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Mon Oct 19 11:30 pm

NFL - Week 7 of 18

NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NFL Post Season Probabilities
Record Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Conf Game Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference Conf W L T
Forty-Niners49ers NFC 6 0 0 15% 28% 50% 77% 98%
Vikings NFC 5 0 0 15% 28% 46% 70% 95%
Chiefs AFC 5 0 0 13% 24% 41% 67% 92%
Bills AFC 5 1 0 8% 15% 28% 50% 79%
Jaguars AFC 4 2 0 5% 10% 22% 46% 77%
Patriots AFC 4 2 0 5% 10% 20% 40% 68%
Broncos AFC 4 2 0 5% 10% 19% 37% 65%
Browns AFC 4 2 0 4% 9% 18% 37% 67%
Panthers NFC 3 2 0 4% 8% 19% 39% 67%
Bears NFC 4 2 0 4% 8% 17% 35% 65%
Steelers AFC 4 2 0 3% 7% 16% 32% 58%
Packers NFC 4 2 0 3% 7% 15% 32% 61%
Ravens AFC 4 2 0 3% 6% 14% 29% 55%
Lions NFC 3 2 0 3% 6% 13% 28% 53%
Bengals AFC 3 2 0 2% 4% 10% 22% 43%
Giants NFC 3 2 1 1% 3% 10% 26% 53%
Seahawks NFC 3 3 0 1% 3% 7% 18% 40%
Raiders AFC 3 3 0 1% 2% 5% 14% 30%
Saints NFC 2 4 0 1% 2% 5% 13% 26%
Falcons NFC 2 4 0 1% 1% 4% 11% 23%
Cowboys NFC 2 4 0 <1% 1% 3% 11% 26%
Eagles NFC 2 4 0 <1% 1% 3% 11% 26%
Rams NFC 2 4 0 <1% 1% 3% 9% 22%
Texans AFC 2 4 0 <1% 1% 3% 9% 20%
Jets AFC 2 4 0 <1% 1% 3% 8% 19%
Colts AFC 2 4 0 <1% 1% 2% 8% 19%
Cardinals NFC 2 4 0 <1% 1% 2% 7% 18%
Commanders NFC 1 4 1 <1% 1% 2% 7% 17%
Buccaneers NFC 1 5 0 <1% <1% 1% 5% 11%
Titans AFC 1 5 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4%
Dolphins AFC 0 5 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Chargers AFC 0 6 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot