The Most Important Games for the Arkansas St. Red Wolves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Wolves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arkansas St. Red Wolves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Arkansas St. Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Arkansas St. (4‑4) vs Troy (6‑2) |
25 | Arkansas St. Wins | 26% | 36% | 24% | 12% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 22% | 35% | 20% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Troy Wins | 1% | 17% | 45% | 25% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Texas St. (3‑4) vs James Madison (6‑1) |
1 | Texas St. Wins | 11% | 23% | 34% | 20% | 9% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 22% | 35% | 20% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| James Madison Wins | 10% | 24% | 36% | 20% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama (2‑6) vs UL Lafayette (2‑6) |
0 | South Alabama Wins | 11% | 23% | 38% | 20% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 22% | 35% | 20% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| UL Lafayette Wins | 10% | 22% | 35% | 21% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (5‑3) vs LA Monroe (3‑5) |
0 | Old Dominion Wins | 11% | 23% | 41% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 22% | 35% | 20% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| LA Monroe Wins | 10% | 21% | 30% | 24% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||