Where are the St. Francis Red Flash going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Francis standings table presents the probabilities of the Red Flash winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Long Island U. | 4i Long Island U. Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 02 vs Central CT 84-78 Won Sun, Jan 04 @ Chicago St. 74-55 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs Mercyhurst 60-58 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Francis 67-63 Sat, Jan 17 @ Fair. Dickinson Mon, Jan 19 @ Le Moyne Fri, Jan 23 @ Stonehill Sun, Jan 25 vs Wagner |
0 | 4 | 63% | 25% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Central Conn. | 3 Central Conn. Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 02 @ LIU 78-84 Won Sun, Jan 04 vs New Haven 72-61 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs Stonehill 76-69 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Le Moyne 69-59 Sat, Jan 17 @ Francis Mon, Jan 19 @ Mercyhurst Fri, Jan 23 vs Fair. Dickinson Sun, Jan 25 @ Stonehill |
1 | 4 | 28% | 42% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Le Moyne | 2 Le Moyne Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 02 @ Francis 84-58 Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ Mercyhurst 60-74 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs New Haven 73-47 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Central CT 59-69 Sat, Jan 17 @ Chicago St. Mon, Jan 19 vs LIU Fri, Jan 23 vs Wagner Sun, Jan 25 @ Fair. Dickinson |
2 | 4 | 3% | 10% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 3% |
| Mercyhurst | 2 Mercyhurst Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 02 vs Fair. Dickinson 67-74 Won Sun, Jan 04 vs Le Moyne 74-60 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ LIU 58-60 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Wagner 70-69 Sat, Jan 17 vs Stonehill Mon, Jan 19 vs Central CT Fri, Jan 23 @ New Haven Sun, Jan 25 vs Chicago St. |
2 | 4 | 3% | 11% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| St. Francis | 2 St. Francis Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 02 vs Le Moyne 58-84 Won Sun, Jan 04 vs Fair. Dickinson 85-82 Won Thu, Jan 08 @ Wagner 71-69 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ LIU 63-67 Sat, Jan 17 vs Central CT Mon, Jan 19 vs Stonehill Fri, Jan 23 vs Chicago St. Sun, Jan 25 @ New Haven |
2 | 4 | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 9% |
| Fair. Dickinson | 2 Fair. Dickinson Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 02 @ Mercyhurst 74-67 Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ Francis 82-85 Won Thu, Jan 08 vs Chicago St. 70-63 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ New Haven 55-65 Sat, Jan 17 vs LIU Mon, Jan 19 vs Wagner Fri, Jan 23 @ Central CT Sun, Jan 25 vs Le Moyne |
2 | 4 | 1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 10% |
| Stonehill | 2 Stonehill Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 02 vs New Haven 55-70 Won Sun, Jan 04 @ Wagner 69-60 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ Central CT 69-76 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Chicago St. 85-82 Sat, Jan 17 @ Mercyhurst Mon, Jan 19 @ Francis Fri, Jan 23 vs LIU Sun, Jan 25 vs Central CT |
2 | 4 | 1% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 9% |
| Wagner | 1 Wagner Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 02 @ Chicago St. 79-72 Lost Sun, Jan 04 vs Stonehill 60-69 Lost Thu, Jan 08 vs Francis 69-71 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Mercyhurst 69-70 Sat, Jan 17 @ New Haven Mon, Jan 19 @ Fair. Dickinson Fri, Jan 23 @ Le Moyne Sun, Jan 25 @ LIU |
3 | 4 | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 13% |
| Chicago St. | 0 Chicago St. Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 02 vs Wagner 72-79 Lost Sun, Jan 04 vs LIU 55-74 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ Fair. Dickinson 63-70 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Stonehill 82-85 Sat, Jan 17 vs Le Moyne Mon, Jan 19 vs New Haven Fri, Jan 23 @ Francis Sun, Jan 25 @ Mercyhurst |
4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 52% |
| New Haven | 2 New Haven Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 02 @ Stonehill 70-55 Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ Central CT 61-72 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ Le Moyne 47-73 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Fair. Dickinson 65-55 Sat, Jan 17 vs Wagner Mon, Jan 19 @ Chicago St. Fri, Jan 23 vs Mercyhurst Sun, Jan 25 vs Francis |
2 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (4)Mercyhurst | 2 | 2 | 16% |
| (3)Le Moyne | 2 | 2 | 15% |
| (2)Central Conn. | 3 | 1 | 15% |
| (1)Long Island U. | 4 | 0 | 14% |
| (7)Stonehill | 2 | 2 | 10% |
| (6)Fair. Dickinson | 2 | 2 | 9% |
| (8)Wagner | 1 | 3 | 8% |
| (9)Chicago St. | 0 | 4 | 2% |
| Elimination | 9% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Le Moyne (7‑10) |
58‑84 | Home | Fri Jan 2, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Fair. Dickinson (5‑12) |
85‑82 | Home | Sun Jan 4, 4:00 pm |
| 10 | Wagner (6‑9) |
71‑69 | Away | Thu Jan 8, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Long Island U. (9‑7) |
63‑67 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 4:00 pm |
| 11 | Central Conn. (9‑6) |
Home | Sat Jan 17, 2:00 pm | |
| 12 | Stonehill (5‑12) |
Home | Mon Jan 19, 12:00 pm | |
| 12 | Chicago St. (2‑14) |
Home | Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | New Haven (7‑10) |
Away | Sun Jan 25, 1:00 pm | |
| 13 | Chicago St. (2‑14) |
Away | Thu Jan 29, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | New Haven (7‑10) |
Home | Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Mercyhurst (7‑10) |
Away | Thu Feb 5, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Le Moyne (7‑10) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 1:00 pm | |
| 15 | Fair. Dickinson (5‑12) |
Away | Thu Feb 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Mercyhurst (7‑10) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, 2:00 pm | |
| 16 | Long Island U. (9‑7) |
Home | Thu Feb 19, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Wagner (6‑9) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 2:00 pm | |
| 17 | Stonehill (5‑12) |
Away | Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Central Conn. (9‑6) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 1:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma (11‑4) |
SECSEC | 66‑102 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | TCU (11‑5) |
Big 12Big 12 | 63‑104 | Away | Thu Nov 6 |
| 2 | Mount St. Mary's (6‑11) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 66‑74 | Home | Tue Nov 11 |
| 3 | Lehigh (6‑10) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 62‑79 | Away | Tue Nov 18, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Belmont (15‑3) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 57‑94 | Away | Mon Nov 24, 1:30 pm |
| 4 | Troy (10‑6) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 64‑74 | Away | Wed Nov 26 |
| 4 | Franciscan University | ‑‑ | 85‑60 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 2:00 pm |
| 5 | Xavier (10‑7) |
Big EastBig East | 74‑96 | Away | Mon Dec 1, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Penn State-Shenango | ‑‑ | 100‑41 | Home | Wed Dec 3, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Radford (9‑9) |
Big SouthBig South | 56‑89 | Away | Sun Dec 7, 2:30 pm |
| 6 | Temple (11‑5) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 67‑95 | Away | Sun Dec 14, 12:00 pm |
| 7 | Florida (11‑5) |
SECSEC | 61‑102 | Away | Wed Dec 17, 6:30 pm |
| 7 | Robert Morris (11‑6) |
HorizonHorizon | 70‑79 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 1:00 pm |