Where are the St. Francis Red Flash going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Francis standings table presents the probabilities of the Red Flash winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Central Conn. | 7i Central Conn. Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 24 @ Le Moyne 93-70 Won Sun, Jan 26 vs Chicago St. 81-64 Won Thu, Jan 30 @ LIU 63-50 Won Sat, Feb 01 @ Stonehill 71-63 Thu, Feb 06 vs Fair. Dickinson Thu, Feb 13 vs Mercyhurst Sat, Feb 15 vs Francis Thu, Feb 20 @ Chicago St. |
2 | 9 | 90% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Long Island U. | 6 Long Island U. Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 24 @ Francis 64-74 Lost Sun, Jan 26 @ Mercyhurst 80-85 Lost Thu, Jan 30 vs Central CT 50-63 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ Chicago St. 67-73 Thu, Feb 06 @ Wagner Sat, Feb 08 vs Stonehill Sat, Feb 15 vs Fair. Dickinson Sat, Feb 22 @ Le Moyne |
4 | 10 | 2% | 27% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Mercyhurst | 6 Mercyhurst Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 24 vs Wagner 71-66 Won Sun, Jan 26 vs LIU 85-80 Won Thu, Jan 30 vs Francis 62-58 Won Sat, Feb 01 @ Fair. Dickinson 67-60 Thu, Feb 06 @ Chicago St. Sat, Feb 08 vs Le Moyne Thu, Feb 13 @ Central CT Sat, Feb 15 @ Stonehill |
4 | 10 | 5% | 31% | 29% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Fair. Dickinson | 5 Fair. Dickinson Recent Games Won Mon, Jan 20 @ Chicago St. 58-48 Won Sun, Jan 26 @ Stonehill 65-54 Won Thu, Jan 30 vs Le Moyne 78-74 Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs Mercyhurst 60-67 Thu, Feb 06 @ Central CT Sat, Feb 08 vs Wagner Thu, Feb 13 vs Chicago St. Sat, Feb 15 @ LIU |
3 | 8 | 3% | 20% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Stonehill | 4 Stonehill Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 24 vs Chicago St. 75-73 Lost Sun, Jan 26 vs Fair. Dickinson 54-65 Won Thu, Jan 30 vs Wagner 73-61 Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs Central CT 63-71 Sat, Feb 08 @ LIU Thu, Feb 13 vs Francis Sat, Feb 15 vs Mercyhurst Thu, Feb 20 @ Wagner |
5 | 9 | <1% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% |
| Wagner | 4 Wagner Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 24 @ Mercyhurst 66-71 Won Sun, Jan 26 @ Francis 68-66 Lost Thu, Jan 30 @ Stonehill 61-73 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Le Moyne 73-61 Thu, Feb 06 vs LIU Sat, Feb 08 @ Fair. Dickinson Thu, Feb 13 @ Le Moyne Thu, Feb 20 vs Stonehill |
5 | 9 | 1% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 3% |
| Chicago St. | 3 Chicago St. Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 20 vs Fair. Dickinson 48-58 Lost Fri, Jan 24 @ Stonehill 73-75 Lost Sun, Jan 26 @ Central CT 64-81 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs LIU 73-67 Thu, Feb 06 vs Mercyhurst Sat, Feb 08 vs Francis Thu, Feb 13 @ Fair. Dickinson Sat, Feb 15 @ Le Moyne |
5 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 18% | 29% | 28% |
| St. Francis | 3 St. Francis Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 20 @ Wagner 68-70 Won Fri, Jan 24 vs LIU 74-64 Lost Sun, Jan 26 vs Wagner 66-68 Lost Thu, Jan 30 @ Mercyhurst 58-62 Thu, Feb 06 vs Le Moyne Sat, Feb 08 @ Chicago St. Thu, Feb 13 @ Stonehill Sat, Feb 15 @ Central CT |
6 | 9 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 24% | 19% |
| Le Moyne | 2 Le Moyne Recent Games Won Mon, Jan 20 vs Stonehill 73-72 Lost Fri, Jan 24 vs Central CT 70-93 Lost Thu, Jan 30 @ Fair. Dickinson 74-78 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ Wagner 61-73 Thu, Feb 06 @ Francis Sat, Feb 08 @ Mercyhurst Thu, Feb 13 vs Wagner Sat, Feb 15 vs Chicago St. |
6 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 24% | 46% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Central Conn. | 7 | 2 | 24% |
| (3)Mercyhurst | 6 | 4 | 16% |
| (2)Long Island U. | 6 | 4 | 13% |
| (4)Fair. Dickinson | 5 | 3 | 12% |
| (6)Wagner | 4 | 5 | 8% |
| (5)Stonehill | 4 | 5 | 7% |
| (7)Chicago St. | 3 | 5 | 1% |
| (9)Le Moyne | 2 | 6 | <1% |
| Elimination | 19% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Central Conn. (16‑6) |
59‑74 | Home | Fri Jan 3, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Stonehill (12‑12) |
60‑64 | Home | Sun Jan 5, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | Mercyhurst (12‑13) |
73‑59 | Home | Fri Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Fair. Dickinson (9‑14) |
75‑71 | Away | Sun Jan 12, 1:00 pm |
| 11 | Long Island U. (9‑15) |
51‑64 | Away | Sat Jan 18, 2:00 pm |
| 12 | Wagner (12‑10) |
68‑70 (OT) | Away | Mon Jan 20, 1:00 pm |
| 12 | Long Island U. (9‑15) |
74‑64 | Home | Fri Jan 24, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Wagner (12‑10) |
66‑68 | Home | Sun Jan 26, 2:00 pm |
| 13 | Mercyhurst (12‑13) |
58‑62 | Away | Thu Jan 30, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Le Moyne (7‑16) |
Home | Thu Feb 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Chicago St. (3‑20) |
Away | Sat Feb 8, 2:00 pm | |
| 15 | Stonehill (12‑12) |
Away | Thu Feb 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Central Conn. (16‑6) |
Away | Sat Feb 15, 1:00 pm | |
| 16 | Le Moyne (7‑16) |
Away | Thu Feb 20, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Fair. Dickinson (9‑14) |
Home | Sat Feb 22, 2:00 pm | |
| 17 | Chicago St. (3‑20) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 2:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dayton (15‑7) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 57‑87 | Away | Mon Nov 4, 7:00 pm |
| 1 | Clemson (18‑4) |
ACCACC | 62‑88 | Away | Fri Nov 8, 7:00 pm |
| 1 | Campbell (12‑11) |
CoastalCoastal | 65‑64 | Away | Sun Nov 10, 2:00 pm |
| 2 | Penn State (13‑9) |
Big 10Big 10 | 62‑92 | Away | Tue Nov 12, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Mount St. Mary's (12‑10) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 58‑66 | Away | Sat Nov 16, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Georgetown (14‑8) |
Big EastBig East | 65‑82 | Away | Sat Nov 23, 12:00 pm |
| 4 | Lehigh (8‑13) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 88‑78 | Home | Tue Nov 26, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Radford (15‑9) |
Big SouthBig South | 70‑79 | Home | Sun Dec 1, 2:00 pm |
| 6 | Niagara (8‑13) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 66‑69 | Away | Sat Dec 14, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Maryland (17‑5) |
Big 10Big 10 | 57‑111 | Away | Tue Dec 17, 7:30 pm |
| 7 | Franciscan | ‑‑ | 104‑47 | Home | Thu Dec 19, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Robert Morris (16‑7) |
HorizonHorizon | 77‑90 | Away | Sat Dec 21, 1:00 pm |