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NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NFL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L T
Cardinals NFC 3 0 0 14% 25% 40% 62% 78%
Bengals AFC 3 0 0 13% 23% 39% 63% 80%
Chargers AFC 3 1 0 7% 14% 27% 48% 65%
Ravens AFC 3 1 0 6% 11% 21% 40% 59%
Lions NFC 3 1 0 6% 11% 21% 40% 56%
Seahawks NFC 2 1 0 6% 10% 18% 34% 47%
Texans AFC 3 1 0 5% 11% 23% 43% 62%
Broncos AFC 2 1 0 5% 10% 20% 37% 52%
Cowboys NFC 3 1 0 5% 9% 19% 36% 51%
Eagles NFC 3 1 0 4% 9% 17% 33% 47%
Bills AFC 2 2 0 3% 6% 14% 29% 47%
Forty-Niners NFC 2 2 0 3% 6% 11% 23% 37%
Giants NFC 2 2 0 3% 5% 12% 25% 38%
Panthers NFC 2 2 0 2% 5% 12% 29% 46%
Packers NFC 2 2 0 2% 5% 12% 25% 39%
Falcons NFC 2 2 0 2% 4% 10% 24% 40%
Colts AFC 2 2 0 2% 4% 10% 23% 37%
Patriots AFC 2 2 0 2% 4% 10% 23% 35%
Dolphins AFC 2 2 0 2% 4% 9% 21% 34%
Vikings NFC 2 2 0 2% 4% 9% 21% 34%
Chiefs AFC 2 2 0 2% 4% 9% 20% 32%
Bears NFC 2 2 0 2% 4% 9% 19% 30%
Steelers AFC 2 2 0 2% 4% 8% 19% 31%
Titans AFC 1 3 0 1% 2% 5% 14% 25%
Browns AFC 1 2 0 1% 1% 4% 10% 18%
Saints NFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 3% 10% 19%
Jets AFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 3% 8% 15%
Rams NFC 1 2 0 <1% 1% 3% 7% 13%
Buccaneers NFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 2% 7% 15%
Redskins NFC 1 3 0 <1% 1% 2% 5% 10%
Jaguars AFC 0 4 0 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
Raiders AFC 0 4 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot