Where are the Marshall Thundering Herd going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Marshall standings table presents the probabilities of the Thundering Herd winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| Appalachian St.App. St. | 10i Appalachian St. Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 04 vs South Alabama 65-57 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Eastern Michigan 65-60 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Georgia Southern 81-65 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ James Madison 58-69 Thu, Feb 19 vs Marshall Sat, Feb 21 vs Georgia Southern Fri, Feb 27 @ TX St. |
5 | 15 | 27% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Troy | 9 Troy Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 04 @ Georgia St. 74-63 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Akron 79-69 Lost Wed, Feb 11 @ TX St. 62-74 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ Southern Miss 65-69 Wed, Feb 18 @ UL Monroe Sat, Feb 21 @ South Alabama Tue, Feb 24 vs LA Lafayette Fri, Feb 27 vs UL Monroe |
5 | 14 | 32% | 29% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Marshall | 9 Marshall Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Miami OH 74-90 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Old Dominion 81-79 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ Georgia Southern 87-101 Won Mon, Feb 16 vs South Alabama 84-80 Thu, Feb 19 @ App. St. Sat, Feb 21 @ Coast.Car. Tue, Feb 24 vs Old Dominion Fri, Feb 27 vs Georgia Southern |
5 | 14 | 15% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| South Alabama | 9 South Alabama Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Buffalo 81-69 Won Thu, Feb 12 @ Southern Miss 84-78 Won Sat, Feb 14 @ Arkansas St. 92-88 Lost Mon, Feb 16 @ Marshall 80-84 Thu, Feb 19 vs TX St. Sat, Feb 21 vs Troy Wed, Feb 25 vs UL Monroe Fri, Feb 27 vs Southern Miss |
5 | 14 | 18% | 19% | 23% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Texas State | 9 Texas State Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 04 @ Georgia Southern 77-71 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Western Michigan 77-61 Won Wed, Feb 11 vs Troy 74-62 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs UL Monroe 95-84 Thu, Feb 19 @ South Alabama Sat, Feb 21 @ LA Lafayette Fri, Feb 27 vs App. St. |
6 | 15 | 6% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 25% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Coastal Carolina | 8 Coastal Carolina Recent Games Won Sun, Feb 01 @ UL Monroe 83-79 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs Arkansas St. 66-70 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs UMass 94-91 Won Thu, Feb 12 @ LA Lafayette 69-65 Wed, Feb 18 vs James Madison Sat, Feb 21 vs Marshall Tue, Feb 24 @ Georgia St. Fri, Feb 27 @ James Madison |
6 | 14 | 2% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Arkansas St. | 7 Arkansas St. Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 04 @ Coast.Car. 70-66 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Bowling Green 91-54 Won Wed, Feb 11 vs UL Monroe 103-70 Lost Sat, Feb 14 vs South Alabama 88-92 Thu, Feb 19 @ LA Lafayette Sat, Feb 21 @ UL Monroe Tue, Feb 24 vs Southern Miss Fri, Feb 27 vs LA Lafayette |
7 | 14 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 27% | 22% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Southern Miss | 7 Southern Miss Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 04 @ Marshall 77-81 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Kent State 66-65 Lost Thu, Feb 12 vs South Alabama 78-84 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Troy 69-65 Sat, Feb 21 vs Old Dominion Tue, Feb 24 @ Arkansas St. Fri, Feb 27 @ South Alabama |
8 | 15 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 3% | ^ |
| Georgia Southern | 6 Georgia Southern Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ LA Lafayette 60-69 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs TX St. 71-77 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs App. St. 65-81 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Marshall 101-87 Thu, Feb 19 @ Georgia St. Sat, Feb 21 @ App. St. Wed, Feb 25 @ James Madison Fri, Feb 27 @ Marshall |
7 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 5% | <1% |
| LA Lafayette | 6 LA Lafayette Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 04 @ James Madison 64-61 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Central Michigan 85-80 Lost Thu, Feb 12 vs Coast.Car. 65-69 Lost Mon, Feb 16 @ Old Dominion 72-83 Thu, Feb 19 vs Arkansas St. Sat, Feb 21 vs TX St. Tue, Feb 24 @ Troy Fri, Feb 27 @ Arkansas St. |
8 | 14 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 29% | 30% | ^ |
| James Madison | 6 James Madison Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs LA Lafayette 61-64 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Toledo 73-71 Won Thu, Feb 12 vs Georgia St. 81-79 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs App. St. 69-58 Wed, Feb 18 @ Coast.Car. Sat, Feb 21 @ Georgia St. Wed, Feb 25 vs Georgia Southern Fri, Feb 27 vs Coast.Car. |
