The Marshall Thundering Herd What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Marshall plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 3 | X | 6% | 54% | 26% | 10% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 3 | X | 4% | 35% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 6% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 4 | X | <1% | 6% | 33% | 28% | 21% | 12% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Current Standings | X | 4% | 35% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 6% |
|
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 5 | 3 | X | 14% | 83% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 4 | 4 | X | 1% | 40% | 46% | 13% | <1% | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 3 | 5 | X | X | 1% | 23% | 42% | 30% | 5% |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | 5% | 33% | 62% |