The Most Important Games for the St. Francis Red Flash are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Flash final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Francis Red Flash fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Francis Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| St. Francis (6‑22) vs New Haven (13‑15) |
27 | St. Francis Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 3% | 25% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 1% | 10% | 89% | ||
| New Haven Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 96% | ||
| Long Island U. (19‑10) vs Chicago St. (7‑22) |
10 | Long Island U. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 1% | 11% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 1% | 10% | 89% | ||
| Chicago St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Central Conn. (16‑11) vs Mercyhurst (14‑15) |
0 | Central Conn. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 1% | 10% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 1% | 10% | 89% | ||
| Mercyhurst Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 1% | 10% | 89% | ||
| Le Moyne (14‑15) vs Fair. Dickinson (11‑18) |
0 | Le Moyne Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 1% | 10% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 1% | 10% | 89% | ||
| Fair. Dickinson Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 1% | 10% | 89% | ||