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NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NFL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L T
Patriots AFC 12 3 0 25% 44% 73% 100% 100%
Broncos AFC 11 3 0 20% 35% 70% 100% 100%
Seahawks NFC 11 4 0 19% 38% 61% 96% 100%
Packers NFC 11 4 0 8% 19% 43% 76% 100%
Cardinals NFC 11 4 0 8% 17% 33% 74% 100%
Lions NFC 11 4 0 6% 14% 32% 62% 100%
Cowboys NFC 11 4 0 5% 11% 26% 63% 100%
Colts AFC 10 5 0 3% 7% 19% 64% 100%
Bengals AFC 9 4 1 2% 5% 15% 48% 89%
Steelers AFC 10 5 0 2% 5% 12% 49% 100%
Chargers AFC 9 6 0 1% 2% 5% 18% 46%
Ravens AFC 9 6 0 1% 1% 4% 18% 50%
Panthers NFC 6 8 1 <1% 1% 3% 14% 45%
Falcons NFC 6 9 0 <1% 1% 2% 15% 55%
Texans AFC 8 7 0 <1% <1% 1% 3% 12%
Chiefs AFC 8 7 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Eagles NFC 9 6 0 X X X X X
Bills AFC 8 7 0 X X X X X
Dolphins AFC 8 7 0 X X X X X
Browns AFC 7 8 0 X X X X X
Forty-Niners NFC 7 8 0 X X X X X
Giants NFC 6 9 0 X X X X X
Rams NFC 6 9 0 X X X X X
Saints NFC 6 9 0 X X X X X
Vikings NFC 6 9 0 X X X X X
Bears NFC 5 10 0 X X X X X
Redskins NFC 4 11 0 X X X X X
Jaguars AFC 3 12 0 X X X X X
Jets AFC 3 12 0 X X X X X
Raiders AFC 3 12 0 X X X X X
Buccaneers NFC 2 13 0 X X X X X
Titans AFC 2 13 0 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot