The Marshall Thundering Herd What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Marshall plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 2 | <1% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 2 | <1% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 3 | <1% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 23% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Current Standings | <1% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% |
|
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 1% | 98% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 46% | 45% | 9% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 4% | 28% | 44% | 21% | 3% | <1% |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 3 | 5 | X | <1% | 1% | 12% | 36% | 40% | 11% |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 34% | 63% |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |