Where are the Texas State Bobcats going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Texas State standings table presents the probabilities of the Bobcats winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| Old Dominion | 4i Old Dominion Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs Arkansas St. 59-78 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Southern Miss 74-71 Won Thu, Jan 09 @ LA Lafayette 71-60 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ South Alabama 71-63 Thu, Jan 16 vs App.St. Sat, Jan 18 vs Georgia Southern Wed, Jan 22 vs James Madison Sat, Jan 25 vs Coast.Car. |
1 | 5 | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| South Alabama | 4 South Alabama Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 02 @ Georgia St. 77-51 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ Georgia Southern 76-47 Won Thu, Jan 09 vs Arkansas St. 76-62 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Old Dominion 63-71 Wed, Jan 15 vs Southern Miss Sat, Jan 18 vs Troy Thu, Jan 23 @ UL Monroe Sat, Jan 25 @ Troy |
1 | 5 | 31% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Arkansas St. | 3 Arkansas St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 02 @ Old Dominion 78-59 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ James Madison 62-67 Lost Thu, Jan 09 @ South Alabama 62-76 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ Troy 84-78 Thu, Jan 16 vs LA Lafayette Sat, Jan 18 vs Georgia St. Thu, Jan 23 vs App.St. Sat, Jan 25 vs TX St. |
2 | 5 | 35% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Southern Miss | 3 Southern Miss Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 02 @ James Madison 72-83 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Old Dominion 71-74 Won Thu, Jan 09 vs UL Monroe 84-67 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs TX St. 92-88 Wed, Jan 15 @ South Alabama Sat, Jan 18 @ TX St. Thu, Jan 23 @ Troy Sat, Jan 25 @ LA Lafayette |
2 | 5 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 1% |
| Troy | 3 Troy Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 02 @ App.St. 69-61 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ Marshall 58-57 Lost Thu, Jan 09 vs TX St. 73-74 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Arkansas St. 78-84 Wed, Jan 15 @ UL Monroe Sat, Jan 18 @ South Alabama Thu, Jan 23 vs Southern Miss Sat, Jan 25 vs South Alabama |
2 | 5 | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| LA Lafayette | 3 LA Lafayette Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 02 @ Coast.Car. 71-68 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Georgia St. 70-94 Lost Thu, Jan 09 vs Old Dominion 60-71 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs UL Monroe 71-68 Thu, Jan 16 @ Arkansas St. Sat, Jan 18 @ UL Monroe Wed, Jan 22 vs TX St. Sat, Jan 25 vs Southern Miss |
2 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 23% | 15% | 2% |
| Georgia St. | 3 Georgia St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs South Alabama 51-77 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs LA Lafayette 94-70 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs Georgia Southern 82-78 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Coast.Car. 79-74 Wed, Jan 15 @ TX St. Sat, Jan 18 @ Arkansas St. Thu, Jan 23 vs Marshall Sat, Jan 25 vs James Madison |
2 | 5 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Appalachian St.App.St. | 3 Appalachian St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs Troy 61-69 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs TX St. 72-61 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs Coast.Car. 74-51 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs James Madison 86-66 Thu, Jan 16 @ Old Dominion Sat, Jan 18 @ James Madison Thu, Jan 23 @ Arkansas St. Sat, Jan 25 @ UL Monroe |
2 | 5 | 6% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Marshall | 3 Marshall Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 02 vs TX St. 77-71 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Troy 57-58 Won Thu, Jan 09 vs James Madison 80-78 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Georgia Southern 81-69 Thu, Jan 16 @ James Madison Sat, Jan 18 @ Coast.Car. Thu, Jan 23 @ Georgia St. Sat, Jan 25 @ Georgia Southern |
2 | 5 | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | <1% |
| James Madison | 2 James Madison Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 02 vs Southern Miss 83-72 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Arkansas St. 67-62 Lost Thu, Jan 09 @ Marshall 78-80 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ App.St. 66-86 Thu, Jan 16 vs Marshall Sat, Jan 18 vs App.St. Wed, Jan 22 @ Old Dominion Sat, Jan 25 @ Georgia St. |
3 | 5 | 4% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Texas State | 2 Texas State Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 02 @ Marshall 71-77 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ App.St. 61-72 Won Thu, Jan 09 @ Troy 74-73 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Southern Miss 88-92 Wed, Jan 15 vs Georgia St. Sat, Jan 18 vs Southern Miss Wed, Jan 22 @ LA Lafayette Sat, Jan 25 @ Arkansas St. |
