun, Oct 18 vs Chargers Sun, Oct 25 @ Seahawks Sun, Nov 01 @ Broncos |
0 | 0 | 3 | 21% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 25% |
| Bills | East | 3 Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 @ Texans 36-31 Won Thu, Sep 17 vs Lions 41-31 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Chargers 24-16 Sun, Oct 04 vs Pats Mon, Oct 12 @ Rams Sun, Oct 18 @ Raiders Sun, Nov 01 vs Ravens |
0 | 0 | 3 | 20% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 26% |
| Jaguars | South | 2 Jaguars Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 vs Browns 34-10 Lost Sun, Sep 20 @ Broncos 13-20 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Pats 35-6 Sun, Oct 04 @ Bengals Sun, Oct 11 vs Eagles Sun, Oct 18 vs Texans Sun, Nov 01 vs Colts |
1 | 0 | 3 | 7% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 34% |
| Steelers | North | 2 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 vs Falcons 20-13 Lost Sun, Sep 20 @ Pats 3-20 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Bengals 30-27 Thu, Oct 01 @ Browns Sun, Oct 11 vs Colts Sun, Oct 18 @ Bucs Sun, Oct 25 @ Saints |
1 | 0 | 3 | 6% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 47% |
| Raiders | West | 3 Raiders Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 vs Dolphins 27-13 Won Sun, Sep 20 @ Chargers 26-14 Won Sun, Sep 27 @ Saints 35-27 Sun, Oct 04 vs Chiefs Sun, Oct 11 @ Pats Sun, Oct 18 vs Bills Sun, Oct 25 vs Rams |
0 | 0 | 3 | 18% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 31% |
| Broncos | West | 2 Broncos Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 14 @ Chiefs 10-31 Won Sun, Sep 20 vs Jaguars 20-13 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Rams 30-26 Sun, Oct 04 @ 49ers Sun, Oct 11 @ Chargers Thu, Oct 15 vs Seahawks Sun, Oct 25 @ Cards |
1 | 0 | 3 | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 45% |
| Browns | North | 2 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 13 @ Jaguars 10-34 Won Sun, Sep 20 @ Bucs 23-19 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Panthers 21-18 Thu, Oct 01 vs Steelers Sun, Oct 11 @ Jets Sun, Oct 18 vs Ravens Sun, Oct 25 @ Titans |
1 | 0 | 3 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 47% |
| Ravens | North | 2 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 @ Colts 41-23 Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Saints 17-24 Won Sun, Sep 27 @ Cowboys 34-31 Sun, Oct 04 vs Titans Sun, Oct 11 @ Falcons Sun, Oct 18 @ Browns Sun, Oct 25 vs Bengals |
1 | 0 | 3 | 7% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 46% |
| Bengals | North | 2 Bengals Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 vs Bucs 33-27 Won Sun, Sep 20 @ Texans 20-6 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Steelers 27-30 Sun, Oct 04 vs Jaguars Sun, Oct 11 @ Dolphins Sun, Oct 25 @ Ravens Sun, Nov 01 vs Titans |
1 | 0 | 3 | 5% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 50% |
| Patriots | East | 1 Patriots Recent Games Lost Wed, Sep 09 @ Seahawks 10-13 Won Sun, Sep 20 vs Steelers 20-3 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Jaguars 6-35 Sun, Oct 04 @ Bills Sun, Oct 11 vs Raiders Sun, Oct 18 vs Jets Thu, Oct 22 @ Bears |
2 | 0 | 3 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 67% |
| Jets | East | 1 Jets Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 13 @ Titans 23-10 Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Packers 17-20 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Lions 24-31 Sun, Oct 04 @ Bears Sun, Oct 11 vs Browns Sun, Oct 18 @ Pats Sun, Oct 25 vs Dolphins |
2 | 0 | 3 | 1% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 73% |
| Colts | South | 1 Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 13 vs Ravens 23-41 Lost Sun, Sep 20 @ Chiefs 30-33 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Texans 19-17 Sun, Oct 04 @ Commanders Sun, Oct 11 @ Steelers Sun, Oct 18 vs Titans Sun, Oct 25 @ Vikings |
2 | 0 | 3 | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 65% |
| Titans | South | 0 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 13 vs Jets 10-23 Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Eagles 20-24 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Giants 7-12 Sun, Oct 04 @ Ravens Sun, Oct 11 vs Texans Sun, Oct 18 @ Colts Sun, Oct 25 vs Browns |
3 | 0 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 87% |
| Chargers | West | 0 Chargers Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 13 vs Cards 14-26 Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Raiders 14-26 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Bills 16-24 Sun, Oct 04 @ Seahawks Sun, Oct 11 vs Broncos Sun, Oct 18 @ Chiefs Sun, Nov 01 @ Rams |
3 | 0 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 89% |
| Dolphins | East | 0 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 13 @ Raiders 13-27 Lost Sun, Sep 20 @ 49ers 13-35 Lost Sun, Sep 27 vs Chiefs 10-24 Sun, Oct 04 @ Vikings Sun, Oct 11 vs Bengals Sun, Oct 25 @ Jets Sun, Nov 01 vs Pats |
3 | 0 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 83% |
| Texans | South | 0 Texans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 13 vs Bills 31-36 Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Bengals 6-20 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Colts 17-19 Sun, Oct 04 vs Cowboys Sun, Oct 11 @ Titans Sun, Oct 18 @ Jaguars Sun, Oct 25 vs Giants |
3 | 0 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 85% |