The Most Important Games for the Marshall Thundering Herd are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thundering Herd final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marshall Thundering Herd fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marshall Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Coastal Carolina (3‑6) vs Arkansas St. (4‑5) |
0 | Coastal Carolina Wins | X | 4% | 32% | 22% | 18% | 17% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | X | 4% | 35% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | X | 4% | 37% | 32% | 15% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Georgia St. (5‑4) vs Ga. Southern (5‑4) |
0 | Georgia St. Wins | X | 7% | 29% | 28% | 18% | 11% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | X | 4% | 35% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Ga. Southern Wins | X | X | 41% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Marshall (5‑4) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (5‑4) |
0 | Marshall Wins | X | 6% | 54% | 26% | 10% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | 4% | 35% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | X | <1% | 6% | 33% | 28% | 21% | 12% | ||