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Sat Nov 7 10:45 pm

Sunbelt Football - Week 11 of 13

Marshall Thundering Herd Playoff Picture

Are the Marshall Thundering Herd going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Marshall playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Thundering Herd will win the division and play in the Conference Championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

East Division Playoff Standings
Record Rcrd Divisional Winner No Playoffs
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
8 game season
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
James Madison 5i
James Madison Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 17 vs Georgia St.    49-22
Lost Thu, Oct 22 @  App. St.       31-34
Lost Thu, Oct 29 vs Troy           21-24
Won  Thu, Nov 05 @  Southern Miss  54-23
     Sat, Nov 14 @  UConn          
     Sat, Nov 28 vs C. Carolina    

2 7 75% 21% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
 
Ga. Southern 4
Ga. Southern Recent Games

Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs James Madison  24-27
Won  Thu, Oct 15 @  Old Dominion   23-15
Won  Sat, Oct 31 vs App. St.       19-3 
Won  Sat, Nov 07 vs Marshall       49-13
     Sat, Nov 14 @  Georgia St.    
     Sat, Nov 21 @  Troy           
     Sat, Nov 28 vs Louisiana Tech 

1 5 24% 59% 14% 4% <1% <1% ^
Coastal Carolina 2
Coastal Carolina Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 10 @  Marshall       27-21
Lost Fri, Oct 16 vs App. St.       32-35
Won  Sat, Oct 31 @  Georgia St.    31-20
Lost Sat, Nov 07 vs Old Dominion    8-21
     Sat, Nov 14 vs Arkansas St.   
     Sat, Nov 21 @  UL Lafayette   
     Sat, Nov 28 @  James Madison  

3 5 1% 2% 6% 17% 18% 21% 36%
Georgia St. 2
Georgia St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Oct 17 @  James Madison  22-49
Lost Sat, Oct 24 @  Arkansas St.   32-38
Lost Sat, Oct 31 vs C. Carolina    20-31
Won  Sat, Nov 07 @  App. St.       39-23
     Sat, Nov 14 vs Ga. Southern   
     Sat, Nov 21 @  Marshall       
     Sat, Nov 28 vs UL Lafayette   

3 5 <1% 11% 17% 22% 20% 17% 14%
Appalachian St.App. St. 2
Appalachian St. Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 16 @  C. Carolina    35-32
Won  Thu, Oct 22 vs James Madison  34-31
Lost Sat, Oct 31 @  Ga. Southern    3-19
Lost Sat, Nov 07 vs Georgia St.    23-39
     Sat, Nov 14 @  Marshall       
     Sat, Nov 21 vs LA Monroe      
     Fri, Nov 27 @  South Alabama  

3 5 1% 4% 26% 24% 17% 18% 11%
Marshall 2
Marshall Recent Games

Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs C. Carolina    21-27
Won  Tue, Oct 20 vs South Alabama  20-13
Won  Sat, Oct 31 @  Old Dominion   36-23
Lost Sat, Nov 07 @  Ga. Southern   13-49
     Sat, Nov 14 vs App. St.       
     Sat, Nov 21 vs Georgia St.    
     Sat, Nov 28 @  LA Monroe      

3 5 X 4% 35% 27% 17% 11% 6%
Old Dominion 2
Old Dominion Recent Games

Lost Thu, Oct 15 vs Ga. Southern   15-23
Lost Sat, Oct 24 @  Louisiana Tech  0-26
Lost Sat, Oct 31 vs Marshall       23-36
Won  Sat, Nov 07 @  C. Carolina    21-8 
     Sat, Nov 21 @  UConn          
     Sat, Nov 28 vs Southern Miss  

5 7 X X <1% 6% 27% 33% 34%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method


(6) Thundering Herd 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L



Thundering Herd Conference Schedule
Current Week 11
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
5 James Madison
(8‑2)
17‑45 Away Sat Oct 3, 3:45 pm
6 Coastal Carolina
(3‑6)
21‑27 Home Sat Oct 10, 7:00 pm
8 South Alabama
(4‑5)
20‑13 Home Tue Oct 20, 7:30 pm
9 Old Dominion
(3‑7)
36‑23 Away Sat Oct 31, 1:00 pm
10 Ga. Southern
(5‑4)
13‑49 Away Sat Nov 7, 3:30 pm
11 Appalachian St.App. St.
(5‑4)
  Home Sat Nov 14, 6:00 pm
12 Georgia St.
(5‑4)
  Home Sat Nov 21, TBD
13 LA Monroe
(2‑7)
  Away Sat Nov 28, TBD


Thundering Herd Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Penn St.
(5‑4)
Big 10Big 10 0‑45 Away Sat Sep 5, 3:30 pm
2 Middle Tenn. St.
(5‑4)
Conference USAConf. USA 28‑26 Home Sat Sep 12, 7:00 pm
3 Missouri St.
(3‑6)
Conference USAConf. USA 30‑24 Away Sat Sep 19, 6:30 pm
4 Gardner-Webb ‑‑ 36‑35 Home Sat Sep 26, 3:30 pm