Where are the Texas State Bobcats going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Texas State standings table presents the probabilities of the Bobcats winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| Troy | 9i Troy Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Georgia Southern 83-78 Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs James Madison 64-73 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs App. St. 44-66 Won Wed, Feb 04 @ Georgia St. 74-63 Sat, Feb 07 vs Akron Wed, Feb 11 @ TX St. Sat, Feb 14 @ Southern Miss Wed, Feb 18 @ UL Monroe |
3 | 12 | 66% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Appalachian St.App. St. | 9 Appalachian St. Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 23 vs UL Monroe 59-43 Won Thu, Jan 29 @ Southern Miss 70-63 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Troy 66-44 Won Wed, Feb 04 vs South Alabama 65-57 Sat, Feb 07 vs Eastern Michigan Wed, Feb 11 @ Georgia Southern Sat, Feb 14 @ James Madison Thu, Feb 19 vs Marshall |
4 | 13 | 18% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Marshall | 7 Marshall Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 vs UL Monroe 115-60 Lost Wed, Jan 28 @ TX St. 68-72 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Arkansas St. 70-61 Won Wed, Feb 04 vs Southern Miss 81-77 Sat, Feb 07 vs Miami OH Wed, Feb 11 @ Old Dominion Sat, Feb 14 @ Georgia Southern Mon, Feb 16 vs South Alabama |
4 | 11 | 8% | 29% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| South Alabama | 7 South Alabama Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 @ James Madison 90-83 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Coast.Car. 53-48 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Georgia St. 69-67 Lost Wed, Feb 04 @ App. St. 57-65 Sat, Feb 07 vs Buffalo Thu, Feb 12 @ Southern Miss Sat, Feb 14 @ Arkansas St. Mon, Feb 16 @ Marshall |
4 | 11 | 7% | 13% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Coastal Carolina | 7 Coastal Carolina Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Southern Miss 85-67 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ South Alabama 48-53 Won Sun, Feb 01 @ UL Monroe 83-79 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs Arkansas St. 66-70 Sat, Feb 07 vs UMass Thu, Feb 12 @ LA Lafayette Wed, Feb 18 vs James Madison Sat, Feb 21 vs Marshall |
6 | 13 | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Texas State | 7 Texas State Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ James Madison 57-82 Won Wed, Jan 28 vs Marshall 72-68 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Old Dominion 81-64 Won Wed, Feb 04 @ Georgia Southern 77-71 Sat, Feb 07 vs Western Michigan Wed, Feb 11 vs Troy Sat, Feb 14 vs UL Monroe Thu, Feb 19 @ South Alabama |
6 | 13 | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| LA Lafayette | 6 LA Lafayette Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ App. St. 58-72 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Georgia St. 82-72 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Georgia Southern 69-60 Won Wed, Feb 04 @ James Madison 64-61 Sat, Feb 07 vs Central Michigan Thu, Feb 12 vs Coast.Car. Mon, Feb 16 @ Old Dominion Thu, Feb 19 vs Arkansas St. |
6 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 7% | <1% |
| Georgia St. | 6 Georgia St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Arkansas St. 82-81 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ LA Lafayette 72-82 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ South Alabama 67-69 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs Troy 63-74 Sat, Feb 07 vs Northern Illinois Thu, Feb 12 @ James Madison Sat, Feb 14 @ Old Dominion Thu, Feb 19 vs Georgia Southern |
6 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | <1% |
| Arkansas St. | 6 Arkansas St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Georgia St. 81-82 Lost Wed, Jan 28 vs Old Dominion 71-75 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Marshall 61-70 Won Wed, Feb 04 @ Coast.Car. 70-66 Sat, Feb 07 vs Bowling Green Wed, Feb 11 vs UL Monroe Sat, Feb 14 vs South Alabama Thu, Feb 19 @ LA Lafayette |
6 | 12 | <1% | 4% | 16% | 23% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Southern Miss | 6 Southern Miss Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Coast.Car. 67-85 Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs App. St. 63-70 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs James Madison 73-65 Lost Wed, Feb 04 @ Marshall 77-81 Sat, Feb 07 vs Kent State Thu, Feb 12 vs South Alabama Sat, Feb 14 vs Troy Sat, Feb 21 vs Old Dominion |
7 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 6% | <1% |
| Georgia Southern | 5 Georgia Southern Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs Arkansas St. 68-85 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Troy 78-83 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ LA Lafayette 60-69 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs TX St. 71-77 Wed, Feb 11 vs App. St. Sat, Feb 14 vs Marshall Thu, Feb 19 @ Georgia St. Sat, Feb 21 @ App. St. |
6 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 6% | <1% |
| James Madison | 4 James Madison Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 vs TX St. 82-57 Won Thu, Jan 29 @ Troy 73-64 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Southern Miss 65-73 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs LA Lafayette 61-64 Sat, Feb 07 vs Toledo Thu, Feb 12 vs Georgia St. Sat, Feb 14 vs App. St. Wed, Feb 18 @ Coast.Car. |
8 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 28% | 23% | <1% |
| Old Dominion | 4 Old Dominion Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 21 vs Troy 77-83 Won Wed, Jan 28 @ Arkansas St. 75-71 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ TX St. 64-81 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs UL Monroe 79-85 Sat, Feb 07 vs Ohio Wed, Feb 11 vs Marshall Sat, Feb 14 vs Georgia St. Mon, Feb 16 vs LA Lafayette |
8 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 49% | 1% |
| UL Monroe | 1 UL Monroe Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ Marshall 60-115 Lost Fri, Jan 23 @ App. St. 43-59 Lost Sun, Feb 01 vs Coast.Car. 79-83 Won Wed, Feb 04 @ Old Dominion 85-79 Sat, Feb 07 vs Ball State Wed, Feb 11 @ Arkansas St. Sat, Feb 14 @ TX St. Wed, Feb 18 vs Troy |
10 | 11 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 96% | ||
| (14)UL Monroe | 1 | 10 | 3% |
| (13)Old Dominion | 4 | 8 | 1% |
| (8)Georgia St. | 6 | 6 | <1% |
| (12)James Madison | 4 | 8 | <1% |
| (11)Georgia Southern | 5 | 6 | <1% |
| (10)Southern Miss | 6 | 7 | <1% |
| (7)LA Lafayette | 6 | 6 | <1% |
| (5)Coastal Carolina | 7 | 6 | <1% |
| (9)Arkansas St. | 6 | 6 | <1% |
| (3)Marshall | 7 | 4 | <1% |
| (4)South Alabama | 7 | 4 | <1% |
| (2)Appalachian St.App. St. | 9 | 4 | <1% |
| (1)Troy | 9 | 3 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Arkansas St. (14‑10) |
70‑89 | Home | Wed Dec 17, 8:30 pm |
| 7 | South Alabama (16‑7) |
67‑65 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 3:30 pm |
| 9 | Troy (16‑8) |
80‑100 | Away | Wed Dec 31, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | UL Monroe (4‑19) |
84‑79 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 3:30 pm |
| 10 | Southern Miss (12‑13) |
70‑80 (OT) | Away | Thu Jan 8, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Arkansas St. (14‑10) |
82‑83 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 3:00 pm |
| 11 | LA Lafayette (8‑16) |
59‑54 | Home | Wed Jan 14, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Southern Miss (12‑13) |
74‑67 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 4:30 pm |
| 12 | Coastal Carolina (14‑11) |
70‑72 | Away | Thu Jan 22, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | James Madison (11‑13) |
57‑82 | Away | Sat Jan 24, 4:00 pm |
| 13 | Marshall (15‑8) |
72‑68 | Home | Wed Jan 28, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Old Dominion (7‑17) |
81‑64 | Home | Sat Jan 31, 2:00 pm |
| 14 | Georgia Southern (13‑11) |
77‑71 | Away | Wed Feb 4, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Troy (16‑8) |
Home | Wed Feb 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | UL Monroe (4‑19) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, 3:00 pm | |
| 16 | South Alabama (16‑7) |
Away | Thu Feb 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | LA Lafayette (8‑16) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Appalachian St.App. St. (16‑9) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bowling Green (14‑9) |
MACMAC | 48‑83 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Texas A&M-San Antonio | ‑‑ | 114‑55 | Home | Wed Nov 5 |
| 1 | Tulane (13‑8) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 71‑79 | Away | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Texas-San Antonio (4‑17) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 80‑69 | Home | Wed Nov 12 |
| 2 | Texas Southern (6‑14) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 77‑67 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 5:00 pm |
| 3 | Abilene Christian (10‑11) |
WACWAC | 63‑49 | Home | Tue Nov 18, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | UALR (9‑14) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 65‑56 | Home | Fri Nov 21, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | Texas Lutheran | ‑‑ | 93‑41 | Home | Mon Nov 24, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Seattle (14‑9) |
West CoastWest Coast | 52‑66 | Away | Fri Nov 28, 2:00 pm |
| 4 | Lehigh (10‑13) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 74‑78 (OT) | Home | Sat Nov 29 |
| 5 | Rice (9‑13) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 72‑77 | Away | Wed Dec 3, 9:00 pm |
| 6 | Southern (9‑13) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 86‑83 | Home | Wed Dec 10, 8:30 pm |
| 14 | Western Michigan (8‑14) |
MACMAC | Home | Sat Feb 7, 3:00 pm |