The Most Important Games for the Texas State Bobcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bobcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas State Bobcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Texas State (9‑8) vs Arkansas St. (10‑5) |
192 | Texas State Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (4‑12) vs Troy (9‑6) |
9 | LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Troy Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||
| UL Monroe (3‑14) vs Southern Miss (10‑7) |
9 | UL Monroe Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama (11‑5) vs Georgia Southern (12‑5) |
5 | South Alabama Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Georgia St. (5‑12) vs Marshall (11‑5) |
3 | Georgia St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Old Dominion (5‑12) vs James Madison (8‑8) |
2 | Old Dominion Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||
| James Madison Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (8‑9) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (10‑7) |
2 | Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 5% | <1% | ||