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NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NFL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L T
Broncos AFC 6 1 0 16% 30% 50% 79% 93%
Cardinals NFC 5 1 0 11% 21% 38% 63% 80%
Cowboys NFC 6 1 0 11% 20% 37% 64% 83%
Colts AFC 5 2 0 8% 16% 32% 62% 87%
Eagles NFC 5 1 0 8% 15% 28% 50% 69%
Packers NFC 5 2 0 6% 12% 25% 50% 70%
Ravens AFC 5 2 0 6% 12% 24% 47% 69%
Lions NFC 5 2 0 5% 11% 23% 47% 70%
Patriots AFC 5 2 0 4% 10% 20% 42% 61%
Forty-Niners NFC 4 3 0 4% 9% 18% 36% 55%
Bengals AFC 3 2 1 3% 7% 15% 30% 46%
Panthers NFC 3 3 1 2% 5% 13% 37% 70%
Bills AFC 4 3 0 2% 5% 12% 26% 43%
Steelers AFC 4 3 0 2% 5% 11% 24% 39%
Chiefs AFC 3 3 0 2% 5% 10% 23% 41%
Chargers AFC 5 3 0 2% 5% 9% 22% 41%
Dolphins AFC 3 3 0 1% 3% 7% 18% 30%
Seahawks NFC 3 3 0 1% 3% 7% 16% 25%
Browns AFC 3 3 0 1% 2% 5% 13% 24%
Texans AFC 3 4 0 1% 2% 4% 11% 21%
Bears NFC 3 4 0 1% 1% 3% 9% 17%
Giants NFC 3 4 0 1% 1% 3% 9% 17%
Saints NFC 2 4 0 <1% 1% 2% 10% 20%
Falcons NFC 2 5 0 <1% <1% 1% 4% 10%
Titans AFC 2 5 0 <1% <1% 1% 3% 6%
Vikings NFC 2 5 0 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Rams NFC 2 4 0 <1% <1% 1% 2% 4%
Buccaneers NFC 1 5 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Redskins NFC 2 5 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Jets AFC 1 6 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Jaguars AFC 1 6 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Raiders AFC 0 6 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot