The Most Important Games for the Texas State Bobcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bobcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas State Bobcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Texas State (2‑3) vs Georgia Southern (4‑2) |
23 | Texas State Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | ||
| South Alabama (3‑2) vs James Madison (3‑2) |
3 | South Alabama Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| James Madison Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Old Dominion (1‑3) vs UL Monroe (2‑4) |
2 | Old Dominion Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | ||
| LA Lafayette (1‑3) vs Appalachian St.App.St. (2‑2) |
2 | LA Lafayette Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (1‑3) vs Arkansas St. (3‑1) |
1 | Coastal Carolina Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Troy (3‑2) vs Georgia St. (2‑2) |
1 | Troy Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Southern Miss (2‑3) vs Marshall (3‑1) |
0 | Southern Miss Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | ||