The Most Important Games for the Auburn Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Auburn Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Auburn Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Auburn (14‑11) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (12‑13) |
18 | Auburn Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 32% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 37% | 19% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Vanderbilt (20‑4) vs Missouri (17‑8) |
4 | Vanderbilt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 31% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Missouri Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 21% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ole Miss (11‑14) vs Texas A&M (17‑8) |
3 | Ole Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 20% | 30% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas (19‑6) vs Alabama (17‑7) |
1 | Arkansas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 32% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia (18‑8) vs Texas (16‑9) |
1 | Georgia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 35% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 30% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma (13‑12) vs Tennessee (18‑7) |
1 | Oklahoma Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 19% | 31% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tennessee Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 20% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||