Where are the Texas State Bobcats going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Texas State standings table presents the probabilities of the Bobcats winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| South Alabama | 11i South Alabama Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Akron 67-80 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs Marshall 91-82 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs TX St. 70-65 Won Wed, Feb 19 @ Arkansas St. 60-56 Sat, Feb 22 @ TX St. Wed, Feb 26 @ Southern Miss Fri, Feb 28 vs LA Lafayette |
4 | 15 | 55% | 22% | 12% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| James Madison | 10 James Madison Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 05 vs Troy 64-61 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Toledo 69-72 Won Thu, Feb 13 @ Georgia Southern 77-72 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ Coast.Car. 74-73 Thu, Feb 20 vs Georgia St. Sat, Feb 22 vs Georgia Southern Tue, Feb 25 @ UL Monroe Fri, Feb 28 @ TX St. |
4 | 14 | 25% | 33% | 17% | 12% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Troy | 10 Troy Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 05 @ James Madison 61-64 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Miami OH 62-69 Won Wed, Feb 12 @ LA Lafayette 74-56 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ Arkansas St. 71-70 Thu, Feb 20 vs LA Lafayette Sat, Feb 22 vs Coast.Car. Tue, Feb 25 @ TX St. Fri, Feb 28 @ Southern Miss |
4 | 14 | 18% | 33% | 32% | 12% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Arkansas St. | 10 Arkansas St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Kent State 75-76 Won Wed, Feb 12 vs Southern Miss 101-67 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Troy 70-71 Lost Wed, Feb 19 vs South Alabama 56-60 Sat, Feb 22 vs UL Monroe Wed, Feb 26 @ LA Lafayette Fri, Feb 28 @ UL Monroe |
5 | 15 | 1% | 9% | 30% | 49% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Appalachian St.App.St. | 9 Appalachian St. Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 05 vs Southern Miss 60-58 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Ohio 72-59 Won Thu, Feb 13 @ Coast.Car. 64-46 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Georgia St. 65-70 Thu, Feb 20 vs Georgia Southern Sat, Feb 22 vs Marshall Tue, Feb 25 @ Georgia Southern Fri, Feb 28 @ Marshall |
5 | 14 | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 46% | 20% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Marshall | 8 Marshall Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Coast.Car. 67-62 Won Wed, Feb 05 vs Arkansas St. 77-72 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ South Alabama 82-91 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ LA Lafayette 68-79 Thu, Feb 20 @ Old Dominion Sat, Feb 22 @ App.St. Tue, Feb 25 vs Old Dominion Fri, Feb 28 vs App.St. |
6 | 14 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 22% | 45% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Georgia St. | 7 Georgia St. Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 05 vs UL Monroe 97-64 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Buffalo 80-75 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs Old Dominion 97-75 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs App.St. 70-65 Thu, Feb 20 @ James Madison Sat, Feb 22 @ Old Dominion Wed, Feb 26 @ Coast.Car. Fri, Feb 28 @ Georgia Southern |
7 | 14 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 31% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Old Dominion | 7 Old Dominion Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 05 vs TX St. 75-64 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Eastern Michigan 70-76 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ Georgia St. 75-97 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Georgia Southern 75-78 Thu, Feb 20 vs Marshall Sat, Feb 22 vs Georgia St. Tue, Feb 25 @ Marshall Fri, Feb 28 @ Coast.Car. |
7 | 14 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Texas State | 7 Texas State Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Central Michigan 70-85 Won Thu, Feb 13 @ UL Monroe 72-60 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ South Alabama 65-70 Won Wed, Feb 19 vs UL Monroe 80-63 Sat, Feb 22 vs South Alabama Tue, Feb 25 vs Troy Fri, Feb 28 vs James Madison |
8 | 15 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 26% | 31% | 19% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Georgia Southern | 6 Georgia Southern Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 05 vs LA Lafayette 83-82 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Western Michigan 83-57 Lost Thu, Feb 13 vs James Madison 72-77 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Old Dominion 78-75 Thu, Feb 20 @ App.St. Sat, Feb 22 @ James Madison Tue, Feb 25 vs App.St. Fri, Feb 28 vs Georgia St. |
8 | 14 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 20% | 29% | 12% | ^ | ^ |
