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Tue Oct 20 11:45 pm

Sunbelt Football - Week 8 of 13

Marshall Thundering Herd Playoff Picture

Are the Marshall Thundering Herd going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Marshall playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Thundering Herd will win the division and play in the Conference Championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

East Division Playoff Standings
Record Rcrd Divisional Winner No Playoffs
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
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Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
8 game season
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
James Madison 4i
James Madison Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 26 @  Old Dominion   46-20
Won  Sat, Oct 03 vs Marshall       45-17
Won  Sat, Oct 10 @  Ga. Southern   27-24
Won  Sat, Oct 17 vs Georgia St.    49-22
     Thu, Oct 22 @  App. St.       
     Thu, Oct 29 vs Troy           
     Thu, Nov 05 @  Southern Miss  
     Sat, Nov 14 @  UConn          

0 4 93% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
 
Ga. Southern 2
Ga. Southern Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Houston        28-42
Won  Sat, Oct 03 @  C. Carolina    31-24
Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs James Madison  24-27
Won  Thu, Oct 15 @  Old Dominion   23-15
     Sat, Oct 31 vs App. St.       
     Sat, Nov 07 vs Marshall       
     Sat, Nov 14 @  Georgia St.    
     Sat, Nov 21 @  Troy           

1 3 1% 27% 25% 21% 15% 10% 2%
Appalachian St.App. St. 1
Appalachian St. Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 19 vs Charlotte      26-21
Lost Sat, Sep 26 @  N.C. State     31-41
Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs Old Dominion    3-10
Won  Fri, Oct 16 @  C. Carolina    35-32
     Thu, Oct 22 vs James Madison  
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Ga. Southern   
     Sat, Nov 07 vs Georgia St.    
     Sat, Nov 14 @  Marshall       

1 2 5% 16% 19% 18% 16% 16% 9%
Georgia St. 1
Georgia St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  UCF            30-44
Won  Sat, Sep 26 vs Northern Illinois 35-14
Won  Sat, Oct 03 vs Old Dominion   42-10
Lost Sat, Oct 17 @  James Madison  22-49
     Sat, Oct 24 @  Arkansas St.   
     Sat, Oct 31 vs C. Carolina    
     Sat, Nov 07 @  App. St.       
     Sat, Nov 14 vs Ga. Southern   

1 2 1% 28% 23% 18% 14% 11% 6%
Coastal Carolina 1
Coastal Carolina Recent Games

Lost Thu, Sep 24 vs Liberty        17-34
Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs Ga. Southern   24-31
Won  Sat, Oct 10 @  Marshall       27-21
Lost Fri, Oct 16 vs App. St.       32-35
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Georgia St.    
     Sat, Nov 07 vs Old Dominion   
     Sat, Nov 14 vs Arkansas St.   
     Sat, Nov 21 @  UL Lafayette   

2 3 <1% 1% 4% 11% 18% 26% 39%
Marshall 1
Marshall Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 26 vs Gardner-Webb   36-35
Lost Sat, Oct 03 @  James Madison  17-45
Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs C. Carolina    21-27
Won  Tue, Oct 20 vs South Alabama  20-13
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Old Dominion   
     Sat, Nov 07 @  Ga. Southern   
     Sat, Nov 14 vs App. St.       
     Sat, Nov 21 vs Georgia St.    

2 3 <1% 20% 20% 18% 16% 14% 13%
Old Dominion 1
Old Dominion Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs James Madison  20-46
Lost Sat, Oct 03 @  Georgia St.    10-42
Won  Sat, Oct 10 @  App. St.       10-3 
Lost Thu, Oct 15 vs Ga. Southern   15-23
     Sat, Oct 24 @  Louisiana Tech 
     Sat, Oct 31 vs Marshall       
     Sat, Nov 07 @  C. Carolina    
     Sat, Nov 21 @  UConn          

3 4 <1% 1% 7% 15% 21% 23% 32%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method


(6) Thundering Herd 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
(1)Louisiana Tech 2 0 <1%
(2)UL Lafayette 2 1 <1%
(3)South Alabama 2 1 <1%
(4)Troy 1 1 <1%
(5)Arkansas St. 1 2 <1%
(6)Southern Miss 0 2 <1%
(7)LA Monroe 0 2 <1%



Thundering Herd Conference Schedule
Current Week 9
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
5 James Madison
(7‑0)
17‑45 Away Sat Oct 3, 3:45 pm
6 Coastal Carolina
(2‑5)
21‑27 Home Sat Oct 10, 7:00 pm
8 South Alabama
(4‑3)
20‑13 Home Tue Oct 20, 7:30 pm
9 Old Dominion
(2‑5)
  Away Sat Oct 31, 1:00 pm
10 Ga. Southern
(3‑4)
  Away Sat Nov 7, TBD
11 Appalachian St.App. St.
(4‑2)
  Home Sat Nov 14, TBD
12 Georgia St.
(4‑2)
  Home Sat Nov 21, TBD
13 LA Monroe
(0‑6)
  Away Sat Nov 28, TBD


Thundering Herd Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Penn St.
(3‑4)
Big 10Big 10 0‑45 Away Sat Sep 5, 3:30 pm
2 Middle Tenn. St.
(4‑3)
Conference USAConf. USA 28‑26 Home Sat Sep 12, 7:00 pm
3 Missouri St.
(2‑5)
Conference USAConf. USA 30‑24 Away Sat Sep 19, 6:30 pm
4 Gardner-Webb ‑‑ 36‑35 Home Sat Sep 26, 3:30 pm