The Most Important Games for the Marshall Thundering Herd are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thundering Herd final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marshall Thundering Herd fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marshall Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Marshall (1‑0) vs Old Dominion (2‑0) |
265 | Marshall Wins | 18% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 10% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Troy (0‑2) vs Louisiana Tech (2‑0) |
27 | Troy Wins | 17% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Louisiana Tech Wins | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (0‑2) vs Georgia Southern (1‑1) |
18 | Coastal Carolina Wins | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| South Alabama (1‑1) vs Arkansas St. (1‑1) |
10 | South Alabama Wins | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| UL Monroe (1‑1) vs Georgia St. (0‑2) |
4 | UL Monroe Wins | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||