The Most Important Games for the Marshall Thundering Herd are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thundering Herd final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marshall Thundering Herd fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marshall Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (4‑2) vs James Madison (7‑0) |
0 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 1% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% | ||
| James Madison Wins | <1% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 13% | ||
| Old Dominion (2‑5) vs Louisiana Tech (4‑2) |
0 | Old Dominion Wins | <1% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 14% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% | ||
| Louisiana Tech Wins | <1% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 13% | ||
| Georgia St. (4‑2) vs Arkansas St. (3‑4) |
0 | Georgia St. Wins | <1% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 14% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 12% | ||