The Arkansas St. Red Wolves What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Arkansas St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 1 | 10% | 19% | 25% | 24% | 16% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 1 | 9% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 1% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 2 | 4% | 11% | 20% | 25% | 24% | 13% | 2% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 11% | 16% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 10% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 9% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 8% | 16% | 23% | 24% | 19% | 9% | 1% |
|
Best Case Scenario UL Lafayette beats Southern Miss |
Worst Case Scenario Southern Miss beats UL Lafayette |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 6 | 2 | 37% | 52% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 5 | 3 | 3% | 32% | 48% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 3% | 26% | 49% | 21% | 2% | <1% |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 3 | 5 | X | <1% | 2% | 23% | 52% | 22% | 1% |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | 2% | 30% | 56% | 13% |