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NFL - Week 5 of 17

AFC Playoff Picture

Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

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AFC Winning Magic Numbers
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AFC Playoff Standings

    Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
Team Division W L T 1** 2** 3* 4* 5 6 7
Bengals North 3 0 0 35% 13% 7% 4% 13% 8% 20%
Chargers West 3 1 0 16% 16% 10% 6% 9% 9% 35%
Texans South 3 1 0 13% 14% 15% 12% 4% 4% 38%
Bills East 2 2 0 2% 8% 12% 16% 3% 5% 53%
Ravens North 3 1 0 12% 6% 4% 2% 23% 12% 41%
Broncos West 2 1 0 9% 12% 7% 6% 9% 9% 48%
 
Colts South 2 2 0 3% 5% 9% 10% 4% 6% 63%
Patriots East 2 2 0 2% 6% 8% 10% 4% 5% 65%
Dolphins East 2 2 0 2% 5% 8% 10% 4% 6% 66%
Chiefs West 2 2 0 2% 5% 5% 5% 7% 8% 68%
Steelers North 2 2 0 3% 4% 3% 1% 11% 10% 69%
Titans South 1 3 0 < 1% 2% 6% 7% 3% 6% 75%
Browns North 1 2 0 1% 2% 1% 1% 5% 8% 82%
Jets East 1 3 0 < 1% 2% 3% 6% 1% 3% 85%
Jaguars South 0 4 0 < 1% < 1% 1% 2% < 1% 1% 96%
Raiders West 0 4 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% < 1% < 1% 98%
  • Notes

  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • New Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes home field advantage in the first round of the post season tournament
  • ** denotes a bye in the first round of the post season tournament