The Most Important Games for the Marshall Thundering Herd are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thundering Herd final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marshall Thundering Herd fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marshall Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Marshall (4‑4) vs James Madison (7‑1) |
2 | Marshall Wins | 2% | 19% | 24% | 29% | 19% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 9% | 17% | 31% | 25% | 13% | 4% | ||
| James Madison Wins | X | 2% | 16% | 34% | 29% | 15% | 5% | ||
| Georgia St. (1‑7) vs Coastal Carolina (5‑3) |
2 | Georgia St. Wins | 2% | 13% | 13% | 28% | 24% | 10% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 9% | 17% | 31% | 25% | 13% | 4% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 1% | 8% | 18% | 31% | 25% | 14% | 3% | ||
| Ga. Southern (3‑5) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (4‑4) |
0 | Ga. Southern Wins | 1% | 9% | 17% | 35% | 19% | 15% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 9% | 17% | 31% | 25% | 13% | 4% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 1% | 8% | 17% | 30% | 25% | 14% | 4% | ||