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Mon Sep 28 11:15 pm

NFL - Week 4 of 18

NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

NFL Post Season Probabilities
Record Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Conf Game Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference Conf W L T
Vikings NFC 3 0 0 11% 21% 33% 53% 78%
Forty-Niners49ers NFC 3 0 0 10% 17% 30% 48% 71%
Chiefs AFC 3 0 0 10% 17% 29% 49% 75%
Bills AFC 3 0 0 9% 16% 29% 50% 74%
Raiders AFC 3 0 0 8% 14% 25% 44% 69%
Bears NFC 2 1 0 5% 9% 18% 33% 56%
Broncos AFC 2 1 0 5% 8% 16% 32% 55%
Jaguars AFC 2 1 0 4% 9% 19% 39% 66%
Lions NFC 2 1 0 4% 9% 17% 33% 55%
Eagles NFC 2 1 0 4% 8% 16% 32% 55%
Steelers AFC 2 1 0 4% 7% 15% 31% 53%
Ravens AFC 2 1 0 3% 7% 15% 30% 54%
Browns AFC 2 1 0 3% 7% 15% 30% 53%
Seahawks NFC 2 1 0 3% 7% 15% 28% 49%
Bengals AFC 2 1 0 3% 6% 13% 27% 50%
Giants NFC 2 1 0 3% 6% 13% 27% 48%
Saints NFC 1 2 0 2% 4% 10% 24% 44%
Panthers NFC 1 2 0 1% 3% 8% 20% 38%
Patriots AFC 1 2 0 1% 3% 7% 17% 33%
Rams NFC 1 2 0 1% 3% 7% 17% 33%
Commanders NFC 1 2 0 1% 3% 6% 16% 33%
Cowboys NFC 1 2 0 1% 2% 7% 16% 33%
Colts AFC 1 2 0 1% 2% 6% 17% 35%
Falcons NFC 1 2 0 1% 2% 6% 16% 32%
Packers NFC 1 2 0 1% 2% 6% 14% 29%
Cardinals NFC 1 2 0 1% 2% 5% 14% 27%
Jets AFC 1 2 0 1% 2% 5% 13% 27%
Buccaneers NFC 0 3 0 <1% 1% 2% 8% 19%
Dolphins AFC 0 3 0 <1% 1% 2% 8% 17%
Texans AFC 0 3 0 <1% <1% 2% 6% 15%
Titans AFC 0 3 0 <1% <1% 1% 5% 13%
Chargers AFC 0 3 0 <1% <1% 1% 4% 11%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot