Are the Arkansas St. Red Wolves going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Arkansas St. playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Red Wolves will win the division and play in the Conference Championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Southern Miss | 3i Southern Miss Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Louisiana Tech 20-30 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Jacksonville St. 42-25 Won Thu, Oct 09 @ Ga. Southern 38-35 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ UL Lafayette 22-10 Sat, Oct 25 vs LA Monroe Sat, Nov 08 @ Arkansas St. Sat, Nov 15 vs Texas St. Sat, Nov 22 @ South Alabama |
0 | 3 | 48% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Troy | 3 Troy Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Buffalo 21-17 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs South Alabama 31-24 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Texas St. 48-41 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ LA Monroe 37-14 Sat, Oct 25 vs UL Lafayette Sat, Nov 01 vs Arkansas St. Thu, Nov 13 @ Old Dominion Sat, Nov 22 vs Georgia St. |
0 | 3 | 43% | 38% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Arkansas St. | 2 Arkansas St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Kennesaw St. 21-28 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ LA Monroe 16-28 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Texas St. 31-30 Won Tue, Oct 14 @ South Alabama 15-14 Sat, Oct 25 vs Ga. Southern Sat, Nov 01 @ Troy Sat, Nov 08 vs Southern Miss Thu, Nov 20 vs UL Lafayette |
1 | 3 | 7% | 15% | 25% | 27% | 18% | 7% | 1% |
| LA Monroe | 1 LA Monroe Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Arkansas St. 28-16 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ N. Western 7-42 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ C. Carolina 8-23 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Troy 14-37 Sat, Oct 25 @ Southern Miss Sat, Nov 01 vs Old Dominion Sat, Nov 15 vs South Alabama Sat, Nov 22 @ Texas St. |
2 | 3 | 1% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 10% |
| UL Lafayette | 1 UL Lafayette Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ E. Michigan 31-34 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Marshall 54-51 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ James Madison 14-24 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Southern Miss 10-22 Sat, Oct 25 @ Troy Sat, Nov 01 @ South Alabama Sat, Nov 08 vs Texas St. Thu, Nov 20 @ Arkansas St. |
2 | 3 | <1% | 5% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 22% | 20% |
| Texas St. | 0 Texas St. Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Nicholls 35-3 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Arkansas St. 30-31 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs Troy 41-48 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Marshall 37-40 Tue, Oct 28 vs James Madison Sat, Nov 08 @ UL Lafayette Sat, Nov 15 @ Southern Miss Sat, Nov 22 vs LA Monroe |
3 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 15% | 23% | 28% | 25% |
| South Alabama | 0 South Alabama Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs C. Carolina 20-38 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ North Texas 22-36 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Troy 24-31 Lost Tue, Oct 14 vs Arkansas St. 14-15 Thu, Oct 23 @ Georgia St. Sat, Nov 01 vs UL Lafayette Sat, Nov 15 @ LA Monroe Sat, Nov 22 vs Southern Miss |
3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 28% | 44% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)James Madison | 4 | 0 | 5% |
| (2)Coastal Carolina | 3 | 1 | 2% |
| (3)Marshall | 2 | 1 | 1% |
| (5)Old Dominion | 1 | 2 | <1% |
| (4)Appalachian St.App. St. | 1 | 2 | <1% |
| (6)Ga. Southern | 1 | 2 | <1% |
| (7)Georgia St. | 0 | 3 | <1% |
| Elimination | 93% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | LA Monroe (3‑4) |
16‑28 | Away | Sat Sep 27, 3:00 pm |
| 6 | Texas St. (3‑4) |
31‑30 | Home | Sat Oct 4, 4:00 pm |
| 8 | South Alabama (1‑6) |
15‑14 | Away | Tue Oct 14, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Ga. Southern (3‑4) |
Home | Sat Oct 25, 7:00 pm | |
| 10 | Troy (5‑2) |
Away | Sat Nov 1, TBD | |
| 11 | Southern Miss (5‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 8, TBD | |
| 13 | UL Lafayette (2‑5) |
Home | Thu Nov 20, 7:30 pm | |
| 14 | Appalachian St.App. St. (4‑3) |
Away | Sat Nov 29, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southeast Missouri State | ‑‑ | 42‑24 | Home | Sat Aug 30, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Arkansas (2‑5) |
SECSEC | 14‑56 | Away | Sat Sep 6, 5:00 pm |
| 3 | Iowa St. (5‑2) |
Big 12Big 12 | 16‑24 | Home | Sat Sep 13, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | Kennesaw St. (4‑2) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 21‑28 | Away | Sat Sep 20, 6:00 pm |