3 | 5 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | <1% |
| Georgia Southern | 1 Georgia Southern Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 02 vs UL Monroe 90-82 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs South Alabama 47-76 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ Georgia St. 78-82 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Marshall 69-81 Thu, Jan 16 @ Coast.Car. Sat, Jan 18 @ Old Dominion Wed, Jan 22 vs Coast.Car. Sat, Jan 25 vs Marshall |
4 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 1% |
| Coastal Carolina | 1 Coastal Carolina Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs LA Lafayette 68-71 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs UL Monroe 70-51 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ App.St. 51-74 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Georgia St. 74-79 Thu, Jan 16 vs Georgia Southern Sat, Jan 18 vs Marshall Wed, Jan 22 @ Georgia Southern Sat, Jan 25 @ Old Dominion |
4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 37% | 5% |
| UL Monroe | 0 UL Monroe Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 02 @ Georgia Southern 82-90 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Coast.Car. 51-70 Lost Thu, Jan 09 @ Southern Miss 67-84 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ LA Lafayette 68-71 Wed, Jan 15 vs Troy Sat, Jan 18 vs LA Lafayette Thu, Jan 23 vs South Alabama Sat, Jan 25 vs App.St. |
5 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 89% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 82% | ||
| (14)UL Monroe | 0 | 5 | 8% |
| (13)Coastal Carolina | 1 | 4 | 4% |
| (12)Georgia Southern | 1 | 4 | 2% |
| (6)LA Lafayette | 3 | 2 | 1% |
| (4)Southern Miss | 3 | 2 | 1% |
| (7)Georgia St. | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (9)Marshall | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (1)Old Dominion | 4 | 1 | <1% |
| (10)James Madison | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (8)Appalachian St.App.St. | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (5)Troy | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| (2)South Alabama | 4 | 1 | <1% |
| (3)Arkansas St. | 3 | 2 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Georgia Southern (8‑9) |
83‑61 | Home | Sat Dec 21, 3:30 pm |
| 9 | Marshall (10‑8) |
71‑77 | Away | Thu Jan 2, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Appalachian St.App.St. (9‑7) |
61‑72 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 1:00 pm |
| 10 | Troy (10‑6) |
74‑73 | Away | Thu Jan 9, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Southern Miss (8‑10) |
88‑92 (OT) | Away | Sat Jan 11, 3:00 pm |
| 11 | Georgia St. (7‑10) |
Home | Wed Jan 15, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Southern Miss (8‑10) |
Home | Sat Jan 18, 5:00 pm | |
| 12 | LA Lafayette (5‑12) |
Away | Wed Jan 22, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Arkansas St. (12‑5) |
Away | Sat Jan 25, 3:00 pm | |
| 13 | LA Lafayette (5‑12) |
Home | Thu Jan 30, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Arkansas St. (12‑5) |
Home | Sat Feb 1, 5:00 pm | |
| 14 | Old Dominion (6‑9) |
Away | Wed Feb 5, TBD | |
| 15 | UL Monroe (4‑14) |
Away | Thu Feb 13, 7:30 pm | |
| 15 | South Alabama (12‑5) |
Away | Sat Feb 15, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | UL Monroe (4‑14) |
Home | Wed Feb 19, 8:30 pm | |
| 16 | South Alabama (12‑5) |
Home | Sat Feb 22, 5:30 pm | |
| 17 | Troy (10‑6) |
Home | Tue Feb 25, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | James Madison (9‑8) |
Home | Fri Feb 28, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Michigan (7‑9) |
MACMAC | 64‑44 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 8:00 pm |
| 1 | McMurry | ‑‑ | 102‑62 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | TCU (9‑6) |
Big 12Big 12 | 71‑76 | Away | Tue Nov 12, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | Abilene Christian (8‑9) |
WACWAC | 60‑72 | Away | Sat Nov 16, 3:30 pm |
| 3 | Bradley (14‑3) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 68‑82 | Home | Thu Nov 21, 5:30 pm |
| 3 | Princeton (11‑4) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 83‑80 | Away | Fri Nov 22, 7:30 pm |
| 3 | Ohio (9‑6) |
MACMAC | 74‑65 | Home | Sun Nov 24, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | Texas Southern (4‑11) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 72‑59 | Away | Sun Dec 1, 5:00 pm |
| 5 | Arlington Baptist | ‑‑ | 97‑49 | Home | Wed Dec 4, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Rice (11‑6) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 75‑66 | Home | Sun Dec 8, 3:00 pm |
| 6 | Florida Atlantic (9‑7) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 80‑89 | Away | Sat Dec 14, 2:00 pm |
| 8 | UT Arlington (7‑10) |
WACWAC | 72‑80 | Home | Sun Dec 29, 5:00 pm |
| 14 | TBD | ‑‑ | Away | Sat Feb 8, TBD |