The Most Important Games for the Texas State Bobcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bobcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas State Bobcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Texas State (9‑8) vs Georgia St. (7‑10) |
36 | Texas State Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ||
| UL Monroe (4‑14) vs Troy (10‑6) |
5 | UL Monroe Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Troy Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. (9‑7) vs Old Dominion (6‑9) |
1 | Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (5‑12) vs Arkansas St. (12‑5) |
1 | LA Lafayette Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (8‑9) vs Georgia Southern (8‑9) |
1 | Coastal Carolina Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| South Alabama (12‑5) vs Southern Miss (8‑10) |
1 | South Alabama Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| James Madison (9‑8) vs Marshall (10‑8) |
0 | James Madison Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||