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NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NFL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L T
Bengals AFC 3 0 0 14% 24% 37% 58% 74%
Cardinals NFC 3 0 0 12% 21% 35% 56% 72%
Eagles NFC 3 0 0 9% 18% 30% 50% 65%
Chargers AFC 2 1 0 7% 13% 26% 46% 63%
Ravens AFC 2 1 0 5% 9% 17% 33% 50%
Steelers AFC 2 1 0 5% 9% 17% 33% 49%
Falcons NFC 2 1 0 4% 9% 18% 36% 52%
Seahawks NFC 2 1 0 4% 9% 17% 32% 47%
Bills AFC 2 1 0 4% 8% 18% 35% 51%
Panthers NFC 2 1 0 4% 8% 17% 34% 51%
Lions NFC 2 1 0 4% 8% 17% 34% 50%
Broncos AFC 2 1 0 4% 8% 17% 33% 48%
Texans AFC 2 1 0 3% 7% 15% 32% 50%
Cowboys NFC 2 1 0 3% 7% 15% 29% 44%
Patriots AFC 2 1 0 3% 7% 14% 28% 42%
Bears NFC 1 1 0 3% 5% 12% 27% 41%
Titans AFC 1 2 0 1% 3% 9% 21% 36%
Jets AFC 1 1 0 1% 3% 8% 18% 30%
Colts AFC 1 2 0 1% 3% 7% 18% 30%
Packers NFC 1 2 0 1% 3% 7% 16% 28%
Giants NFC 1 2 0 1% 3% 7% 16% 25%
Forty-Niners NFC 1 2 0 1% 3% 6% 15% 27%
Vikings NFC 1 2 0 1% 2% 6% 16% 28%
Dolphins AFC 1 2 0 1% 2% 6% 14% 24%
Redskins NFC 1 2 0 1% 2% 5% 14% 25%
Saints NFC 1 2 0 1% 2% 5% 13% 24%
Chiefs AFC 1 2 0 1% 2% 5% 13% 22%
Browns AFC 1 2 0 <1% 1% 4% 10% 17%
Rams NFC 1 2 0 <1% 1% 3% 8% 14%
Jaguars AFC 0 3 0 <1% <1% 1% 4% 9%
Raiders AFC 0 3 0 <1% <1% 1% 4% 7%
Buccaneers NFC 0 3 0 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot