Where are the Texas State Bobcats going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Texas State standings table presents the probabilities of the Bobcats winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| Troy | 6i Troy Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 07 @ Arkansas St. 74-86 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ LA Lafayette 90-70 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Southern Miss 91-65 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Arkansas St. 99-74 Wed, Jan 21 @ Old Dominion Sat, Jan 24 @ Georgia Southern Thu, Jan 29 vs James Madison Sat, Jan 31 vs App. St. |
1 | 7 | 67% | 18% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Georgia Southern | 5 Georgia Southern Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 @ Old Dominion 93-86 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ South Alabama 71-87 Won Thu, Jan 15 vs Old Dominion 87-84 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Coast.Car. 75-79 Thu, Jan 22 vs Arkansas St. Sat, Jan 24 vs Troy Thu, Jan 29 @ UL Monroe Sat, Jan 31 @ LA Lafayette |
2 | 7 | 8% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Southern Miss | 5 Southern Miss Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 08 vs TX St. 80-70 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs UL Monroe 70-60 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Troy 65-91 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ TX St. 67-74 Thu, Jan 22 @ Georgia St. Sat, Jan 24 @ Coast.Car. Thu, Jan 29 vs App. St. Sat, Jan 31 vs James Madison |
3 | 8 | 1% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| South Alabama | 4 South Alabama Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ Troy 49-59 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Georgia Southern 87-71 Won Thu, Jan 15 vs Arkansas St. 91-87 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs LA Lafayette 56-59 Thu, Jan 22 @ James Madison Sat, Jan 24 @ Marshall Thu, Jan 29 vs Coast.Car. Sat, Jan 31 vs Georgia St. |
3 | 7 | 4% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Georgia St. | 4 Georgia St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 @ Coast.Car. 89-71 Lost Thu, Jan 08 vs App. St. 50-52 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Marshall 81-73 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ UL Monroe 77-57 Thu, Jan 22 vs Southern Miss Sat, Jan 24 vs Arkansas St. Thu, Jan 29 @ LA Lafayette Sat, Jan 31 @ South Alabama |
3 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 10% | <1% |
| Marshall | 4 Marshall Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 07 @ James Madison 66-64 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Georgia St. 73-81 Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Coast.Car. 83-85 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs James Madison 77-72 Thu, Jan 22 vs UL Monroe Sat, Jan 24 vs South Alabama Wed, Jan 28 @ TX St. Sat, Jan 31 @ Arkansas St. |
3 | 7 | 4% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Arkansas St. | 4 Arkansas St. Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 07 vs Troy 86-74 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs TX St. 83-82 Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ South Alabama 87-91 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Troy 74-99 Thu, Jan 22 @ Georgia Southern Sat, Jan 24 @ Georgia St. Wed, Jan 28 vs Old Dominion Sat, Jan 31 vs Marshall |
3 | 7 | 12% | 26% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Coastal Carolina | 4 Coastal Carolina Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 08 vs Old Dominion 66-70 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs App. St. 67-62 Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Marshall 85-83 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Georgia Southern 79-75 Thu, Jan 22 vs TX St. Sat, Jan 24 vs Southern Miss Thu, Jan 29 @ South Alabama Sat, Jan 31 @ UL Monroe |
4 | 8 | 1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Appalachian St.App. St. | 4 Appalachian St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 08 @ Georgia St. 52-50 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Coast.Car. 62-67 Won Thu, Jan 15 vs James Madison 80-65 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Old Dominion 73-75 Thu, Jan 22 vs LA Lafayette Sat, Jan 24 vs UL Monroe Thu, Jan 29 @ Southern Miss Sat, Jan 31 @ Troy |
4 | 8 | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | <1% |
| Texas State | 4 Texas State Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ Southern Miss 70-80 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Arkansas St. 82-83 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs LA Lafayette 59-54 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Southern Miss 74-67 Thu, Jan 22 @ Coast.Car. Sat, Jan 24 @ James Madison Wed, Jan 28 vs Marshall Sat, Jan 31 vs Old Dominion |
4 | 8 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| LA Lafayette | 3 LA Lafayette Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 08 vs UL Monroe 85-79 Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Troy 70-90 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ TX St. 54-59 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ South Alabama 59-56 Thu, Jan 22 @ App. St. Sat, Jan 24 @ Old Dominion Thu, Jan 29 vs Georgia St. Sat, Jan 31 vs Georgia Southern |
5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 46% | <1% |
| Old Dominion | 3 Old Dominion Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 08 @ Coast.Car. 70-66 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ James Madison 69-70 Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ Georgia Southern 84-87 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ App. St. 75-73 Wed, Jan 21 vs Troy Sat, Jan 24 vs LA Lafayette Wed, Jan 28 @ Arkansas St. Sat, Jan 31 @ TX St. |
5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 19% | 1% |
| James Madison | 2 James Madison Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 07 vs Marshall 64-66 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Old Dominion 70-69 Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ App. St. 65-80 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Marshall 72-77 Thu, Jan 22 vs South Alabama Sat, Jan 24 vs TX St. Thu, Jan 29 @ Troy Sat, Jan 31 @ Southern Miss |
5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 14% | <1% |
| UL Monroe | 0 UL Monroe Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs TX St. 79-84 Lost Thu, Jan 08 @ LA Lafayette 79-85 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Southern Miss 60-70 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Georgia St. 57-77 Thu, Jan 22 @ Marshall Sat, Jan 24 @ App. St. Thu, Jan 29 vs Georgia Southern Sat, Jan 31 vs Coast.Car. |
7 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 81% | ||
| (14)UL Monroe | 0 | 7 | 9% |
| (11)LA Lafayette | 3 | 5 | 5% |
| (12)Old Dominion | 3 | 5 | 2% |
| (5)Georgia St. | 4 | 3 | 1% |
| (13)James Madison | 2 | 5 | 1% |
| (9)Appalachian St.App. St. | 4 | 4 | <1% |
| (3)Southern Miss | 5 | 3 | <1% |
| (8)Coastal Carolina | 4 | 4 | <1% |
| (4)South Alabama | 4 | 3 | <1% |
| (2)Georgia Southern | 5 | 2 | <1% |
| (7)Arkansas St. | 4 | 3 | <1% |
| (6)Marshall | 4 | 3 | <1% |
| (1)Troy | 6 | 1 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Arkansas St. (11‑7) |
70‑89 | Home | Wed Dec 17, 8:30 pm |
| 7 | South Alabama (13‑6) |
67‑65 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 3:30 pm |
| 9 | Troy (12‑6) |
80‑100 | Away | Wed Dec 31, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | UL Monroe (3‑16) |
84‑79 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 3:30 pm |
| 10 | Southern Miss (11‑9) |
70‑80 (OT) | Away | Thu Jan 8, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Arkansas St. (11‑7) |
82‑83 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 3:00 pm |
| 11 | LA Lafayette (5‑14) |
59‑54 | Home | Wed Jan 14, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Southern Miss (11‑9) |
74‑67 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 4:30 pm |
| 12 | Coastal Carolina (11‑9) |
Away | Thu Jan 22, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | James Madison (9‑10) |
Away | Sat Jan 24, 4:00 pm | |
| 13 | Marshall (12‑7) |
Home | Wed Jan 28, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Old Dominion (6‑14) |
Home | Sat Jan 31, 5:00 pm | |
| 14 | Georgia Southern (13‑7) |
Away | Wed Feb 4, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Troy (12‑6) |
Home | Wed Feb 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | UL Monroe (3‑16) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, 3:00 pm | |
| 16 | South Alabama (13‑6) |
Away | Thu Feb 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | LA Lafayette (5‑14) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Appalachian St.App. St. (11‑9) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bowling Green (12‑6) |
MACMAC | 48‑83 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Texas A&M-San Antonio | ‑‑ | 114‑55 | Home | Wed Nov 5 |
| 1 | Tulane (12‑5) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 71‑79 | Away | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Texas-San Antonio (4‑13) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 80‑69 | Home | Wed Nov 12 |
| 2 | Texas Southern (4‑12) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 77‑67 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 5:00 pm |
| 3 | Abilene Christian (10‑8) |
WACWAC | 63‑49 | Home | Tue Nov 18, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | UALR (9‑9) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 65‑56 | Home | Fri Nov 21, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | Texas Lutheran | ‑‑ | 93‑41 | Home | Mon Nov 24, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Seattle (13‑6) |
West CoastWest Coast | 52‑66 | Away | Fri Nov 28, 2:00 pm |
| 4 | Lehigh (7‑11) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 74‑78 (OT) | Home | Sat Nov 29 |
| 5 | Rice (8‑10) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 72‑77 | Away | Wed Dec 3, 9:00 pm |
| 6 | Southern (7‑11) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 86‑83 | Home | Wed Dec 10, 8:30 pm |