| LA Lafayette | 6 LA Lafayette Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 05 @ Georgia Southern 82-83 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Northern Illinois 66-64 Lost Wed, Feb 12 vs Troy 56-74 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Marshall 79-68 Thu, Feb 20 @ Troy Sat, Feb 22 @ Southern Miss Wed, Feb 26 vs Arkansas St. Fri, Feb 28 @ South Alabama |
8 | 14 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 26% | 53% | ^ | ^ |
| Southern Miss | 5 Southern Miss Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 05 @ App.St. 58-60 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Ball State 76-77 Lost Wed, Feb 12 @ Arkansas St. 67-101 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ UL Monroe 74-81 Thu, Feb 20 vs Coast.Car. Sat, Feb 22 vs LA Lafayette Wed, Feb 26 vs South Alabama Fri, Feb 28 vs Troy |
9 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 23% | 27% | 33% | 1% | <1% |
| UL Monroe | 3 UL Monroe Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 05 @ Georgia St. 64-97 Lost Thu, Feb 13 vs TX St. 60-72 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Southern Miss 81-74 Lost Wed, Feb 19 @ TX St. 63-80 Sat, Feb 22 @ Arkansas St. Tue, Feb 25 vs James Madison Fri, Feb 28 vs Arkansas St. |
12 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 71% | 28% |
| Coastal Carolina | 1 Coastal Carolina Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 05 vs South Alabama 59-84 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Bowling Green 53-67 Lost Thu, Feb 13 vs App.St. 46-64 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs James Madison 73-74 Thu, Feb 20 @ Southern Miss Sat, Feb 22 @ Troy Wed, Feb 26 vs Georgia St. Fri, Feb 28 vs Old Dominion |
13 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 28% | 72% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 91% | ||
| (14)Coastal Carolina | 1 | 13 | 6% |
| (13)UL Monroe | 3 | 12 | 3% |
| (12)Southern Miss | 5 | 9 | <1% |
| (1)South Alabama | 11 | 4 | X |
| (2)James Madison | 10 | 4 | X |
| (3)Troy | 10 | 4 | X |
| (4)Arkansas St. | 10 | 5 | X |
| (5)Appalachian St.App.St. | 9 | 5 | X |
| (6)Marshall | 8 | 6 | X |
| (7)Georgia St. | 7 | 7 | X |
| (8)Old Dominion | 7 | 7 | X |
| (10)Georgia Southern | 6 | 8 | X |
| (11)LA Lafayette | 6 | 8 | X |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Georgia Southern (14‑13) |
83‑61 | Home | Sat Dec 21, 3:30 pm |
| 9 | Marshall (15‑12) |
71‑77 | Away | Thu Jan 2, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Appalachian St.App.St. (16‑10) |
61‑72 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 1:00 pm |
| 10 | Troy (17‑9) |
74‑73 | Away | Thu Jan 9, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Southern Miss (10‑18) |
88‑92 (OT) | Away | Sat Jan 11, 3:00 pm |
| 11 | Georgia St. (12‑15) |
94‑80 | Home | Wed Jan 15, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Southern Miss (10‑18) |
85‑82 (OT) | Home | Sat Jan 18, 5:00 pm |
| 12 | LA Lafayette (9‑18) |
89‑74 | Away | Thu Jan 23, 4:00 pm |
| 12 | Arkansas St. (19‑9) |
65‑80 | Away | Sat Jan 25, 3:00 pm |
| 13 | LA Lafayette (9‑18) |
61‑70 | Home | Thu Jan 30, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Arkansas St. (19‑9) |
74‑85 | Home | Sat Feb 1, 5:00 pm |
| 14 | Old Dominion (9‑16) |
64‑75 | Away | Wed Feb 5, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | UL Monroe (7‑21) |
72‑60 | Away | Thu Feb 13, 7:30 pm |
| 15 | South Alabama (19‑9) |
65‑70 (OT) | Away | Sat Feb 15, 4:00 pm |
| 16 | UL Monroe (7‑21) |
80‑63 | Home | Wed Feb 19, 8:30 pm |
| 16 | South Alabama (19‑9) |
Home | Sat Feb 22, 5:30 pm | |
| 17 | Troy (17‑9) |
Home | Tue Feb 25, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | James Madison (17‑10) |
Home | Fri Feb 28, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Michigan (13‑13) |
MACMAC | 64‑44 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 8:00 pm |
| 1 | McMurry | ‑‑ | 102‑62 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | TCU (15‑11) |
Big 12Big 12 | 71‑76 | Away | Tue Nov 12, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | Abilene Christian (12‑13) |
WACWAC | 60‑72 | Away | Sat Nov 16, 3:30 pm |
| 3 | Bradley (21‑7) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 68‑82 | Home | Thu Nov 21, 5:30 pm |
| 3 | Princeton (15‑8) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 83‑80 | Away | Fri Nov 22, 7:30 pm |
| 3 | Ohio (14‑12) |
MACMAC | 74‑65 | Home | Sun Nov 24, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | Texas Southern (11‑15) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 72‑59 | Away | Sun Dec 1, 5:00 pm |
| 5 | Arlington Baptist | ‑‑ | 97‑49 | Home | Wed Dec 4, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Rice (12‑15) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 75‑66 | Home | Sun Dec 8, 3:00 pm |
| 6 | Florida Atlantic (15‑10) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 80‑89 | Away | Sat Dec 14, 2:00 pm |
| 8 | UT Arlington (12‑14) |
WACWAC | 72‑80 | Home | Sun Dec 29, 5:00 pm |
| 14 | Central Michigan (11‑15) |
MACMAC | 70‑85 | Away | Sat Feb 8, 5:00 pm |