8 | 14 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | <1% |
| Georgia St. | 6 Georgia St. Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs Troy 63-74 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Northern Illinois 74-75 Lost Thu, Feb 12 @ James Madison 79-81 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ Old Dominion 55-78 Thu, Feb 19 vs Georgia Southern Sat, Feb 21 vs James Madison Tue, Feb 24 vs Coast.Car. Fri, Feb 27 vs Old Dominion |
8 | 14 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 28% | ^ |
| Old Dominion | 6 Old Dominion Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Ohio 78-72 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs Marshall 79-81 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Georgia St. 78-55 Won Mon, Feb 16 vs LA Lafayette 83-72 Sat, Feb 21 @ Southern Miss Tue, Feb 24 @ Marshall Fri, Feb 27 @ Georgia St. |
9 | 15 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 23% | <1% |
| UL Monroe | 1 UL Monroe Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 04 @ Old Dominion 85-79 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Ball State 68-73 Lost Wed, Feb 11 @ Arkansas St. 70-103 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ TX St. 84-95 Wed, Feb 18 vs Troy Sat, Feb 21 vs Arkansas St. Wed, Feb 25 @ South Alabama Fri, Feb 27 @ Troy |
12 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | >99% | ||
| (14)UL Monroe | 1 | 12 | <1% |
| (8)Southern Miss | 7 | 8 | <1% |
| (13)Old Dominion | 6 | 9 | <1% |
| (5)Texas State | 9 | 6 | <1% |
| (6)Coastal Carolina | 8 | 6 | <1% |
| (7)Arkansas St. | 7 | 7 | <1% |
| (9)Georgia Southern | 6 | 7 | <1% |
| (10)LA Lafayette | 6 | 8 | <1% |
| (11)James Madison | 6 | 8 | <1% |
| (12)Georgia St. | 6 | 8 | <1% |
| (1)Appalachian St.App. St. | 10 | 5 | X |
| (2)Troy | 9 | 5 | X |
| (4)South Alabama | 9 | 5 | X |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Troy (17‑10) |
63‑70 | Away | Sat Dec 20, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Georgia St. (9‑18) |
84‑80 | Home | Wed Dec 31, 4:00 pm |
| 9 | Appalachian St.App. St. (18‑10) |
88‑81 | Home | Sat Jan 3, 4:00 pm |
| 10 | James Madison (14‑13) |
66‑64 | Away | Wed Jan 7, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Georgia St. (9‑18) |
73‑81 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 4:00 pm |
| 11 | Coastal Carolina (16‑11) |
83‑85 | Home | Wed Jan 14, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | James Madison (14‑13) |
77‑72 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 4:00 pm |
| 12 | UL Monroe (4‑22) |
115‑60 | Home | Thu Jan 22, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Texas State (17‑11) |
68‑72 | Away | Wed Jan 28, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Arkansas St. (16‑11) |
70‑61 | Away | Sat Jan 31, 3:00 pm |
| 14 | Southern Miss (14‑14) |
81‑77 | Home | Wed Feb 4, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Old Dominion (10‑18) |
81‑79 | Away | Wed Feb 11, 7:30 pm |
| 15 | Georgia Southern (14‑12) |
87‑101 | Away | Sat Feb 14, 8:30 pm |
| 16 | South Alabama (19‑8) |
84‑80 | Home | Mon Feb 16, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | Appalachian St.App. St. (18‑10) |
Away | Thu Feb 19, 6:30 pm | |
| 16 | Coastal Carolina (16‑11) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Old Dominion (10‑18) |
Home | Tue Feb 24, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Georgia Southern (14‑12) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 8:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UMass (15‑11) |
MACMAC | 78‑72 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Toledo (13‑13) |
MACMAC | 85‑73 | Away | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Elon (14‑13) |
CoastalCoastal | 96‑89 | Home | Wed Nov 12 |
| 2 | Virginia (22‑3) |
ACCACC | 78‑104 | Away | Sat Nov 15, 12:00 pm |
| 3 | AR Pine Bluff (11‑15) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 98‑70 | Home | Thu Nov 20, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Mercyhurst (13‑14) |
NortheastNorth East | 69‑60 | Home | Sun Nov 23, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Lipscomb (16‑11) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 67‑90 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 4:00 pm |
| 5 | UNC Wilmington (22‑4) |
CoastalCoastal | 69‑70 | Away | Wed Dec 3, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Ohio (13‑13) |
MACMAC | 81‑88 | Away | Sat Dec 6, 4:00 pm |
| 6 | Western Kentucky (14‑11) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 77‑61 | Home | Wed Dec 10, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Wright St. (17‑10) |
HorizonHorizon | 76‑74 | Home | Sat Dec 13, 4:00 pm |
| 8 | WVU Tech | ‑‑ | 102‑52 | Home | Tue Dec 23, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Miami OH (25‑0) |
MACMAC | 74‑90 | Home | Sat Feb 7, 4:00 pm |